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Poll: Dead heat in Wisconsin recall election (Scott Walker fights for political life)
CBS News ^ | 05/02/2012 | Lucy Madison

Posted on 05/02/2012 2:03:54 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

Embattled Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is locked in a dead heat with Democratic Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett ahead of the state's June 5 recall election, according to a new poll from Marquette University Law School.

The poll shows Barrett leading Walker among registered voters by one percentage point, 47 percent to 46 percent. Among likely voters Walker bests Barrett 48 percent to 47 percent. Both leads are the within the margin of error.

Barrett will compete against former Dane County executive Kathleen Falk for the Democratic nomination next week. According to the Marquette poll, Barrett leads Falk in that contest 38 percent to 21 percent. Two other candidate are in the single digits.

Walker became embroiled in controversy last spring after passing a controversial law that would essentially eliminate public workers' collective bargaining rights. Debate over the legislation sparked weeks of protests in the state, as well as a national conversation about the merits of collective bargaining rights for public sector workers.

According to the Marquette survey, Democratic primary voters prioritized job creation -- not labor rights -- as the top consideration in choosing a nominee. Forty-six percent of Democratic primary voters ranked creating new jobs as their top consideration.

Twenty-five percent prioritized "defeating Scott Walker," and 14 percent said "reducing political divisions in the state." Twelve percent said "restoring collective bargaining rights for public employees" was their number one consideration.

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: recall; scottwalker; wi2012; wisconsin

1 posted on 05/02/2012 2:04:02 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

My prayers are with you Scott Walker.


2 posted on 05/02/2012 2:06:52 PM PDT by Jack Burton007 (This is Jack Burton in the Pork Chop Express, and I'm talkin' to whoever's listenin' out there.)
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To: SeekAndFind

God Bless Gov. Scott Walker.


3 posted on 05/02/2012 2:08:13 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: SeekAndFind

If Wisconsin is stupid enough to elect a liberal dimocrat, then they DESERVE to become Greece.


4 posted on 05/02/2012 2:13:10 PM PDT by RetiredArmy (He has Risen!!! If you do not know Him, this is the perfect week to seek Him out!!!)
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To: SeekAndFind

How much do you want to bet that this poll oversampled Democrats?


5 posted on 05/02/2012 2:14:06 PM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: SeekAndFind

Is it a CBS poll? If so, forget about it. Communist BS news is a joke.


6 posted on 05/02/2012 2:17:27 PM PDT by Bitsy
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To: SeekAndFind

What, if anything, is the RNC doing to try to help Walker?


7 posted on 05/02/2012 2:18:46 PM PDT by dfwgator (Don't wake up in a roadside ditch. Get rid of Romney.)
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To: SeekAndFind

So if Walker is beaten, can he then start the recall process on his end and do the whole thing over? Can WI keep p!ssing away taxpayer money with this garbage? I never new how much of a liberal cess-pool WI was before this mess.
I used to have respect for that state, now I see they are like Californians.


8 posted on 05/02/2012 2:18:52 PM PDT by No_More_Harkin
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To: SeekAndFind

A poll of registered voters? What a crock. Let’s see a poll of likely voters.


9 posted on 05/02/2012 2:27:35 PM PDT by Mase (Save me from the people who would save me from myself!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Ironically, the letf’s hero, FDR was against collective barganing for public servants.


10 posted on 05/02/2012 2:28:27 PM PDT by JaguarXKE
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To: DarthVader

“How much do you want to bet that this poll oversampled Democrats?”

Welcome to CBS shake ‘n bake. My guess would be this:

37% rat
36% independent
27% republican


11 posted on 05/02/2012 2:33:11 PM PDT by sergeantdave
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To: Mase
>i>A poll of registered voters? What a crock. Let’s see a poll of likely voters.

FROM THE ARTICLE:

The poll shows Barrett leading Walker among registered voters by one percentage point, 47 percent to 46 percent. Among likely voters Walker bests Barrett 48 percent to 47 percent. Both leads are the within the margin of error.
12 posted on 05/02/2012 2:33:36 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: sergeantdave

FYI, this is a Marquette University poll.


13 posted on 05/02/2012 2:34:53 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind; Hunton Peck; Diana in Wisconsin; P from Sheb; Shady; DonkeyBonker; Wisconsinlady; ...

Wisconsin Another Scott Walker poll ping

FReep Mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.


14 posted on 05/02/2012 2:34:53 PM PDT by afraidfortherepublic
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To: No_More_Harkin

“I used to have respect for that state, now I see they are like Californians.”

Those of us IN Wisconsin love our state and we are proud of our Gov. Scott Walker. What is happening here is that this is ground zero for Obama / Soros / Union thugs to maintain the forced unionization and forced unsustainable amount of money being extracted from Wisconsin taxpayers through union contracts by these thugs.

