Posted on 05/03/2012 2:20:27 PM PDT by Drew68
WASHINGTON -- It’s been more than 50 years since a candidate has won the White House without carrying at least two of the three swing states of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, and a new poll shows Mitt Romney neck and neck with President Obama in two of them.
Romney, who trailed Obama 49% to 42% in Florida and 47% to 41% in Ohio in late March, is now statistically tied with the president, 44% to 43% in Florida and 42% to 44% in Ohio, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll of voters in the three states.
Obama, however, has improved on his lead in Pennsylvania, where he beats Romney 47% to 39%, up from the 45%-42% lead he enjoyed in March.
Quinnipiac surveyed 3,467 voters in the three states in interviews on cellphones and land lines from April 25 through May 1. The results of the survey, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points, led Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the university’s polling institute, to conclude that Obama is doing “slightly better” than Romney in the three states.
“What appears to be keeping Romney in the ballgame, at least in Florida and Ohio, is the perception he can better fix the economy,” Brown said.
(Excerpt) Read more at chicagotribune.com ...
Lose PA and he'll absolutely need VA, NC and IA. This takes him to 272 according to 270 to win (cool site, BTW). See my previous post on the current perils in Virginia.
...and I was born there.
Allegheny went Sestak - so Allegheny is part of the problem, not part of the solution.
I know. Of course it's insane. But nobody ever accused turd party doo-dads of having the sense they were born with.
Romney will not win PA under any circumstances. My state is a case in point on why the RNC’s strategy to “appeal to moderates” won’t work. The libs in the Philly area will stick with Obama and Romney won’t turn out the base in Carville’s “T” in Pennsylvania. These are blue collar people with classic American values, not just mindless “haters” of the current President. A millionaire Mormon from Massachusetts has no appeal to them. They’re independent thinkers and don’t just vote party line. The candidate has to appeal to them. Turnout was down in the primary from 2008 despite McCain already having all the delegates he needed in 2008. McCain was a better crossover candidate for PA than Romney and he lost by 10 points. OH and FL were much closer losses for McCain so Romney has a chance there.
A Republican hasn't won PA since G.H.W. Bush in '88. Not really sure why they call it a swing state. It's pretty solidly blue when it comes to electing a president.
I’d rather get a chance in 2016 for a conservative to win than have Romney for 8 years or Romney beaten by a Democrat in 2016. Romney’s a phony, a fraud and a fake. If he wins, then he and others like him are the future of the Republican party. There’s a chance to restore the Republican party as a party that stands and fights for conservative values if he loses, but not if he wins. So spare us the condescending remarks. Third party voting is a valid strategic move.
We haven't elected a conservative since 1984. What makes you think we'll get one next cycle?
What we need to do is get the dog-eating Marxist out of the White House!
Look at the marginal difference between Allegheny and Philadelphia counties, that tells the tale.
Pittsburgh is a headache, Philadelphia is a rampant cancer.
stick a fork in Zero, he’s done.-——————
And feed him to a dog
No doubt about it. The third party voters will think they've done a great service and wallow in their delusions of superiority. Strange breed indeed.
Because maybe the Tea Party and every other conservative group will get its act together after this year’s debacle. I don’t expect the people who endorsed Santorum will wait until February next time to pick a horse.
This takes him to 272 according to 270 to win (cool site, BTW)...
...if you like playing with 270, do this, if you will...click PA and NV to blue, as RCP has already done, and then look at the winning possibilities that result yields...ten possibiities for dogmeat and five for Romney...and all five require a FL victory, and four others require both FL and OH...on the other hand, the dog eater has three possibilities without winning FL or OH, unlikely as they may be...I have no idea how you conclude this election is Romney’s to win, minus a screwup...he could play every card perfectly and still lose, his margin of error is that thin...
on the other hand, the dog eater has three possibilities without winning FL or OH, unlikely as they may be...
...I erred...the dog eater has not three winning combinations without FL or OH, but actually has eight...
It's your right but it is a tactic not a strategery, and in this case, it's not even a good tactic.
There is, however, no law that prevents stupidity, and you will show us and exercise your rights to the fullest.
I hope that I've spared you the condescending remarks, mook.
I can hardly contain my excitement.
You're right. I get wrapped in national poll results and forget that at the end of the day, the only thing that matters are electoral votes. In addition to Florida and Ohio, Virginia and North Carolina are must-have states for Romney and, ouch, like FL and OH, they both went blue last election.
“Problem we have here in PA is this - at each end of the Commonwealth, are two major cities, Philly and Pittsburgh.
Both are heavily RAT cities (no pun intended)”
Give Philadelphia and its suburbs to New Jersey.
Give Pittsburgh to... hmmm, that’s harder....
Could give it to Ohio, but that might “tip” Ohio to the blue side.
Don’t give it to West Virginia, WV is the only state north of the Mason-Dixon line that voted for McCain over Obama (I believe).
How about, “West Maryland”? :)
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