2012 GOP Primary Tracker (Votes and Delegates by State per Candidate and totals)

JEFFHEAD.COM ^ | 8 Feb 2012 | Jeff Head

[Jeff Head]

Hope you guys enjoy this...lots of analysis can be done off of these overall numbers.

[Jeff Head]

I will update this file on this thread as the primaries move along. Right now, if things continue as they are, Santorum will have my vote here in Idaho. Though all of them have their problems, right now Santorum reflects my own positons and values the closest.

Newt has a lot of pizzass and can get a crowd energized, and a lot of good ideas. Romney will probably draw more independents and moderates. Paul is very constitutional in his approach to money and economics and foreign policy, but his achillies heel for me is his stance on Iran where he would in essence ignore their nuclear efforts and allow them to proceed unhindered. Santorum has waged a campaign of hard work and faith, and more and more people are coming around. Not "stellar" and a not a lot of glitter...but steady.

If you have a mind, please ping others to this Tracker thread.

[hoosiermama]

You should * the Florida and give the alternative count. FYI t-shirt information. Click on rule 15-B-2 to read the rule.

Michael Steele said on numerous channels, that the rule was passed during his tenure and no exception was made for FL The current President of the RNC said he had written a letter to FL in December telling them their delegates should be distributed.

It may not be until the rules committee meets just days before the convention, but the total now being distributed is not accurate. Again a MSM GOPEe meme to dishearten conservatives. -----------------------------------------------

After NV
Delegate tally approximately
Romney 51 Newt 45
when FL vote divided per RNC rules!

Pass the word!

CLICK TO DONATE TO NEWT

CONTACT FOR RNC:
website@nrcc.org

310 First Street
Washington DC 20003

Encourage them to do the RIGHT thing: end the FL fiasco NOW!
Play by RULE 15:B:2

[PaForBush]

The correct term is bellwether, not bell weather. It refers to a leader of a flock of sheep, usually male, wearing a bell that the other sheep follow.

[Jukeman]

Still a long way to go. So the Romney victory is not a sure thing. For me - anyone but Romney.

[Brent Calvert 03969-030]

Thanks for this post and format. It will be useful.

Iowa’s delegates are not bound to vote for any candidate at the National Convention.

According to the Constitution and Bylaws of the Republican Party of Iowa, “no delegate shall be bound by any pre-convention caucus and each county shall cast its vote by polling its delegation at the [state] convention.”

[Ozymandias Ghost]

Thx for the super spreadsheet!!! It's a great tool and really helps clarify the current status of the candidates.

Regards,

-Geoff

[Jeff Head]

Thanks...bellwether it is.

[wardaddy]

that was a lot of trouble i am bookmarking it

tks

[Jeff Head]

I’ll update the candidates delegate count as they firm up. Right now, a lot of them are really up in the air. They certainly can and will change come convention time depending on what the numbers show at that time.

[Jeff Head]

Thanks, I will update it as new primaries and caucuses are held, and as the delegate counts firm up.

[amom]

Thanks Jeff. This is a great tool. Appreciated.

[Jeff Head]

Thank you, amom! I will keep it updated here on this thread as time goes on.

[CPT Clay]

I think Romney probably has the Idaho vote, large LDS population and all.

[Jeff Head]

I’m LDS and he doesn’t have mine...or a lot of the people I know around here in SW Idaho.

So, he may well win here, but not as overwhelmingly as he might think.

If he were the nominee, I would support him over Obama...but he has too many moderate and changed positions to vote for him over folks like Santorum.

[TheOldLady]

Click the baby's bottle!
Many thanks, JoeProBono

Uh oh! This little guy is already breathing fire.
He's going to be a mean one!

Donate monthly to keep the mean dragons away

Sponsors will contribute $10
For each new monthly sign-up

[Sopater]

The Ron Paul campaign sees things differently...

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2844082/posts

[onyx]

Very much appreciate your work. BTTT

[Jeff Head]

My file did not award any delegates for those three votes because they have not been chosen yet. That’s why I do not show any. The popular vots for the primary and caucuses from last night will not equal the delegate count. If a campaign is better orgnized to get into the caucuses and do well there, they can disporportionately command more delegates than the vote they got.

Those are the rules these states set up for themselves and every candidate knew that was how it worked going in...so the fight over delegates is yet to come.

Romney, I am sure, believes he will do better in the Michigan and Arizona primaries where the vote count and the delegate count will mean what they say and you can bet he is putting his money there...like he did in Florida and Nevada. I suspect he will try and organize in the three states past to get as many of those delegates as he can, just as Paul is doing.

But Santorum made a big show last night...make no mistake about it. In making it a sweep, he made it clear that his message is taking hold and he will try and take advantage of that politically and, very important for him, financially.

Newt is pushing for his big hit to come in the next debate and then following it up on Super Tuesday and then in Texas. That will tell whether or not he comes through and I am sure he will not abide a Santorum plea to get behind Rick until after that...wherein if he does really well, he in turn will make the case back to Santorum.

