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To: C. Edmund Wright
Here are the numbers (from the EIA):

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
1983 46,218.3 48,906.1 54,111.7 49,093.7 52,021.3 52,517.2 51,898.0 51,905.6 52,676.3 50,724.3 51,150.8 51,879.1
1984 54,148.6 55,651.7 57,636.0 56,937.0 58,755.9 60,075.0 59,055.7 59,378.3 56,947.3 57,386.5 58,075.3 56,765.8
1985 54,584.3 53,829.7 57,297.6 59,075.2 57,563.7 58,832.1 58,563.3 58,096.1 56,979.0 56,949.0 58,100.7 60,295.9
1986 55,283.0 58,546.4 61,250.4 62,628.9 65,578.7 63,294.1 62,861.8 61,342.4 60,341.9 60,946.1 61,880.4 62,290.2
1987 56,488.6 60,641.1 61,627.2 61,733.5 61,750.0 64,315.2 62,404.8 62,643.9 59,339.3 60,707.9 58,877.0 61,720.2
1988 57,041.0 59,900.3 61,577.5 61,584.1 60,701.3 62,884.1 61,873.2 62,450.0 61,036.1 60,385.3 59,783.1 63,099.8
1989 55,556.8 58,492.6 60,500.1 60,242.0 62,088.7 63,521.0 62,335.0 63,362.0 61,922.8 61,973.6 61,339.0 63,182.4
1990 58,138.0 57,909.4 59,847.0 59,600.5 60,572.2 63,108.6 61,531.0 63,182.0 60,912.1 60,295.1 60,550.6 58,382.1
1991 56,924.5 59,384.5 61,553.8 61,982.0 62,244.9 63,319.4 62,600.6 62,534.0 60,346.2 61,181.3 60,442.9 61,521.7
1992 56,410.9 58,308.6 59,639.5 59,980.2 59,615.2 60,353.3 60,400.3 59,083.7 58,579.1 59,011.8 56,877.6 59,287.9
1993 53,826.6 57,305.3 57,624.8 58,138.7 57,465.8 60,391.1 58,807.7 58,453.0 57,462.3 55,432.4 55,743.5 56,074.7
1994 51,533.7 54,270.1 55,363.8 54,962.1 55,523.0 57,165.3 55,834.5 56,393.4 54,992.9 54,240.5 54,480.4 55,612.3
1995 51,200.2 54,138.2 55,592.4 55,456.8 56,242.2 58,547.4 56,944.0 58,296.8 56,580.9 55,610.5 55,907.4 56,471.5
1996 53,039.9 54,566.8 56,388.2 57,183.4 57,796.4 59,170.9 58,909.8 59,651.5 57,845.3 58,456.2 58,101.4 59,200.7
1997 54,440.6 57,313.3 58,443.8 58,854.0 57,840.1 59,820.3 65,294.2 64,803.7 63,680.2 64,355.2 62,252.8 66,017.1
1998 59,905.7 62,399.8 64,533.5 59,012.3 59,509.7 60,837.0 67,183.3 66,831.0 65,146.9 65,121.8 63,846.8 65,401.5
1999 60,254.0 62,779.7 63,320.2 63,722.4 63,464.7 64,458.4 62,669.7 61,363.0 59,265.4 60,415.4 59,078.1 62,719.0
2000 54,421.0 59,107.2 60,573.0 57,911.6 60,300.4 63,275.5 62,278.2 63,621.8 63,098.0 61,954.7 62,184.7 62,014.2
2001 58,139.5 61,731.0 62,859.5 62,301.3 62,878.9 65,417.0 62,534.2 64,390.5 62,214.2 60,864.4 60,024.8 60,793.5
2002 60,211.7 63,942.2 62,828.5 63,953.3 64,537.0 64,874.0 64,594.2 66,683.5 62,352.4 63,344.8 63,255.8 63,109.4
2003 60,247.9 60,803.4 60,815.8 61,728.4 66,315.5 66,426.5 66,803.1 66,812.7 63,949.0 64,615.5 63,778.4 63,394.5
2004 57,143.8 58,381.7 59,186.2 59,352.6 58,565.7 58,992.8 59,012.0 59,664.1 57,327.4 57,977.1 57,017.9 58,013.6
2005 54,938.7 58,368.8 58,330.0 59,093.3 59,474.5 61,731.9 61,109.4 61,220.9 57,866.5 57,075.2 59,094.7 59,426.1
2006 56,531.8 59,960.4 59,859.7 61,020.8 60,234.0 61,980.4 61,445.8 62,015.9 59,783.4 60,233.2 58,860.2 57,862.5
2007 54,698.1 56,954.9 57,278.7 57,354.7 58,719.6 60,865.7 58,806.7 60,178.5 57,912.9 57,843.2 56,579.0 54,650.0
2008 53,994.1 56,157.4 55,494.8 56,307.4 56,390.6 55,938.5 54,802.5 55,628.2 53,405.9 55,210.7 54,080.6 53,931.5
2009 51,108.7 50,968.4 51,298.4 51,215.6 50,957.0 50,419.6 49,677.9 49,966.5 48,669.6 48,461.0 47,454.3 47,441.4
2010 44,012.3 44,227.1 45,482.4 46,234.2 46,016.2 46,765.3 45,755.3 45,082.6 43,876.0 43,624.1 42,857.0 42,417.1
2011 40,331.0 40,924.9 41,608.1 41,555.0 41,172.9 42,477.2 42,448.3 42,351.8 41,972.6 32,015.0 30,934.0

It's clear demand has been dropping off since the middle of 2009. But I wonder if the sharp drop in October and November is not simply a data problem — reports not all in — that isn't real and will get revised upward.

46 posted on 02/10/2012 12:47:11 PM PST by cynwoody
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To: cynwoody

That’s an amazingly steep drop... -Half- of what it was in the same month only a few years ago? I can understand it declining... the economy... jobs... shipping... even unusually severe winter... but in half? Something must be missing.


59 posted on 02/10/2012 3:12:55 PM PST by Ramius (.)
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To: cynwoody

Interesting.
Every one of those monthly figures show a decline since 2006.


64 posted on 02/10/2012 8:27:12 PM PST by Repeal The 17th (We have met the enemy and he is us.)
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