Insider Advantage Poll - Florida (Newt 34, Mitt 25)

realclearpolitics.com ^ | 1/22/12 | staff

[TexasFreeper2009]

Gingrich 34.4 Romney 25.6

[Future Useless Eater]

Does anyone know why she went so nuts over Romney?

Ann votes in Palm Beach FL, but owns a condo in NYC, which she calls home.

NYC is right on the border of the six-state area that is considered "New England". Only tiny CT separates NYC from MA, and it is about a 2.5 hr drive from NYC to the MA state line.

Most of the NYC elite feel a kinship with MA much like most of the south feel a kinship with Georgia and Newt.

This also helps explain most of Fox News' insanity toward Romney as well.

[Carry_Okie]

How many Speakers passed balanced budgets in the last 50 years?

Well, there's an inadequate proposal for one only last year that he called "Right wing social engineering." Doesn't that warn your heart?

Why, that would be the same Speaker who wrote "Contract with the Earth," advocated carbon trading, amnesty for Illegals, cash for clunkers, a world biological diversity refuge system, the healthcare mandate, protecting the ESA, public private partnerships for green energy businesses, support for the NEA, and gave all kinds of deference to the very "scientists" that gave us everything from bogus temperature records to planted lynx hairs on trees...

Yeah, that guy. If he can lie to his wife, he can lie to you.

What these big swings in the Republican primary polls really tell us is that much of the support for all these candidates is both shallow and reluctant. It means that it could all swing again and very quickly should any of the mud that's a coming stick. And no, they're not out of mud, not by a long shot. I'm keeping my head, thank you.

[JediJones]

Mitt Romney - Can’t Buy Your Vote lyrics

Can’t buy your vote, vote
Can’t buy your vote

I’ll buy you Romneycare my friend
If it makes you feel all right
I’ll make your mortgage payments end
If it helps you sleep at night
Cause you don’t care too much for Romney
For Romney can’t buy your vote

I’ll give you lots of free food stamps
If you say you’ll vote for me
I may not have balanced budgets
but what I can I’ll buy for you
For you don’t care too much for Romney
For Romney can’t buy your vote

Can’t buy your vote
Dick Morris tells me so
Can’t buy your vote
No, no, no, no

Say you won’t be a welfare queen
And I’ll be satisfied
Tell me energy that isn’t green
is just perfectly fine
For you don’t care too much for Romney
For Romney can’t buy your vote

Can’t buy your vote
Frank Luntz tells me so
Can’t buy your vote
No, no, no, no

Say you don’t need no Medicaid
And I’ll be satisfied
Tell me you don’t need tuition paid
in order to get by
For you don’t care too much for Romney
Cause Romney can’t buy your vote
Ooh, can’t buy your vote, vote
Can’t buy your vote, no

[varina davis]

I hope Christie does not run. He looks like he’s about 1 hour away from a coronary. He has some serious health issues.

[Carry_Okie]

Have a lovely evening. He doesn’t have a chance, and may prevent the only conservative that has a chance. NEWT!!

Let's see, that is one familiar claim, very similar to this little quote from Carl Greenberg of the LA Times, Jan. 4, 1966:

“Every check I have made and Brown has made indicates that I’d be difficult to beat and that Brown would decisively defeat Ronald Reagan.” Christopher contended. But he claimed the Democrats will try to make it appear Reagan is the man they fear in a race against Brown.

[Carry_Okie]

Santorum can’t win even if he’s the last one in. He’s too green.

See post 145. Oh, and allow me to add this quote from the same 1966 LAT article cited there:

In what appeared to be repeated allusions to Reagan, who has never held public office, Christopher said Republicans “should ask themselves now what experience does the candidate have to hold the office of governor.”

“It’s going to be a difficult race at best. But when all the glamour has worn off, the man elected will be a very lonely man and it will be a very intense job, because if we lose I dare say we shall not recoup for 20 years or more.”

[Future Useless Eater]

Anybody know how reliable this poll is? How did the poll do in South Carolina?

The Insider Advantage poll was accurate in SC. It was taken taken just ONE day after the Monday debate in SC where he got his first standing ovation, so Newt was surging at that point, but he had not yet reached his full SC strength. And the poll DID fit the curve, along with other polls that said he was surging, and Romney was falling.

[tsowellfan]

But then, I said that when so many fell for Arnold in California

Arnold had no political experience before running for governor.