[Jeff Head]

No probs...glad to do so and hope it helps.

[Sopater]

This is a nice reference for the delegates. I’ll be bookmarking it and watching it at your homepage.

Thanks for your efforts.

[RedMDer]

Great job. Thanks for the spreadsheet and the thread.

[DJ MacWoW]

Thanks for doing this. :-)

[Jeff Head]

Glad to do so. I will update the single sheet on my home page (GOP Primary Tracker), and add a new post with the latest spread sheet here as I update it.

[Jeff Head]

Thank you both. Hope it helps. I will keep updating it here on FR and on my site.

[Jeff Head]

Oops! That link should be:

GOP Primary Tracker

[AmericanInTokyo]

I know the weather is good out there and all, but I don't believe it is called "Airzona" ;-), but I could be wrong!

Good job!

[Jeff Head]

Oops...better fix that.

[aposiopetic]

Thank you for posting this. I have been on Santorum’s case for calling Social Security privatization a NEW entitlement program (since it “entitles” people to keep money the government would otherwise take from them!), but he holds the correct position on the (other) social issues. (Note to Rick Santorum, if you ever read this: our tax code, including assessments for entitlement programs such as SS, does not exactly help struggling families, so please get a clue about the relation of fiscal policy to social policy.) If you vote for Santorum there in Idaho, I hope he comes out ahead of Rommey.

[EDINVA]

Thanks for putting this together. Good work. It will certainly get a workout.

[amom]

I will keep it updated here on this thread as time goes on.

Thanks Jeff. 8)

[katiedidit1]

Thank you so much for your hard work and time. I am saving this! good job!

[Jeff Head]

Latest, with projected delegates in Colorado and Minnesota, and with Main:

---

2012 GOP Primaries	Date	Romney			Gingrich			Santorum			Paul			Huntsman			Perry			Bachman			Cain			Totals
		Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	Del's
Iowa	1/3/2012	29,805	24.58%	7	16,163	13.33%	2	29,839	24.61%	8	26,036	21.47%	7	739	0.61%	0	12,557	10.36%	0	6,046	4.99%	0	58	0.05%	0	121,243	24
New Hampshire	1/10/2012	97,601	39.81%	7	23,291	9.50%	0	23,362	9.53%	0	56,872	23.20%	3	41,783	17.04%	2	1,764	0.72%	0	350	0.14%	0	160	0.07%	0	245,183	12
South Carolina	1/21/2012	168,152	27.86%	2	244,133	40.44%	23	102,492	16.98%	0	78,362	12.98%	0	1,173	0.19%	0	2,534	0.42%	0	491	0.08%	0	6,326	1.05%	0	603,663	25
Florida	1/31/2012	776,059	46.44%	50	534,040	31.96%	0	223,208	13.36%	0	117,410	7.03%	0	6,199	0.37%	0	6,773	0.41%	0	3,967	0.24%		3,492	0.21%	0	1,671,148	50
Nevada	2/4/2012	16,486	50.12%	14	6,956	21.15%	6	3,277	9.96%	3	6,175	18.77%	5	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	32,894	28
Main		2,190	39.65%	11	349	6.32%	0	989	17.90%	3	1,996	36.13%	7	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	5,524	21
Colorado	2/7/2012	22,875	35.00%	13	8,394	12.84%	1	26,372	40.35%	17	7,713	11.80%	1	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	65,354	32
Minnesota		8,096	16.97%	2	5,134	10.76%	2	21,436	44.94%	6	13,030	27.32%	4	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	47,696	14
Missouri		63,826	26.24%		9,859	4.05%		138,957	57.12%		30,641	12.59%		0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	243,283
Airzona	2/28/2012																										29
Michigan																											30
Washington	3/3/2012																										43
Alaska	3/6/2012																										27
Georgia	(Super Tues)																										76
Idaho																											32
Massachusetts																											41
North Dakota																											28
Ohio																											66
Oklahoma																											43
Tennessee																											58
Vermont																											17
Virginia																											49
Wyoming																											29
Kansas	3/10/2012																										40
Guam																											9
Virgin Islands																											9
Alabama	3/13/2012																										50
Am Somoa																											9
Hawaii																											20
Mississippi																											40
MIssouri	3/17/2012																										52
Puerto Rico	3/18/2024																										23
Illinois	3/20/2012																										69
Louisiana	3/24/2012																										46
DC	4/3/2012																										19
Maryland																											37
Wisconsin																											42
Texas																											155
At large Del's				18			4			0			0			0			0			0					22
TOTALS		1,185,090	39.03%	124	848,319	27.94%	38	569,932	18.77%	37	338,235	11.14%	27	49,894	1.64%	2	23,628	0.78%	0	10,854	0.36%	0	10,036	0.33%	0	3,035,988	1450

[amom]

Thanks again Jeff. This will be interesting.

[Jeff Head]

Once Newt throws in behind Santorum, or Santorum throws in behind Newt, they win. Through all nine contests now, they are averaging 47% between them with Romney around 39% and Paul arounf 11%,

That need to happen sooner rather than later.

