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New analysis shows three human migrations out of Africa, Replacement theory 'demolished'
Washington University in St. Louis ^ | 02 February 2006 | Tony Fitzpatrick

Posted on 02/10/2006 2:54:05 AM PST by PatrickHenry

A new, more robust analysis of recently derived human gene trees by Alan R. Templeton, Ph.D, of Washington University in St Louis, shows three distinct major waves of human migration out of Africa instead of just two, and statistically refutes — strongly — the 'Out of Africa' replacement theory.

That theory holds that populations of Homo sapiens left Africa 100,000 years ago and wiped out existing populations of humans. Templeton has shown that the African populations interbred with the Eurasian populations — thus, making love, not war.

"The 'Out of Africa' replacement theory has always been a big controversy," Templeton said. "I set up a null hypothesis and the program rejected that hypothesis using the new data with a probability level of 10 to the minus 17th. In science, you don't get any more conclusive than that. It says that the hypothesis of no interbreeding is so grossly incompatible with the data, that you can reject it."


Homo sapiens: 'Out of Africa' three distinct times, new analysis shows

Templeton's analysis is considered to be the only definitive statistical test to refute the theory, dominant in human evolution science for more than two decades.

"Not only does the new analysis reject the theory, it demolishes it," Templeton said.

Templeton published his results in the Yearbook of Physical Anthropology, 2005.

A trellis, not a tree

He used a computer program called GEODIS, which he created in 1995 and later modified with the help of David Posada, Ph.D., and Keith Crandall, Ph.D. at Brigham Young University, to determine genetic relationships among and within populations based on an examination of specific haplotypes, clusters of genes that are inherited as a unit.

In 2002, Templeton analyzed ten different haplotype trees and performed phylogeographic analyses that reconstructed the history of the species through space and time.

Three years later, he had 25 regions to analyze and the data provided molecular evidence of a third migration, this one the oldest, back to 1.9 million years ago.

"This time frame corresponds extremely well with the fossil record, which shows Homo erectus expanding out of Africa then," Templeton said.

Another novel find is that populations of Homo erectus in Eurasia had recurrent genetic interchange with African populations 1.5 million years ago, much earlier than previously thought, and that these populations persisted instead of going extinct, which some human evolution researchers thought had occurred.

The new data confirm an expansion out of Africa to 700,000 years ago that was detected in the 2002 analysis.

"Both (the 1.9 million and 700,000 year) expansions coincide with recent paleoclimatic data that indicate periods of very high rainfall in eastern Africa, making what is now the Sahara Desert a savannah," Templeton said. "That makes the timing very amenable for movements of large populations through the area."

Templeton said that the fossil record indicates a significant change in brain size for modern humans at 700,000 years ago as well as the adaptation and expansion of a new stone tool culture first found in Africa and later at 700,000 years expanded throughout Eurasia.

"By the time you're done with this phase you can be 99 percent confident that there was recurrent genetic interchange between African and Eurasian populations," he said. "So the idea of pure, distinct races in humans does not exist. We humans don't have a tree relationship, rather a trellis. We're intertwined."


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: africa; bloodbath; creation; crevolist; dmanisi; evolution; godsgravesglyphs; helixmakemineadouble; homoerectus; multiregionalism; origin; origins; outofafrica
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I post, you decide.
1 posted on 02/10/2006 2:54:07 AM PST by PatrickHenry
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To: VadeRetro; Junior; longshadow; RadioAstronomer; Doctor Stochastic; js1138; Shryke; RightWhale; ...
Evolution Ping

The List-O-Links
A conservative, pro-evolution science list, now with over 340 names.
See the list's explanation, then FReepmail to be added or dropped.
To assist beginners: But it's "just a theory", Evo-Troll's Toolkit,
and How to argue against a scientific theory.

2 posted on 02/10/2006 2:55:35 AM PST by PatrickHenry (Cold fusion -- teach the controversy!)
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To: PatrickHenry

Ah Dam Bubba now what ya gonna do with all them hoods?


3 posted on 02/10/2006 3:00:36 AM PST by kentj
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To: PatrickHenry

"Templeton said that the fossil record indicates a significant change in brain size for modern humans at 700,000 years ago..."

"Heyyyyy...wait a minute...we're still in Africa! OOweena! Get the kids...we're leavin!"


4 posted on 02/10/2006 3:17:51 AM PST by Adder (Can we bring back stoning again? Please?)
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To: PatrickHenry
"I set up a null hypothesis and the program rejected that hypothesis using the new data with a probability level of 10 to the minus 17th. In science, you don't get any more conclusive than that. It says that the hypothesis of no interbreeding is so grossly incompatible with the data, that you can reject it."

A very neat illustration of the self-correcting mechanism in scientific methodology, and Popper's principle of "falsifiability". I have marvelled to witness, on another thread here, that a number of folks don't seem to understand the scientific meaning of 'theory,' and insist on using the term in its vernacular sense. Theory of Evolution is not controversial outside the US (at least, not in the developed western world), it is simply subject to increasing refinement as more data points are accumulated, as is any scientific theory.

