Old numbers. The Supreme Court has changed things. Besides, in their toss-ups I see five or six states where recent polls have the Republican in the lead.
I think this explains Barry’s obsession with needing more and more money for his “war chest”. He knows that the communist DemocRATS are going to spend everything they have trying to hold on to the Senate. They don’t care about the White House and the House of Representatives. As long as they can hold the Senate, communism in America will survive and continue to feed off of the system and America’s treasury.
This is TOTAL agit-prop. No one believes this, even the NewYork Times.
With Kasich in Ohio and Romney ahead there, I think Brown will lose. I believe that Allen will win in Virginia. I haven't studied the others well enough.
McCaskill is toast in MO....by double-digits. I guarantee it.
Lmao. MO a tossup? Every poll has McCaskill down double digits. I quit looking when I saw that one!
So where does all this information used to make these determinations come from? I must have missed it and I looked all over the page for lins kto a story or outside polling used to come to these conclusions and I find nothing.
Worthless as a source of informtion as far as I am concerned.
I’ll just this, at least it has some facts to use as a basis:
012 Battle for the Senate Could GOP be Poised to Retake Senate Montana Senate: Rehberg (R) 53%, Tester (D) 43% & Nevada Senate: Heller (R) 51%, Berkley (D) 40% & Missouri Senate: Steelman (R) 49%, McCaskill (D) 42%
This is a totally worthless RCP poll.
They throw in several wildly insane polls to get the results they want.
If they can find some RAT poll that has Obumbles up 115% -0% they average it in, and do it with a straight face.
From July, 2010 :Democrats Jump Into Six-Point Lead on Generic Ballot http://www.gallup.com/poll/141440/democrats-jump-six-point-lead-generic-ballot.aspx. I guess you remember what happened in November, 2010.
It wouldn’t surprise me.
Americans are some of the cheapest dates on Earth: our politicians are buying our votes with our own money.
if memory serves me the GOP fell shy of control of the senate in ‘10 when there were 22 senate races....i believe there are 33 races in play in November which means the rats have a heap of trouble on their hands...
btw- Nelson in Florida a toss-up??? also though i read elsewhere Tester in Montana in a lot of trouble...
That’s not what I saw when I just visited the RCP page. First, it showed the current Senate count: 53/47 in favor of Dems.
Then it showed 47 safe Dems and 45 safe Repubs. for the upcoming election. When I looked up the eight toss-up states, I saw the following states with Repubs leading...
MA - Brown
MO - Steelman (assuming she wins primary; she’s favored)
MT - Rehberg
NV - Heller
ND - Berg
WI - Thompson (assuming he wins primary; he’s favored)
The two where the Dems are in the lead are:
FL - Nelson avg. +6
VA - Kaine avg. +.1
So, Repubs are winning six out of eight with VA being a statistical tie. At this point, the numbers look good for a Repub. Senate flip.
btw RCP map sucks. Safe states and toss up states are very close color-wise. Makes map unusable.
It’s been pointed out in numerous other FR posts that RCP uses many questionable polls that oversample dems in order to skew their averages.
Even if the numbers don’t change, I believe that Tea Party candidates have already sidelined some RINO Senators in primaries, so the quality of the Senate should improve.
Poll analysis on Fox this morning: Obama has an 8 point lead over Romney among people who don’t vote. Romney leads Obama by 3 among people who do vote. Interesting.