Skip to comments.Senate race solidifying (what happened to a Repub Senate in 2012?)
Posted on 07/04/2012 9:33:00 AM PDT by pabianice
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
You have hit on the reason we see pollls such as the recent Bloomberg one which had Obumbler up by 12. It as phony as the day is long and they know it but the idea was to throw it in the mix and by doing do it pulls up the average.
To the extent polls are worth anything I’ll stick with Rasmussen who uses a rolling 3 day sample and speaks to only likely voters.
btw RCP map sucks. Safe states and toss up states are very close color-wise. Makes map unusable.
Everyone should have a look at this:
Wayne Allen Root has it right. No one who voted for McLame will vote for Obama, and his “ethnic groups” are all having second thoughts about him. Any incumbent who can’t poll close to 50% at this juncture just isn’t going to be re-elected. The “undecideds” and the “independents” will not break his way either. If four years haven’t convinced them not to be “undecided,” they will vote for his opponent. And when you compare Romney to McLame, there is no comparison. Without Sarah Palin, McLame would have “really lost.”
It’s been pointed out in numerous other FR posts that RCP uses many questionable polls that oversample dems in order to skew their averages.
Even if the numbers don’t change, I believe that Tea Party candidates have already sidelined some RINO Senators in primaries, so the quality of the Senate should improve.
Don’t forget Nebraska. Fischer is up anywhere from 18-25 over Kerrey.
Wisconsin could vote Baldwin with far left views? No way her views reflect much of Wisconsin beyond Madison . GOP race to lose? Ready to attack a woman far , far out of the mainstream?
Poll analysis on Fox this morning: Obama has an 8 point lead over Romney among people who don’t vote. Romney leads Obama by 3 among people who do vote. Interesting.