[katiedidit1]

Newt got ripped off in Fla. Looks like the RNC is going to give it to Romney. I haven't heard a word about this on the news. Last I did hear ..the Fla AG was looking into it.

in many polls they are already counting delegates for Santorum in states where none was awarded yet. Looks like they use fuzzy math.

[katiedidit1]

Thanks Jeff:) good job.

[hoosiermama]

Newt's lawyers have filed the appropriate legal work to challenge the distribution of delegates. It will not be heard until the committee meets which is a couple of days before the convention. OTOH Both Michael Steele and Priuse have spoken out in favor of distributing the delegates proportionately. Newt won the most counties and would therefore win the bulk of the delegates.
There is no new news, therefore it will not be reported on until closer to the convention.

[eyedigress]

I had to vote for 14 out of maybe 40 delegates here in TN and whether they were committed to a candidate or not. This can get confusing. Thanks for your work. (TN has early voting as well as Voter ID in place)

[sodpoodle]

I found this site - but it is not as thorough as yours (no delegate numbers) only popular vote counts.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_vote_count.html

Check your thread every day;) Good work and thank you.

[Jeff Head]

Thanks. As soon as 100% of the vote count is in, I will be publishing last night's results and impact. Here on FR, and HERE ON MY SITE.

[Jeff Head]

I just updated and added the following to my GOP Primary Tracker Site:

---

2012 GOP PRIMARY CAMPAIGN TRACKER
JLHNews, March 1, 2012

I have been keeping my own record of the 2012 GOP Primary results, adding each primary as it occurs and I have created an html/internet version which I have posted here for others to see and track.

After the Feb 7, 2012 primaries which saw Rick Santorum sweep all three and establish himself as the top tier candidate de jour to challenge Mitt Romney, all eyes were on the February 28 primaries in Michigan (Romney's native state), and in Arizona. Arizona was winner take all, and Michigan was proportional. Earlier Romney was expected to easily win Michigan, but after Santorum's February 7th wins, he surged to a double digit lead in Michigan, trailing badly in Arizona. Many analysts felt that a loss in Michigan would strongly weaken Romney and establish Santorum for a big Super Tuesday. Romney won the caucus in Maine before Feb 28th.

Romney fought back and coupled with a poor debate showing and gaffes by Santorum, his lead in Michigan dwindled. Romney ended up winning both. In Michigan he won by about 3 1/2% and in Arizona he won by over 20%. All of Arisona's 29 delegates went to Romney. He had Santorum split 30 delegates in Michigan. Newt Gingrich did not really contest either Arizona or Michigan. He's campaigning in Georgia, a must win for him, and conducting a comeback strategy for super Tuesday involving Georgia, Tennessee and Oklahoma. By the way, Romney also won Wyoming, meaning he has won the last four contests.

In Michigan we saw again that Santorum's and Gingrich's votes combined defeat Romney. While in Arizona, Florida and Nevada Romney's lead was too great to allow it, still, in other contests, a united strong conservative candidate would have beat him casuing the delegate count to be much closer. As it is, Romney has won 7 of the 12 races with 181 delegates. Rick Santorum has won four contests for 61 delegates. Newt Gingrich has won one for 39 delegates. Ron Paul has not one any but has 33 delegates.

Super Tuesday, March 6th will see ten states vote. Romeny is expected to win Mass (his home state), Vermont, Virginia (Gingrich and Santorum are not on that ballot), and Idaho. He wants to win Ohio, a critical swing state in November. Santorum is challenging him there and the race is close. Santorum is also battling Newt for Tennessee and Oklahoma, and Newt is expected to win Georgia (his home state) and battle for Tennessee and Oklahoma based on his southern strategy. Alaska is up for grabs. The proportionality of these races means that each candidate will win some delegates.

Nonetheless, if Romney wins Mass, Vermont, Virginia, Idaho, and Ohio (fully half of the states on Super Tuesday) and Gingrich and Santorum split the rest, Romney will clearly be in the driver's seat and be positioned for a chance to win the nomination outright. On the other hand, if a united Santorum and Gingrich vote would beat Romney in some states, then a clear strategy for either Gingrich or Santorum to throw in with the other will be the only path to stop Romney and have a stronger conservative potentially win the nomination.

In my opinion, the tough primary is strengthening the candidates, keeping the GOP message in the news (despite attacks on each other), and preparing the nominee to fight Obama. Any of the four would be orders of magnitude better than Barack Obama and his dimsal failures. So, here's the table as of March 1st, 2012. I have it going out through the Primary in Texas, but will extend it if necessary.

