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The Clinton Campaign Seems To Think Pennsylvania Is In The Bag
FiveThirtyEight ^ | June 22, 2016 | David Wasserman

Posted on 06/23/2016 9:07:49 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

But it shouldn’t bank on it.

Hillary Clinton has a substantial lead in the polls over Donald Trump, and has vastly more cash on hand. But when it comes to spending that cash, her campaign may be making a strategic miscalculation. The campaign and an allied super PAC have reserved $137 million of ads across eight states — yet they’ve conspicuously left out the state that might be likeliest to tip the 2016 election: Pennsylvania.

Michigan and Wisconsin were absent from the list, as well, but the Keystone State is the most curious Rust Belt omission. In May, we laid out the case for why the Keystone State could be on pace to decide a close national race. Evidently, Democratic ad strategists don’t share that view. Last week, former Obama advisor David Plouffe tweeted that the buy “shows real discipline” because “PA is not a true battleground.” That’s a bit of bravado, considering it was tied for Obama’s fourth-closest win in 2012....

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Pennsylvania; Campaign News; Parties
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2016election; 2016swingstates; clinton; election2016; hillary; hillary2016; hillaryisabag; newyork; pa2016; pennsylvania; trump
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1 posted on 06/23/2016 9:07:49 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
She doesn't know PA very well, and I don't care if her father is buried in Scranton...

PA is COAL COUNTRY and those coal miners are mad as all get out, especially after the lying crooked Hillary told West Virginia she was shutting down the coal mines...

Oh she might think she has pull, but this isn't HER election, this is OUR election, the American Voters Election and she isn't going anywhere but to PRISON!!!

2 posted on 06/23/2016 9:12:04 PM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump; Trump; Trump; Trump; 100%)
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To: HarleyLady27

What if she is charges by the FBI? BRW — Where the hell is the FBI?


3 posted on 06/23/2016 9:14:05 PM PDT by WENDLE (CRUSH THESE TRUMP TRAITORS)
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To: HarleyLady27; vette6387; flat; unkus; Liz; Albion Wilde

Clinton corruption and treason will be oozing out of every crack and crevice long before November.


4 posted on 06/23/2016 9:14:26 PM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

$137 MILLION in ads, didn’t Bush3 run about $150 MILLION in ads. This election season has proved that tons of money and tons of negative ads don’t mean as much as they used to, particularly when people are fed up with a corrupt establishment, and you can’t get any more corrupt and establishment than Hillary Clinton.


5 posted on 06/23/2016 9:15:17 PM PDT by euram
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To: HarleyLady27

In the bag? The only bag around here is Hillary.

What sort of idiot votes for that?


6 posted on 06/23/2016 9:15:21 PM PDT by JennysCool (My hypocrisy goes only so far.)
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To: ExTexasRedhead

The way Trump is going, with the new site up today, hitting her on all her lies, twitter is adding to the lies she has told, people are awake and they don’t like her!!!


7 posted on 06/23/2016 9:16:14 PM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump; Trump; Trump; Trump; 100%)
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To: JennysCool

ROFL....you are right...


8 posted on 06/23/2016 9:16:46 PM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump; Trump; Trump; Trump; 100%)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
It's a numbers game....Philly and Pittsburgh is all the Dems need.

A lot of dems would have to flip and I don't see that happening.

It's going to be a get out the vote thing Big Time if we're going to take Pa.

9 posted on 06/23/2016 9:20:04 PM PDT by Sacajaweau (YS.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Hillary Clinton has a substantial lead in the polls over Donald Trump,

No she doesn't.

10 posted on 06/23/2016 9:20:40 PM PDT by Ken H (Best election ever!)
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To: JennysCool

The only bag around here is Hillary.

she is what we call a “3 bagger”


11 posted on 06/23/2016 9:21:45 PM PDT by changeitback440
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To: HarleyLady27

I am not an expert on Pennsylvania, but it is also a fracking natural gas state that has benefitted a lot from gas. They also have a lot of hunters, so her anti-gun stands will not be great. And Pennsylvania seems to still be a blue collar union democrat kind of state, not a hard core socialist place. The blue collar is Trump Territory, not Hillary territory.


12 posted on 06/23/2016 9:30:31 PM PDT by Vince Ferrer
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To: HarleyLady27

I hope trump wins Pennsylvania but i doubt it. Bush thought for sure he’d get Pennsylvania in 2000 or 2004. Nope. Even ridge called bush to apologize. I think it’s too far gone with philly and Pittsburgh. I hope I’m wrong. I grew up there and luckily I lived in a red area of Lehigh valley.


13 posted on 06/23/2016 9:34:10 PM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Not true for the Lehigh Valley area just based on lawn signs in the area and bumper stickers.

All I’ve seen are Trump and Bernie. And Trump outnumbers Bernie by 5 to 1 in my estimation. I have not seen one Hillary sign or bumper sticker at all.

I don’t know if Philly and Pittsburgh alone can push her over the edge though.


14 posted on 06/23/2016 9:35:38 PM PDT by katnip (May we always be happy and may our enemies always know it. - Sarah Palin, 10-18-2010)
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To: HarleyLady27

Hillary may be evil, conniving,greedy, and a bitch on wheels, but she’s also VERY STUPID!


15 posted on 06/23/2016 9:40:06 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: nopardons

Perfect dem candidate material


16 posted on 06/23/2016 9:41:33 PM PDT by morphing libertarian (Trump's innuendo a new low)
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To: katnip

Philly “might” go for Hillary, but I doubt that she can count on the blacks there, because most blacks everywhere hate her.


17 posted on 06/23/2016 9:41:39 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: morphing libertarian

LOL...true.


18 posted on 06/23/2016 9:48:08 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: HarleyLady27

Considering Philadelphia hands the democrat candidate over 125% of the actual population of Philadelphia, I can see her comfort zone.


19 posted on 06/23/2016 9:48:35 PM PDT by blackdog (There is no such thing as healing, only a balance between destructive and constructive forces.)
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To: HarleyLady27
PA is COAL COUNTRY

Outside of the moron cities of Pburgh and Philthydelphia (One of which I live in) it is also gun country. I hope she pushes gun control endlessly.

20 posted on 06/23/2016 9:56:52 PM PDT by Stentor
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