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North Carolina’s special election is great news for Trump’s reelection chances
The Washington Post ^ | September 11, 2019 | Henry Olsen

Posted on 09/11/2019 1:10:59 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Republican Dan Bishop’s narrow win in Tuesday’s redo election in North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District isn’t just good news for House Republicans. Despite Bishop’s small, two-percentage-point margin of victory, it’s a rare bit of positive news for President Trump’s reelection chances.

It’s no secret that Trump had a bad August. His job approval rating has slumped to only 43.1 percent in Wednesday’s RealClearPolitics average, about two points down from mid-July. Polls generally show him trailing Democratic front-runner Joe Biden by more than 10 percentage points, and they show him behind other potential nominees such as Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) by smaller margins. Numbers like these caused many pundits to think the 9th District’s Democratic nominee Dan McCready could pull off a win in a seat Trump carried by 12 percentage points in 2016.

Bishop’s win shows that Trump’s appeal to his voters remains strong even as his ratings are in a slump. Bishop received 50.7 percent, only a few percentage points below Trump’s 54.4 percent from 2016. Moreover, past patterns from congressional special elections during the Trump era suggest that Democrats, who obviously detest the president, are likelier to turn out than Republicans in these lower-profile races. That’s what happened in the demographically similar race in Ohio’s 12th Congressional District in 2018. Republican Troy Balderson captured only 50.1 percent in his special election win but increased that to 51.4 percent when he ran against the same Democratic opponent in November’s general election.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: North Carolina; Campaign News; State and Local; U.S. Congress
KEYWORDS: 2020; northcarolina; specialelection; trump; trump2020
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1 posted on 09/11/2019 1:10:59 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

A good headline from the Compost - but not so good (as to be expected) down in the paragraphs.

e.g. “It’s no secret that Trump had a bad August.”


2 posted on 09/11/2019 1:15:28 PM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hmm, if the dem had won by 2%, would the win be “narrow.”


3 posted on 09/11/2019 1:16:44 PM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The Washington Compost is hallucinating again. They still believe that Hillary Clinton is President.


4 posted on 09/11/2019 1:25:05 PM PDT by txrefugee
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
"… they show him behind other potential nominees such as Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Elizabeth Warren …

Talk about being clueless! if the election were held today, Presdient Trump would slaughter these two. Why would people willing read and accept such false information? They don't even have a clue about the real America.
 

5 posted on 09/11/2019 1:25:17 PM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie (In Italia i fascisti si dividono in due categorie : i fascisti e gli antifascisti. -- Ennio Flaiano)
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To: txrefugee

As does Hillary along with the media.


6 posted on 09/11/2019 1:26:06 PM PDT by sport
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt

If Trump keeps having “bad months” like August he will crush his Democratic opponent.

Now—Biden, there is a guy who had a bad August!


7 posted on 09/11/2019 1:34:11 PM PDT by cgbg (Democracy dies in darkness when Bezos bans books.)
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To: Governor Dinwiddie

My ad-blocker prevents me from reading their lies.

Is life good or what? ;-)


8 posted on 09/11/2019 1:36:12 PM PDT by cgbg (Democracy dies in darkness when Bezos bans books.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Sleepy Joe 3.0 doesn’t have a chance.


9 posted on 09/11/2019 1:40:54 PM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
"Bishop’s win shows that Trump’s appeal to his voters remains strong...."

Yet somewhat confusing to us, because our polls show everyone hates him.....

10 posted on 09/11/2019 1:42:31 PM PDT by cincinnati65
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To: cgbg

Exactly!


11 posted on 09/11/2019 1:42:51 PM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
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To: cincinnati65
Yet somewhat confusing to us, because our polls show everyone hates him.....

Not just the polls, all those scowling Trump haters delivering the news.

12 posted on 09/11/2019 1:44:14 PM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: Governor Dinwiddie

...”They don’t even have a clue about the real America.”...

Exactly right! Most real Americans are not talking and they certainly are not answering the phone when pollsters call. They do show up for Trump rallies, though.


13 posted on 09/11/2019 1:46:29 PM PDT by jazzlite (,)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I thought it was a great win considering the name recognition and the 2 year campaign the Democrat had run on. The Republican had only been campaigning for what, 6 months?


14 posted on 09/11/2019 1:49:02 PM PDT by jazzlite (,)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Orangemangood.


15 posted on 09/11/2019 1:53:34 PM PDT by TChad
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To: Governor Dinwiddie

Will Joe Biden still be standing upright come November 2020? For that matter, will Bernie?


16 posted on 09/11/2019 2:29:09 PM PDT by Tallguy (Facts be d@mned! The narrative must be protected at all costs!)
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To: Governor Dinwiddie

As we learned in 2016, Trump’s low polling numbers are meaningless. Pay no attention to the polls. They are just making stuff up again.


17 posted on 09/11/2019 2:35:40 PM PDT by erkelly
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

When I click on the link a pop up comes up and prevents me from reading the article because you can’t get rid of you don’t subscribe.


18 posted on 09/11/2019 2:43:18 PM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
a rare bit of positive news

It’s no secret that Trump had a bad August.

Don't, WaPo, let your bias show.

Why the Washington Post Has No Credibility

19 posted on 09/11/2019 2:50:53 PM PDT by T Ruth (Mohammedanism shall be destroyed.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The left REALLY wanted this.


20 posted on 09/11/2019 2:54:29 PM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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