5 posted on 02/10/2006 3:22:37 AM PST by ToryHeartland
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To: PatrickHenry

Is he saying that we do have a genetic intermix with Neanderthal or not? they supposedly went belly up around 35,000 years ago, but he wasn't talking about that time frame. I suppose if Neanderthal migrated back to africa over various periods of time that they are in our DNA and not just a dead end, but he is not that specific.


6 posted on 02/10/2006 3:23:08 AM PST by Vaquero ("An armed society is a polite society" Robert A. Heinlein)
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To: blam; martin_fierro

Just wanted to make sure you'f seen this...


7 posted on 02/10/2006 3:26:34 AM PST by Pharmboy (The stone age didn't end because they ran out of stones.)
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To: Vaquero

if we have any neanderthal DNA....it votes dem


8 posted on 02/10/2006 3:31:32 AM PST by Casaubon (Internet Research Ninja Masta)
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To: Vaquero
Is he saying that we do have a genetic intermix with Neanderthal

Didn't read the article yet but it's easily provable we have Neanderthal DNA. All ya hafta do is see a picture of my wife and her brothers.

Course she claims the same is true with me...sigh.

prisoner6

9 posted on 02/10/2006 3:50:51 AM PST by prisoner6 (Right Wing Nuts hold the country together as the loose screws of the left fall out)
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To: Casaubon

no its the 'out of Africa' DNA that votes the Ray Nagin, Barak Obama, and Bill Clinton (our first black prez).

While my 'Neaderthal' blood would vote for a Condi Rice (prez? why not) or a JC Watts for whatever. and Bless Judge Thomas and Judge Janice Rogers Brown.


10 posted on 02/10/2006 3:53:20 AM PST by Vaquero ("An armed society is a polite society" Robert A. Heinlein)
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To: prisoner6
My favorite Neanderthal Catcher, Joe Girardi. Just check out those brow ridges.
11 posted on 02/10/2006 3:58:15 AM PST by Vaquero ("An armed society is a polite society" Robert A. Heinlein)
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To: PatrickHenry
...and that these populations persisted instead of going extinct...

Okay, maybe the coffee hasn't kicked in yet, but what's the difference?

12 posted on 02/10/2006 3:59:21 AM PST by Junior (Identical fecal matter, alternate diurnal period)
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To: ToryHeartland
A very neat illustration of the self-correcting mechanism in scientific methodology...

Well said.

13 posted on 02/10/2006 4:02:24 AM PST by jalisco555 ("Dogs look up to us, cats look down on us and pigs treat us as equals" Winston Churchill)
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To: PatrickHenry

Please add me to your ping list.


14 posted on 02/10/2006 4:02:58 AM PST by jalisco555 ("Dogs look up to us, cats look down on us and pigs treat us as equals" Winston Churchill)
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To: PatrickHenry
Alright. I read the article. I'm too dumb to get its significance. Does this article make some kind of pro or anti evolution statement? Can someone please explain the significance in layman's terms?

p.s. I'm a Catholic so I don't have a dog in the evolution fight, it just bugs me when I read something and I still don't get it.

15 posted on 02/10/2006 4:04:58 AM PST by old and tired (Run Swannie, run!)
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To: old and tired

I'm Cahtolic as well, but I think it is saying something taht we've ALL ben taught. The only 'race' is the human race.


16 posted on 02/10/2006 4:11:08 AM PST by truemiester (If the U.S. should fail, a veil of darkness will come over the Earth for a thousand years)
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To: PatrickHenry
Templeton said that the fossil record indicates a significant change in brain size for modern humans at 700,000 years ago as well

Unfortunately, the first over-educated intellectuals developed right after that.

17 posted on 02/10/2006 4:11:34 AM PST by dirtboy (I'm fat, I sleep most of the winter and I saw my shadow yesterday. Does that make me a groundhog?)
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To: ToryHeartland

The theory of evolution is not controversial here. For lack of education or whatever, some people refuse to accept it. But their lack of any provable alternative and ability to formulate one does not make evolution controversial. Among the rest of the thinking and educated America, evolution is as accepted as the theory of gravity. IMHO, of course.


18 posted on 02/10/2006 4:14:09 AM PST by DaGman
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To: PatrickHenry

Maybe this explains why I have a thing for black chicks.


19 posted on 02/10/2006 4:17:35 AM PST by ovrtaxt (Muslims are the only people who make feminists seem laid-back. -Coulter)
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To: Junior
It means instead of dying out completely (like neanderthals, Peking man, Java man, etc) and being replaced by people migrating out of Africa around 100,000 years ago, they lived on, breeding with these Africans, creating a new race of men that still exist today in the various countries that make up the world.

It's as if a rather large family of cousins, brothers, etc lived on the frontier of America, say 200 years ago, and, by circumstance and what not, due to this and that, didn't have children, or they died, etc, so by now the last old man, the only descendant of this vigorous family, just died, taking the bloodline and family name with him forever. The area, however, was settled by people from the East so there's still people there, just not our original family.

This guy shows how the family didn't die out, because some of them married into the newcomers, and these people's descendants are still among the local inhabitants.

I believe it's a compelling argument. The out of Africa theory never explained the differences that are the various races of mankind, but if there were several migrations over the millenium, then this would account for these differences very nicely.

20 posted on 02/10/2006 4:17:50 AM PST by Alas Babylon!
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