---

2012 GOP Presidential Primary Season Tracker (including caucuses) - LAST UPDATE: March 1, 2012

2012 GOP Primaries	Date	Mitt Romney				Newt Gingrich				Rick Santorum				Ron Paul				Ron Huntsman			Rick Perry			Michele Bachman			Herman Cain			Totals
		Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	Del's
Iowa	1/3/2012	29,805	24.58%	7		16,163	13.33%	2		29,839	24.61%	7	1	26,036	21.47%	7		739	0.61%	0	12,557	10.36%	0	6,046	4.99%	0	58	0.05%	0	121,243	23
New Hamp	1/10/2012	97,601	39.81%	7	1	23,291	9.50%	0		23,362	9.53%	0		56,872	23.20%	3		41,783	17.04%	2	1,764	0.72%	0	350	0.14%	0	160	0.07%	0	245,183	12
South Caro	1/21/2012	168,152	27.86%	2		244,133	40.44%	23	1	102,492	16.98%	0		78,362	12.98%	0		1,173	0.19%	0	2,534	0.42%	0	491	0.08%	0	6,326	1.05%	0	603,663	25
Florida	1/31/2012	776,059	46.44%	50	2	534,040	31.96%	0		223,208	13.36%	0		117,410	7.03%	0		6,199	0.37%	0	6,773	0.41%	0	3,967	0.24%		3,492	0.21%	0	1,671,148	50
Nevada	2/4/2012	16,486	50.12%	14	3	6,956	21.15%	6		3,277	9.96%	3		6,175	18.77%	5		0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	32,894	28
Main		2,190	39.65%	9	4	349	6.32%	0		989	17.90%	3		1,996	36.13%	7		0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	5,524	19
Colorado	2/7/2012	22,875	35.00%	13		8,394	12.84%	1		26,372	40.35%	17	2	7,713	11.80%	1		0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	65,354	32
Minnesota		8,096	16.97%	2		5,134	10.76%	2		21,436	44.94%	6	3	13,030	27.32%	4		0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	47,696	14
Missouri		63,826	26.24%	0		9,859	4.05%	0		138,957	57.12%	0	4	30,641	12.59%	0		0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%		0	0.00%	0	243,283	0
Arizona	2/28/2012	216,805	47.99%	29	5	74,110	16.40%	0		122,088	27.03%	0		38,753	8.58%	0		0	0.00%	0		0.00%	0		0.00%		0	0.00%		451,756	29
Michigan		409,899	42.34%	15	6	65,016	6.72%	0		377,521	38.99%	15		115,712	11.95%	0		0	0.00%	0		0.00%	0		0.00%		0	0.00%		968,148	30
Washington	3/3/2012																														0
Wyoming		822	38.99%	10	7	165	7.83%	1		673	31.93%	9		439	20.83%	6		3	0.14%		2	0.09%		2	0.09%		2	0.09%		2,108	26
Alaska	3/6/2012																														27
Georgia	S																														76
Idaho	u																														32
Massachusetts	p																														41
North Dakota	e																														28
Ohio	r																														66
Oklahoma																															43
Tennessee	T																														58
Vermont	u																														17
Virginia	e																														49
Kansas	3/10/2012																														40
Guam																															9
Virgin Islands																															9
Alabama	3/13/2012																														50
Am Somoa																															9
Hawaii																															20
Mississippi																															40
Missouri	3/17/2012																														52
Puerto Rico	3/18/2024																														23
Illinois	3/20/2012																														69
Louisiana	3/24/2012																														46
DC	4/3/2012																														19
Maryland																															37
Wisconsin																															42
Texas																															155
At large Del's				23				4				1				0				0			0			0					22
TOTALS		1,812,616	40.66%	181	7	987,610	22.15%	39	1	1,070,214	24.01%	61	4	493,139	11.06%	33	0	49,897	1.12%	2	23,630	0.53%	0	10,856	0.24%	0	10,038	0.23%	0	4,458,000	1450

---

Right now, Santorum has my vote here in Idaho. Though all of them have their problems, Santorum reflects my own positons and values more closely, though I will support any of these GOP candidates, whichever wins the nomination against the abject marxist ideolog, Obama.

Newt has a lot of great idaes and excites people. Romney will probably draw more independents and moderates and knows economic issues from the private sector standpoint better than any other. Paul is very constitutional in his approach to money and economics and foreign policy, but his achillies heel for me is his stance on Iran where he would in essence ignore their nuclear efforts and allow them to proceed unhindered. Santorum has waged a campaign of hard work and faith. He's not "stellar" and does not project a lot of glitter...but he's very steady.

If you have a mind, please ping others to this GOP PRimary Tracker page.

America is at the crossroads of history and we must choose aright
(http://www.jeffhead.com/crossroads.htm)

Jeff Head
March 1, 2012

[Jeff Head]

Here's the tracker after the Washington caucus with those delgates added.

Once agaion, a combined more conservative vote would have defeated Romney. As it is, he took the lion's share of the delegates.