We here in WI DID elect a governor in 2010 and both state houses for which we are proud. Remember the 14 Dem Senators who fled to Illinois to avoid the vote in 2011? The union money from across the nation (Rahm Emanuel was here for fundraiser), the SEIU national groups “training teachers” to effect a defeat of Walker in this recall. We are proud of our state, totally disgusted with the millions of tax dollars wasted on this @#%& recall and hope and pray with our hard work to keep Gov. Walker in office. We need and appreciate any monetary donations plus your prayers to help us.

Keep up the good fight, Wisconsin. Primary May 8, recall election June 5.


15 posted on 05/02/2012 2:35:58 PM PDT by WaterWeWaitinFor (If we don't help make a change, then who will? It starts with us.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Any conservative Wisconsinite who does not vote for Scott Walker June 5 ought to turn in his nametag.


16 posted on 05/02/2012 3:00:25 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: SeekAndFind

One Milwaukee industrial president told radio talk host Charlie Sykes that he has directed his staff to begin to look for business-friendly states if Walker gets recalled. There are many other businesses that would leave the state, or reduce their state workforce, if the Democrats win. After all, why would they want to pay a lot more taxes?


17 posted on 05/02/2012 3:08:12 PM PDT by From The Deer Stand
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To: DarthVader

PID3_wlean % # “Weighted” sample
Republican 40.00 304 43.12 320 45.39
Democrat 45.00 346 49.08 335 47.52
Independent 15.00 46 6.52 40 5.67
Don’t know/refused 9 1.28 10 1.42
Total 100.00 705 100.00 705 100.00

Some Internals here, https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/MLSP4_Methdology.pdf


18 posted on 05/02/2012 3:23:12 PM PDT by outofsalt ("If History teaches us anything it's that history rarely teaches us anything")
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To: dfwgator
What, if anything, is the RNC doing to try to help Walker?

Since it's a big-business-friendly issue I would imagine a lot. After all, elections are "about the economy" and the almighty dollar now, not "wacko wingnut" issues like abortion and same-sex marriage, at least according to the GOP-E. Nevertheless I can guarantee you the Democrats won't be nominating any pro-life, anti-same-sex-marriage candidates any time soon though, so they haven't forgotten what elections are about.

19 posted on 05/02/2012 3:28:21 PM PDT by JediJones (From the makers of Romney, Bloomberg/Schwarzenegger 2016. Because the GOP can never go too far left.)
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To: DarthVader

I was thinking the same thing.


20 posted on 05/02/2012 3:39:41 PM PDT by FrdmLvr (culture, language, borders)
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s a poll of registered voters (anyone with a driver’s license.) That probably indicates that Walker has a statistically-significant lead.


21 posted on 05/02/2012 3:51:35 PM PDT by BfloGuy (The final outcome of the credit expansion is general impoverishment.)
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s See Bee Ess News! It is Beee Esss!!!

Go Governor, the people of Wisconsin are going to support you because your work is WORKING!


22 posted on 05/02/2012 3:53:10 PM PDT by Shady (The undeniable truth of the Obama Administration...The numbers do not lie.)
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To: WaterWeWaitinFor

Thank you, Water. I live here too and couldn’t have said it better.

This poll is BS. Walker will carry the day..but we have to ALL get out and VOTE from him to make sure that happens.


23 posted on 05/02/2012 3:59:43 PM PDT by Mountain Mary (One Nation Under God..."There I said it" ... Great One...)
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To: SeekAndFind

He turns the state around and this is the thanks he gets? Godspeed Mr. Walker.


24 posted on 05/02/2012 4:14:13 PM PDT by stevio (God, guns, guts.)
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To: No_More_Harkin

“I never new how much of a liberal cess-pool WI was before this mess.”

Wisconsin is socialist in attitude. They revere as some kind of god the socialist Robert La Follette, Sr., who began his political career in the late nineteenth century as a nominal Republican, then broke with the Republicans and formed an independent Progressive Party. He was an anti-war activist, embraced and championed organized labor, and loathed anything corporate.


25 posted on 05/02/2012 4:22:07 PM PDT by ought-six ( Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
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To: SeekAndFind
God help us if we don't have a super abundance of poll watchers this time around....if not it's OVER....
26 posted on 05/02/2012 4:26:30 PM PDT by jimsin
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To: SeekAndFind

If democrat voters are worried about job creation then Milwaukee mayor Barrett is definitely not the man for the job....

“The estimated declines in metro Milwaukee nearly equal the total number of jobs lost in the whole state last month - computed at 4,500 in March from February in a separate report released last week”

“The four-county metro area lost an estimated 4,400 nonfarm jobs in March from February, according to latest estimates. Metro Milwaukee encompasses Milwaukee, Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington counties.”
http://www.jsonline.com/business/metro-milwaukee-lost-4400-jobs-in-march-state-reports-q855m0a-148913245.html

Unemployment rate was 7.7% in Jan 2011. It is now down to 6.8% (lowest since 2008). We’re moving WI forward.
— Governor Walker (@GovWalker) April 25, 2012

I feel that this coming recall election is like a tipping point. If Walker does not win it feels like it’s a clear signal that the tipping point has been reached. The amount of anti-Walker yard signs and bumper stickers are the most I’ve ever seen regarding a single election or issue. Of late though I have noticed an ever increasing amount of pro-Walker signage appearing. Have high hopes for the silent majority.