Newt has a resume which I really like. Newt has proven history.

[Chgogal]

Again who is Mitt different from Obama?

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2011/10/11/romneys-advisers-met-with-obama-to-help-craft-obama-care/

[Chgogal]

Again how is Mitt different from Obama?

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2011/10/11/romneys-advisers-met-with-obama-to-help-craft-obama-care/

[Utmost Certainty]

Newt’s bringing together a coalition of conservative visions. He’s got Rick Perry on board who brings the theme of states rights. I’ve heard Newt talking a lot about sound money lately, which is Ron Paul’s theme. I believe there will be more additions.

In Newt’s SC victory speech, he said he isn’t running a Republican campaign—but an American campaign. This’ll be something momentous in scope like we’ve never seen before.

[Carry_Okie]

Again who is Mitt different from Obama?

Lemming.

My dog could beat Obama if she was a conservative.

[JediJones]

On Meet the Press today Newt came down hard on the establishment in a counterattack when DG brought up the establishment’s criticism of him. He basically said what the establishment has done to this country in the last 10 years is indefensible and he is all too happy to be running against them. It was a powerful statement because I know it will resonate with most people. Newt’s almost varnishing himself with a teflon coating here. The more the establishment attacks him, the more he can claim he is the anti-establishment choice, which will only make him more popular with primary voters, at least all the ones who aren’t fat and happy Wall Street investment bankers and hedge fund traders.

[Utmost Certainty]

Yup. Newt’s emerging as the true anti-establishment Tea Party leader, plus more.

[Utmost Certainty]

If Newt wins nomination and eventually presidency—which I firmly believe he will—then it’s going to be an interesting time to be alive.

[Chgogal]

If Romney wins the nomination I will wish your dog is running for POTUS.

BTW, is your dog smarter than you? Just wondering.

You refuse to answer my question. How is Romney different than Obama?

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2011/10/11/romneys-advisers-met-with-obama-to-help-craft-obama-care/

[Chgogal]

Gee, this is interesting.

http://www.redstate.com/erick/2012/01/22/money-for-santorum/

“I can confirm tonight from multiple sources that phone calls are in fact occurring between Republicans in Washington and among evangelical leaders to raise money for Rick Santorum rapidly.

[Psalm 144]

“Not necessarily. Mitt willwin Michigan, Nevada, Colorado, and Utah. By the time Super Tuesday gets here, yhe media will be back to inevitability. This thing is going long past Florida.”

Romney will do best in blue states, Gingrich in red. This will underscore the fault lines of American culture. Think Russia and Ukraine, Austria and Hungary.

Romney will also be meaner than cat’s piss when he is frustrated, and this will upset his view of the cosmos.

He is not a whole or well person. How could he be? There is no there there. He will do all he can to thwart any challenger, even after he has been defeated in the primary.

[Psalm 144]

“Romney needs to be stopped because he is Mass liberal, but I think he would hold the south against Obama in a general.”

I rather doubt it. He is the very antithesis of the South. Smug, arrogant, cold, stiff, unprincipled, condescending, gun controlling, statist, abotionist, teetotaller elitist whose whole family avoids military service. A fair number of southerners will go for some third party or independent as a protest vote, and a greater number will not bother to turn out to vote for this alien over the other alien.

If Romney is the cram down candidate for the GOP in 2012, look instead for the gradual unraveling of Nixon’s entire southern strategy, just as the Bush family eventually unraveled the Reagan coalition.

[Psalm 144]

“Theoretically all the evangelicals who just won’t vote for Newt are more likely to go for Santorum than Romney. If he leaves, then I thought Romney might benefit.”

Depends on how proactively Gingrich addresses his sexual and marital history. Against Romney is the whole Mormon issue. If Romney had a solid conservative track record, evangelicals would probably support him despite the Mormon baggage, but he does not. There is -nothing- there to attract evangelicals except perhaps an absence of petty vice.

As for Gingrich, yes, he has a record of sins (as do we ALL), BUT he has addressed them in a way that connects with evangelicals. He has acknowledged wrong, expressed his repentance and reached for redemption. That is the tale of the prodigal son, of David, or of Paul. THAT is more captivating for most evangelicals than a smug “X don’t smoke nor drink nor chew, and X don’t kiss no girls who do” line of approach.

Evangelicals should NOT be confused with Puritans or the Inquisition. Evangelicals understand repentance and forgiveness and restoration.