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To: Laissez-faire capitalist

How are they able to get two decimal points of precision on 2,600 voters? 0.38% isn’t a significant lead with 95% confidence unless there are 66,500 or more respondents in the survey.

It’s a dead heat...


4 posted on 01/28/2012 10:24:09 AM PST by oblomov
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To: oblomov; All

2,567 likely voters to be precise.


9 posted on 01/28/2012 10:26:40 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist
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To: oblomov

There would have to be a significant pool. Probably at the level you affixed to it (65k). Maybe more.

Nonetheless, it is a dead heat with Newt by a nose.


13 posted on 01/28/2012 10:37:11 AM PST by Laissez-faire capitalist
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To: oblomov

You are right, but a dead-heat is an improvement.


18 posted on 01/28/2012 10:58:02 AM PST by achilles2000 ("I'll agree to save the whales as long as we can deport the liberals")
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To: oblomov
How are they able to get two decimal points of precision on 2,600 voters?

Yeah, their stated margin of error is +/- 1.93 points. I've never seen poll results stated to two decimal places. I think someone has a little too much faith in his whiz-bang statistical calculator.

61 posted on 01/28/2012 2:10:39 PM PST by BfloGuy (The final outcome of the credit expansion is general impoverishment.)
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To: oblomov
It’s a dead heat...

I'll report it like liberal would: "Newt surges to unbeatable lead in Florida..."

71 posted on 01/28/2012 2:45:18 PM PST by Caipirabob (I say we take off and Newt the site from orbit. It's the only way to be sure...)
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