---

2012 GOP Presidential Primary Season Tracker (including caucuses) - LAST UPDATE: March 4, 2012

2012 GOP Primaries	Date	Mitt Romney				Newt Gingrich				Rick Santorum				Ron Paul				Ron Huntsman			Rick Perry			Michele Bachman			Herman Cain			Totals
		Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	Del's
Iowa	1/3/2012	29,805	24.58%	7	0	16,163	13.33%	2	0	29,839	24.61%	7	1	26,036	21.47%	7	0	739	0.61%	0	12,557	10.36%	0	6,046	4.99%	0	58	0.05%	0	121,243	23
New Hamp	1/10/2012	97,601	39.81%	7	1	23,291	9.50%	0	0	23,362	9.53%	0	0	56,872	23.20%	3	0	41,783	17.04%	2	1,764	0.72%	0	350	0.14%	0	160	0.07%	0	245,183	12
South Caro	1/21/2012	168,152	27.86%	2	0	244,133	40.44%	23	1	102,492	16.98%	0	0	78,362	12.98%	0	0	1,173	0.19%	0	2,534	0.42%	0	491	0.08%	0	6,326	1.05%	0	603,663	25
Florida	1/31/2012	776,059	46.44%	50	2	534,040	31.96%	0	0	223,208	13.36%	0	0	117,410	7.03%	0	0	6,199	0.37%	0	6,773	0.41%	0	3,967	0.24%	0	3,492	0.21%	0	1,671,148	50
Nevada	2/4/2012	16,486	50.12%	14	3	6,956	21.15%	6	0	3,277	9.96%	3	0	6,175	18.77%	5	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	32,894	28
Main		2,190	39.65%	9	4	349	6.32%	0	0	989	17.90%	3	0	1,996	36.13%	7	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	5,524	19
Colorado	2/7/2012	22,875	35.00%	13	0	8,394	12.84%	1	0	26,372	40.35%	17	2	7,713	11.80%	1	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	65,354	32
Minnesota		8,096	16.97%	2	0	5,134	10.76%	1	0	21,436	44.94%	25	3	13,030	27.32%	9	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	47,696	14
Missouri		63,826	26.24%	0	0	9,859	4.05%	0	0	138,957	57.12%	0	4	30,641	12.59%	0	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	243,283	0
Arizona	2/28/2012	216,805	47.99%	29	5	74,110	16.40%	0	0	122,088	27.03%	0	0	38,753	8.58%	0	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	451,756	29
Michigan		409,899	42.34%	16	6	65,016	6.72%	0	0	377,521	38.99%	14	0	115,712	11.95%	0	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	968,148	30
Washington	3/3/2012	19,111	38.99%	30	7	5,221	10.65%	0	0	12,089	24.66%	5	0	12,594	25.69%	5	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	49.015	40
Wyoming		822	38.99%	10	8	165	7.83%	1	0	673	31.93%	9	0	439	20.83%	6	0	3	0.14%	0	2	0.09%	0	2	0.09%	0	2	0.09%	0	2,108	26
Alaska	3/6/2012																														27
Georgia	S																														76
Idaho	u																														32
Massachusetts	p																														41
North Dakota	e																														28
Ohio	r																														66
Oklahoma																															43
Tennessee	T																														58
Vermont	u																														17
Virginia	e																														49
Kansas	3/10/2012																														40
Guam																															9
Virgin Islands																															9
Alabama	3/13/2012																														50
Am Somoa																															9
Hawaii																															20
Mississippi																															40
Missouri	3/17/2012																														52
Puerto Rico	3/18/2024																														23
Illinois	3/20/2012																														69
Louisiana	3/24/2012																														46
DC	4/3/2012																														19
Maryland																															37
Wisconsin																															42
Texas																															155
At large Del's				24				4				2				1				0			0			0					22
TOTALS		1,831,727	40.64%	213	8	992,831	22.03%	39	1	1,082,303	24.01%	85	4	505,733	11.22%	44	0	49,897	1.12%	2	23,630	0.53%	0	10,856	0.24%	0	10,038	0.23%	0	4,458,000	1450

[Jeff Head]

Here's the tracker after the Washington caucus with those delgates added.

Once agaion, a combined more conservative vote would have defeated Romney. As it is, he took the lion's share of the delegates.