27 posted on 05/02/2012 4:26:47 PM PDT by Romatsu
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To: SeekAndFind

Heh, seems like the MSM is trying to either stir up Dems or make Repubs. feel bad about the way the race is going.


28 posted on 05/02/2012 4:32:59 PM PDT by SuziQ
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To: SeekAndFind

The denizens of Wisconsin must have a debt wish if they don’t vote for Walker.


29 posted on 05/02/2012 4:44:14 PM PDT by Venturer
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To: DarthVader

That’s not much of a bet :-)


30 posted on 05/02/2012 5:04:49 PM PDT by rabidralph
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To: SeekAndFind
Then his ass is in real trouble. It's the makers vs. the takers on June 5th and if the makers lose, it doesn't bode well for our future in November and beyond.
31 posted on 05/02/2012 5:49:42 PM PDT by Mase (Save me from the people who would save me from myself!)
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To: SeekAndFind

We have some stressful news to share with you in the campaign to DEFEAT the RECALL.
New polling data shows Democrat Tom Barrett has surged to a dead-heat with Republican Gov. Scott Walker in the RECALL election fight:

As you can see we have to redouble our campaign efforts to DEFEAT the RECALL
We are going to be releasing 3 new TV ads in the coming days - TV ads that we are funding thanks to your contributions. Please consider making a contribution to help us purchase airtime so these ads can be seen all across Wisconsin - here were the two previous ads we produced and have been airing in Wisconsin:

>> CLICK HERE TO WATCH THE ADS <<

Please, make a contribution to our campaign to DEFEAT the RECALL - HERE.


32 posted on 05/02/2012 7:51:02 PM PDT by Mountain Mary (One Nation Under God..."There I said it" ... Great One...)
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To: SeekAndFind

Will the Unions get behind Barrett after he beats their little darling that they are backing, and financing, in the Primary?


33 posted on 05/02/2012 9:12:07 PM PDT by no dems (TED CRUZ: A PROVEN CONSERVATIVE FOR U.S. SENATE FROM TEXAS.)
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To: SeekAndFind
among registered voters

LOL

They obviously were trying to get a headline, not any meaningful results.

34 posted on 05/02/2012 9:14:41 PM PDT by B Knotts (Just another Tenther)
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To: SeekAndFind

Don’t underestimate the ferocity of Wisconsin conservatives. I don’t know any conservative in the state who wouldn’t crawl over flaming, acid-filled broken glass while taking mortar fire to vote for Walker.

Even some moderates I know have said they will vote for Walker because they don’t like the disrespect for the electoral process.


35 posted on 05/02/2012 9:15:43 PM PDT by MediaMole
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To: SeekAndFind

A dead-heat (tie) is never good for the incumbent. 3/4 of all undecideds always go for the challenger.


36 posted on 05/02/2012 9:19:29 PM PDT by no dems (TED CRUZ: A PROVEN CONSERVATIVE FOR U.S. SENATE FROM TEXAS.)
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To: B Knotts

RE: among registered voters

LOL

They obviously were trying to get a headline, not any meaningful results.

_______________________

You obviously missed this sentence in the article:

“Among likely voters Walker bests Barrett 48 percent to 47 percent. Both leads are the within the margin of error.”


37 posted on 05/03/2012 4:14:33 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: Bitsy

It’s not a CBS poll it’s a Marquette Univ. Law School poll. It’s a CBS article. I never heard of a law school doing a poll before.


38 posted on 05/03/2012 8:37:03 AM PDT by lasereye
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To: Mase

It says “Among likely voters Walker bests Barrett 48 percent to 47 percent”. Does anybody know how to read any more?


39 posted on 05/03/2012 8:39:05 AM PDT by lasereye
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To: outofsalt

What do those numbers mean in your opinion?


40 posted on 05/03/2012 8:45:09 AM PDT by lasereye
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To: lasereye
The poll slightly over sampled dems. 45-40% and the indies at only 15% (sounds like a left tilt) which they then “weighted” in some obscure manner to come up with a tie.
It will be close but the polls are pushing the news to favor the libs (favored within the university community), IMHO, energizing the left and dispiriting the right.
They'll have to have an election to see who's right. One thing I'm hopeful about is that the college crowd should be out of school and on break on June 6. Will they be showing up at the polls if they are at the beaches? No voter id has me worried.
41 posted on 05/03/2012 1:12:32 PM PDT by outofsalt ("If History teaches us anything it's that history rarely teaches us anything")
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To: lasereye

“Will they be showing up at the polls if they are at the beaches?”
During the dem primary they will be in final exams and the General election is 8/9 so, maybe, the youts will be less fired up.


42 posted on 05/03/2012 1:28:02 PM PDT by outofsalt ("If History teaches us anything it's that history rarely teaches us anything")
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