Posted on 06/05/2012 7:57:18 PM PDT by shoedog
Well if exit polls showed 50/50 race for Walker and ends up say 58/42, then a 53/42 exit polling for Obama could potentially be 50/45 Romney, based on how badly they missed real results
EXACTLY!
I’ve made this point on a couple other threads. Supposedly the exit poll showed Walker by 4 and Obama by 6. But if the actual result was Walker by 10, then the exit poll skewed 6 points to the left and thus the adjusted poll result would be a dead heat for Obama.
When you look at the county by county results for counties where 80%+ has come in and compare Walker’s percentages to Prosser’s percentage in a 50-50 race a year ago, Walker is running anywhere from 3-10 points ahead of Prosser, and thus has anywhere from a 6-20 point better margin than Prosser.
Even in Dane County, which has maybe 62% in, it’s 65-35 Dem, it was 67-33 against Prosser last year. So if they’re losing ground everywhere else, they aren’t making it up in Dane.
I have an opinion on how the exit polls were so inaccurate.
I suspect many voters feared saying they voted for Walker
with Union Thugs nearby. So they told the pollers something
else out of fear.
How else can one explain the 50/50 exit polls that CNN was
quoting?
I'm watching his twitter feed to see how he spins a 10 point lead into a close election.
If you watch the map though, it is only about 11 percent 55/44, with 75 percent reporting, hope it doesn’t fall much more.
It has been theorized that liberals make more of an effort to be questioned by the people doing the exit polling than conservatives do...at least I have read that previously.
Here is another theory. CNN was lying.
DNCNN, like ABDNC, NBDNC and DNCBS, were lying right up to the last possible minute an an attempt to urge more democrat voters to the polls.
They are twisting into contortions and won't be able to sleep tonight thinking of what is going to happen to the Celebrity-In-Chief they created out of a shallow personality of a community organizer.
They are all wishing they had stuck with Hillary in '08 and probably wonder, now, how they can make a graceful switch back.
I just saw Erin Burnett on CNN. That girl has her panties in a twist over the exit polls being 50/50, while the actual election results show a clear victory for Walker. She is so puzzled as to how this can be!!
The guy on CNN with her said that exit polls are not scientifically selected samples, that people volunteer for them. And that perhaps more Dems. were eager to do an exit poll than Republican voters.
I’ve heard Democrat complaints about exit polls in other elections too. They have in some cases claimed that there is vote fraud by Republicans, because the actual vote counts diverge from exit polls.
Another theory, as well.
CNN lying is nothing new.
Democrats think the world wants to know exactly how they feel and think at all times. They would run over an old woman with a walker to talk to a pollster.
why anybody pays any attention to news organiztion polls i will nevere know. those polls commissioned by news orgs are to give them a basis to report on a horse race, the closer the better to drive ratings and readership.
I believe your theory is correct. That exit poll was manufactured for a reason. They wanted to tout the ‘Obama is beating Romney’ meme in all the media. Since hey were getting beat in today’s race, this was to change the story back to Obama propaganda for november.
I believe your theory is correct. That exit poll was manufactured for a reason. They wanted to tout the ‘Obama is beating Romney’ meme in all the media. Since hey were getting beat in today’s race, this was to change the story back to Obama propaganda for november.
How else can one explain the 50/50 exit polls that CNN was quoting?
Exit polling is in direct conflict with the secret ballot. Exit polling should be illegal, and in more than a few jurisdictions it is. The “scientifically selected precincts” chosen for exit polling are simply a subset of the jurisdictions which allow exit polling.
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