---

2012 GOP Presidential Primary Season Tracker (including caucuses) - LAST UPDATE: March 4, 2012

2012 GOP Primaries	Date	Mitt Romney				Newt Gingrich				Rick Santorum				Ron Paul				Ron Huntsman			Rick Perry			Michele Bachman			Herman Cain			Totals
		Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	Del's
Iowa	1/3/2012	29,805	24.58%	7	0	16,163	13.33%	2	0	29,839	24.61%	7	1	26,036	21.47%	7	0	739	0.61%	0	12,557	10.36%	0	6,046	4.99%	0	58	0.05%	0	121,243	23
New Hamp	1/10/2012	97,601	39.81%	7	1	23,291	9.50%	0	0	23,362	9.53%	0	0	56,872	23.20%	3	0	41,783	17.04%	2	1,764	0.72%	0	350	0.14%	0	160	0.07%	0	245,183	12
South Caro	1/21/2012	168,152	27.86%	2	0	244,133	40.44%	23	1	102,492	16.98%	0	0	78,362	12.98%	0	0	1,173	0.19%	0	2,534	0.42%	0	491	0.08%	0	6,326	1.05%	0	603,663	25
Florida	1/31/2012	776,059	46.44%	50	2	534,040	31.96%	0	0	223,208	13.36%	0	0	117,410	7.03%	0	0	6,199	0.37%	0	6,773	0.41%	0	3,967	0.24%	0	3,492	0.21%	0	1,671,148	50
Nevada	2/4/2012	16,486	50.12%	14	3	6,956	21.15%	6	0	3,277	9.96%	3	0	6,175	18.77%	5	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	32,894	28
Main		2,190	39.65%	9	4	349	6.32%	0	0	989	17.90%	3	0	1,996	36.13%	7	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	5,524	19
Colorado	2/7/2012	22,875	35.00%	13	0	8,394	12.84%	1	0	26,372	40.35%	17	2	7,713	11.80%	1	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	65,354	32
Minnesota		8,096	16.97%	2	0	5,134	10.76%	1	0	21,436	44.94%	25	3	13,030	27.32%	9	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	47,696	14
Missouri		63,826	26.24%	0	0	9,859	4.05%	0	0	138,957	57.12%	0	4	30,641	12.59%	0	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	243,283	0
Arizona	2/28/2012	216,805	47.99%	29	5	74,110	16.40%	0	0	122,088	27.03%	0	0	38,753	8.58%	0	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	451,756	29
Michigan		409,899	42.34%	16	6	65,016	6.72%	0	0	377,521	38.99%	14	0	115,712	11.95%	0	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	968,148	30
Washington	3/3/2012	19,111	38.99%	30	7	5,221	10.65%	0	0	12,089	24.66%	5	0	12,594	25.69%	5	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	49.015	40
Wyoming		822	38.99%	10	8	165	7.83%	1	0	673	31.93%	9	0	439	20.83%	6	0	3	0.14%	0	2	0.09%	0	2	0.09%	0	2	0.09%	0	2,108	26
Alaska	3/6/2012																														27
Georgia	S																														76
Idaho	u																														32
Massachusetts	p																														41
North Dakota	e																														28
Ohio	r																														66
Oklahoma																															43
Tennessee	T																														58
Vermont	u																														17
Virginia	e																														49
Kansas	3/10/2012																														40
Guam																															9
Virgin Islands																															9
Alabama	3/13/2012																														50
Am Somoa																															9
Hawaii																															20
Mississippi																															40
Missouri	3/17/2012																														52
Puerto Rico	3/18/2024																														23
Illinois	3/20/2012																														69
Louisiana	3/24/2012																														46
DC	4/3/2012																														19
Maryland																															37
Wisconsin																															42
Texas																															155
At large Del's				24				4				2				1				0			0			0					22
TOTALS		1,831,727	40.64%	213	8	992,831	22.03%	39	1	1,082,303	24.01%	85	4	505,733	11.22%	44	0	49,897	1.12%	2	23,630	0.53%	0	10,856	0.24%	0	10,038	0.23%	0	4,458,000	1450

[Alamo-Girl]

Thanks for the ping!

[Jeff Head]

Here's my analysis from my latest update to my GOP Primary Tracker Site:

---

Super Tuesday is now over. 10 States held primaries or caucuses. Mitt Romney won 6 of the 10. Rick Santorum won 3 of the 10, and Newt Gingrich one 1 of 10, his home state of Georgia.. A majority was won by a single candidate in only tree of the states. All by Mitt Romney with Mass at 72%, Idaho at 62% and Virginia at 60%. Of the total of 23 contests held to date, Romney has won an absolute majority 4 times, adding Nevada to the above at just over 50%. The only other majority win was Santorum in Missouri with 57%. To date, Romney has won 14 contests, Santorum has won 7 contests, and Newt Gingrich has won 2 contests. Ron Paul has not won any.

In the popular vote, to date Romney leads with over 3.2 million votes which is right at 40%. Santorum is second with 2 million votes or 26% , Gingrich is third with 1.8 million votes or 22% and Ron Paul is fourth with 900 thousand votes or 11%.

The effectiveness of Romney's campaign however, can be measured in his delegate count. Although he has only one 40% of the popular vote, this has translated to date into 431 delgates or 54% of the total delegates awarded to date. Santorum follows with 176 delegates or 21%, Gingrich with 126 or 15% and Paul with 79 delegates or 10%. At this rate, Romney has a good chance of winning the delegates needed to clinch the nomination before the convention, but it will go on until late in the season.

So, after Santorum's three win in February, Romney bounced back with five straight wins. On March 6th, Super Tuesday, Romney added six more wins, Santorum three more, and Gingrich one more. Romney is estatic about coming from behind and winning Ohio, though it was a near thing. Because of the closeness of the Ohio votes, and his other three wins, Santorum vows to stay in. Gingrich because of his strong win in his home state of Georgia also vows to stay in, and there was never any question, even with no wins, that Ron Paul will stay in on principle.

