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The current Senate race map shows no change in total seats from 47 Republicans unless something changes. It calls eight toss-ups with six already Dem. This is a big change from several months ago when it was noted that Repubs had to defend just 10 seats to the Dems' 28 and Repub control of the Senate was considered likely. Will the Obamacare issue make a difference now?
1 posted on 07/04/2012 9:33:06 AM PDT by pabianice
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To: pabianice

Old numbers. The Supreme Court has changed things. Besides, in their toss-ups I see five or six states where recent polls have the Republican in the lead.


2 posted on 07/04/2012 9:37:07 AM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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To: pabianice

I think this explains Barry’s obsession with needing more and more money for his “war chest”. He knows that the communist DemocRATS are going to spend everything they have trying to hold on to the Senate. They don’t care about the White House and the House of Representatives. As long as they can hold the Senate, communism in America will survive and continue to feed off of the system and America’s treasury.


3 posted on 07/04/2012 9:38:28 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (ObamaCare is only the beginning. It's all downhill from here.)
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To: pabianice

This is TOTAL agit-prop. No one believes this, even the NewYork Times.


4 posted on 07/04/2012 9:38:28 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: pabianice
I still think Republican control of the Senate is likely - and Obamacare/tax will help to make the difference.

With Kasich in Ohio and Romney ahead there, I think Brown will lose. I believe that Allen will win in Virginia. I haven't studied the others well enough.

5 posted on 07/04/2012 9:39:44 AM PDT by 103198
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To: pabianice

McCaskill is toast in MO....by double-digits. I guarantee it.


6 posted on 07/04/2012 9:42:16 AM PDT by schaef21
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To: pabianice

Lmao. MO a tossup? Every poll has McCaskill down double digits. I quit looking when I saw that one!


7 posted on 07/04/2012 9:43:49 AM PDT by KansasGirl
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To: pabianice

So where does all this information used to make these determinations come from? I must have missed it and I looked all over the page for lins kto a story or outside polling used to come to these conclusions and I find nothing.

Worthless as a source of informtion as far as I am concerned.

I’ll just this, at least it has some facts to use as a basis:

012 Battle for the Senate … Could GOP be Poised to Retake Senate … Montana Senate: Rehberg (R) 53%, Tester (D) 43% & Nevada Senate: Heller (R) 51%, Berkley (D) 40% & Missouri Senate: Steelman (R) 49%, McCaskill (D) 42%

http://scaredmonkeys.com/2012/05/05/2012-battle-for-the-senate-could-gop-be-poised-to-retake-senate-montana-senate-rehberg-r-53-tester-d-43-nevada-senate-heller-r-51-berkley-d-40-missouri-senate-steelman-r-49/


8 posted on 07/04/2012 9:44:57 AM PDT by scram2
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To: pabianice
Although Osama Obama will carry Massachusetts by 10 points Scott Brown is expected to hold his seat...sorry,TED KENNEDY'S seat...this November.This,to me,strongly suggests that Osama will have no coattails this November or perhaps even reverse coattails.If my hunch proves true that doesn't bode well (at all) for the RAT Senatorial Campaign Committee.
9 posted on 07/04/2012 9:46:10 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Bill Ayers Was *Not* "Just Some Guy In The Neighborhood")
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To: pabianice

This is a totally worthless RCP poll.

They throw in several wildly insane polls to get the results they want.

If they can find some RAT poll that has Obumbles up 115% -0% they average it in, and do it with a straight face.


10 posted on 07/04/2012 9:49:33 AM PDT by Beagle8U (Free Republic -- One stop shopping ....... It's the Conservative Super WalMart for news .)
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To: pabianice

From July, 2010 :Democrats Jump Into Six-Point Lead on Generic Ballot http://www.gallup.com/poll/141440/democrats-jump-six-point-lead-generic-ballot.aspx. I guess you remember what happened in November, 2010.


14 posted on 07/04/2012 10:26:58 AM PDT by gusopol3
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To: pabianice

It wouldn’t surprise me.

Americans are some of the cheapest dates on Earth: our politicians are buying our votes with our own money.


15 posted on 07/04/2012 10:28:36 AM PDT by Tzimisce (THIS SUCKS)
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To: pabianice

if memory serves me the GOP fell shy of control of the senate in ‘10 when there were 22 senate races....i believe there are 33 races in play in November which means the rats have a heap of trouble on their hands...


18 posted on 07/04/2012 10:53:08 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5million pay no federal income tax then vote demoKrat)
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To: pabianice

btw- Nelson in Florida a toss-up??? also though i read elsewhere Tester in Montana in a lot of trouble...


19 posted on 07/04/2012 10:55:37 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5million pay no federal income tax then vote demoKrat)
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To: pabianice

That’s not what I saw when I just visited the RCP page. First, it showed the current Senate count: 53/47 in favor of Dems.

Then it showed 47 safe Dems and 45 safe Repubs. for the upcoming election. When I looked up the eight toss-up states, I saw the following states with Repubs leading...

MA - Brown
MO - Steelman (assuming she wins primary; she’s favored)
MT - Rehberg
NV - Heller
ND - Berg
WI - Thompson (assuming he wins primary; he’s favored)

The two where the Dems are in the lead are:

FL - Nelson avg. +6
VA - Kaine avg. +.1

So, Repubs are winning six out of eight with VA being a statistical tie. At this point, the numbers look good for a Repub. Senate flip.


20 posted on 07/04/2012 10:57:43 AM PDT by davandbar
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To: pabianice

btw RCP map sucks. Safe states and toss up states are very close color-wise. Makes map unusable.


22 posted on 07/04/2012 12:14:07 PM PDT by ChronicMA
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To: pabianice

It’s been pointed out in numerous other FR posts that RCP uses many questionable polls that oversample dems in order to skew their averages.


24 posted on 07/04/2012 12:47:39 PM PDT by hotshu (Redistribution of wealth by the government is nothing but theft under the color of law.)
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To: pabianice

Even if the numbers don’t change, I believe that Tea Party candidates have already sidelined some RINO Senators in primaries, so the quality of the Senate should improve.


25 posted on 07/04/2012 1:01:27 PM PDT by rem_mitchell
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To: pabianice

Poll analysis on Fox this morning: Obama has an 8 point lead over Romney among people who don’t vote. Romney leads Obama by 3 among people who do vote. Interesting.


28 posted on 07/05/2012 5:53:50 AM PDT by pabianice
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