In my opinion, the tough primary season, despite pundents prognostications, continues to strengthen the candidates, keeping the GOP message at the top of the news cycle, and preparing the nominee to fight Obama. Any of the four would be orders of magnitude better than Barack Obama and his dismal failures. Here's the GOPTracking results now after Super Tuesday.

---

2012 GOP Presidential Primary Season Tracker (including caucuses) - LAST UPDATE: March 7, 2012

2012 GOP Primaries	Date	Mitt Romney				Newt Gingrich				Rick Santorum				Ron Paul				Ron Huntsman			Rick Perry			Michele Bachman			Herman Cain			Totals
		Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Win	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	%	Del's	Votes	Del's
Iowa	1/3/2012	29,805	24.58%	7	-	16,163	13.33%	2	-	29,839	24.61%	7	1	26,036	21.47%	7	-	739	0.61%	0	12,557	10.36%	0	6,046	4.99%	0	58	0.05%	0	121,243	23
New Hamp	1/10/2012	97,601	39.81%	7	1	23,291	9.50%	0	-	23,362	9.53%	0	-	56,872	23.20%	3	-	41,783	17.04%	2	1,764	0.72%	0	350	0.14%	0	160	0.07%	0	245,183	12
South Caro	1/21/2012	168,152	27.86%	2	-	244,133	40.44%	23	1	102,492	16.98%	0	-	78,362	12.98%	0	-	1,173	0.19%	0	2,534	0.42%	0	491	0.08%	0	6,326	1.05%	0	603,663	25
Florida	1/31/2012	776,059	46.44%	50	2	534,040	31.96%	0	-	223,208	13.36%	0	-	117,410	7.03%	0	-	6,199	0.37%	0	6,773	0.41%	0	3,967	0.24%	0	3,492	0.21%	0	1,671,148	50
Nevada	2/4/2012	16,486	50.12%	14	3	6,956	21.15%	6	-	3,277	9.96%	3	-	6,175	18.77%	5	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	32,894	28
Main		2,190	39.65%	9	4	349	6.32%	0	-	989	17.90%	3	-	1,996	36.13%	7	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	5,524	19
Colorado	2/7/2012	22,875	35.00%	13	-	8,394	12.84%	1	-	26,372	40.35%	17	2	7,713	11.80%	1	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	65,354	32
Minnesota		8,096	16.97%	2	-	5,134	10.76%	1	-	21,436	44.94%	25	3	13,030	27.32%	9	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	47,696	14
Missouri		63,826	26.24%	0	-	9,859	4.05%	0	-	138,957	57.12%	0	4	30,641	12.59%	0	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	243,283	0
Arizona	2/28/2012	216,805	47.99%	29	5	74,110	16.40%	0	-	122,088	27.03%	0	-	38,753	8.58%	0	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	451,756	29
Michigan		409,899	42.34%	16	6	65,016	6.72%	0	-	377,521	38.99%	14	-	115,712	11.95%	0	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	968,148	30
Washington	3/3/2012	19,111	37.65%	30	7	5,221	10.28%	0	-	12,089	23.81%	5	-	12,594	24.81%	5	-	924	1.82%	0	437	0.86%	0	198	0.39%	0	190	0.37%	0	50,764	40
Wyoming		822	38.99%	10	8	165	7.83%	1	-	673	31.93%	9	-	439	20.83%	6	-	3	0.14%	0	2	0.09%	0	2	0.09%	0	2	0.09%	0	2,108	26
Alaska	3/6/2012	4,285	32.52%	8	9	1,856	14.09%	3	-	3,860	29.30%	7	-	3,175	24.10%	6	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	13,176	24
Georgia	S	225,926	25.18%	15	-	417,364	47.81%	47	2	172,473	19.76%	10	-	57,125	6.54%	4	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	872,888	76
Idaho	u	27,514	61.61%	32	10	940	2.11%	0	-	8,115	18.17%	0	-	8,086	18.11%	0	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	44,655	32
Massachusetts	p	260,509	73.29%	41	11	16,756	4.71%	0	-	43,6114	12.27%	0	-	34,575	9.735	0	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	355,455	41
N. Dakota	e	2,691	23.71%	7	-	961	8.48%	2	-	4,510	39.74%	11	5	3,186	28.07%	8	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	11,349	28
Ohio	r	453,927	38.93%	32	12	174,606	14.78%	10	-	441,908	37.42%	20	-	110,633	9.37%	4	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	1,181,074	66
Oklahoma		80,291	28.34%	13	-	78,686	27.77%	13	-	96,759	34.15%	14	6	27,572	9.73%	13	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	283,208	43
Tennessee	T	153,889	28.46%	18	-	132,142	24.43%	12	-	204,978	37.90%	26	7	49,782	9.21%	2	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	540,791	58
Vermont	u	22,533	41.01%	9	13	4,606	8.39%	0	-	13,401	24.39%	4	-	14,407	26.22%	4	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	54,949	17
Virginia	e	158,050	59.52%	44	14	0	0.00%	0	-	0	0.00%	0	-	107,470	40.48%	5	-	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	0	0.00%	0	265,520	49
Kansas	3/10/2012																														40
Guam																															9
Virgin Islands																															9
Alabama	3/13/2012																														50
Am Somoa																															9
Hawaii																															20
Mississippi																															40
Missouri	3/17/2012																														52
Puerto Rico	3/18/2024																														23
Illinois	3/20/2012																														69
Louisiana	3/24/2012																														46
DC	4/3/2012																														19
Maryland																															37
Wisconsin																															42
Texas																															155
At large Del's				23				4				1				0				0			0			0					28
TOTALS		3,221,342	39.61%	431	14	1,820,751	22.39%	124	2	2,071,921	25.48%	183	7	921,744	11.33%	78	0	50,821	1.13%	2	24,067	0.53%	0	11,054	0.25%	0	10,228	0.23%	0	8,131,928	814
To Date % of	Delegates		Romney	53%			Gingrich	15%			Santorum	21%			Paul	10%			Huntsman	<1%		Perry	0%		Bachman	0%		Cain	0%

---

In my estimation, Super Tuesday though certainly not a "knock out" by any means, represented a moderatley strong showing and victory for Romney. He took six states and the lion's share of delegates and is on a path to outright win the nomination. Santorum had a decent night, but it had to be disappointing. If he had won Ohio and his margins had been better in Okalahoma and Tennessee, he would have had an outstanding night. Newt Gingrich has to be strongly disappointed. He won his home state by 20 ponits (but to be fair, Romney won his true home state by 60 points), but then Newt finished 3rd or fourth in all other contests and had a much smaller delegate count to show for it. For Paul, it has to be a huge disappointment. Though finishing second in a couple of races, his overall delegate count, even in the caucus states was meager at best. He was hoping to win North Dakota and gain more delegates overall, but none of that happened.

Romney will most probably at this point begin to pivot and focus more and more on going head to head with Obama and concentrating on finding a VP pick that will solidify as much of the party and base as he can for the general election.

Only by uniting, can Santorum and Gingrich now prevent Romney from having a real strong chance of winning the nomination outright. At this point I think the best they can hope for is a brokered convention...otherwise, mathematically, I believe Romney will ultimately eak out a win...probably at the 50-55% range of delegates needed. It seems at this point, for whatever reason, that Gingrich and Santorum are unwilling to unite, so they will continue to split the more conservative vote and allow Romney to win more contests and win a larger proportion of delegates in so doing. In the end, I will support any of the GOP candidates, whichever wins the nomination against the abject marxist ideolog, Obama, as any one of them will be far better than Barack Obama. Four more years of his horrific leadership and fundamental change could easily put this nation in a economic, debt, foreign policy, and energy hole we will have a very difficult and very painful time of digging our way out of...and at the cost of decades of heavy burden placed on our children and grandchildren.

If you have a mind, please ping others to this GOP Primary Tracker page.

America is at the crossroads of history and we must choose aright
(http://www.jeffhead.com/crossroads.htm)

Jeff Head
March 7, 2012

[AmericanInTokyo]

Time for Santorum and Gingrich to maybe meet at a hotel business room somewhere, no reporters, one or two aides a piece perhaps for notetaking, and have a heart-to-heart "discussion" about the future of this and the party and truly knocking out Obama by first knocking out Mitt and the RINO elites. There is nothing illegal about this, nothing collusive in my book as far as I know, if the greater good is to somehow unite ASAP and figure out a way to stop Romney. It is too much in the heighth of politics to ask this though, and regardless whom you support, it generally is a world of big egos and lots of cash but lots of emotions. Maybe a "neutral", (truly neutral) bona fide national conservative figure can act as a neutral, go-between ombudsman to arbitrate this?

For pete's sake, the two of them are combined getting nearly 50% of the popular vote added together, and Romney barely gets past 39%.

The Democrats did this in 1972 and 1976 against George Wallace. Classic reverse case. A conservative, anti establishment candidate was racking up a terrible storm in state by state, taking on the moderate/liberal Dem. ESTABLISHMENT, so they got behind closed doors and they said "you take Wallace on this state and the rest of us will stay out", and "you take Wallace down in this state (i.e. Carter), and the rest stay out", etc. etc. It was called the ABW movement. Anybody but Wallace. And for all intents and purposes, it worked.

[AmericanInTokyo]

The “ABW” strategy within the Democrat Party may well have been in 1976 rather than in 1972, I forget which, although I do know in 1972 he was stopped by an assailant in a shopping center. So I assume their anti-Wallace powows were in 76.

[amom]

Thanks for this summary and update Jeff. Interesting.

[Jeff Head]

Good stuff, and exactly the type of thing I have been discussing on other threads about what Santorum and Gingrich must do if they have a chance of one or the other getting the nomination and stopping Romney.

Right now with the delegate count, Romney is playing a disciplined and smart campaign for himself, ammassing over 50% of the delegates with just 40% of the vote. the two of them together (Newt and Rick) could stop that if they come together and one of them steps back for the betterment of the country.