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The Trump-Clinton Race Is Not As Close As It Looks
National Journal ^ | May 30, 2016 | Charlie Cook

Posted on 05/31/2016 4:38:15 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

With its nomination settled, the GOP has been healing its wounds, but Democratic feelings are still raw because of the ongoing fight between Clinton and Sanders.

The latest round of polls re­leased pri­or to Me­mori­al Day week­end, which showed Hil­lary Clin­ton and Don­ald Trump in a vir­tu­al tie, set off in­tense hand-wringing among Demo­crats, Clin­ton back­ers, and Trump de­tract­ors alike. They much pre­ferred the polls from a month earli­er giv­ing the former sec­ret­ary of State a double-di­git lead over the real-es­tate mogul.

What’s lost on many people is that any tri­al heat between Trump and Clin­ton today is like com­par­ing apples and or­anges. Trump’s nom­in­a­tion fight is over while Clin­ton’s con­test is still at a messy stage. Re­pub­lic­ans who backed one of the 16 oth­er GOP can­did­ates have co­alesced to a sig­ni­fic­ant de­gree, pain­fully pro­gress­ing through Eliza­beth Kü­bler-Ross’s five stages of grief: deni­al, an­ger, bar­gain­ing, de­pres­sion, and ac­cept­ance.

Many es­tab­lish­ment fig­ures, who I nev­er thought would come to terms with Trump as the GOP nom­in­ee, have now moved to heal­ing and clos­ure, if some­what re­luct­antly. They are quick to point out that Trump wasn’t their first choice, but, when the bugle soun­ded, they and oth­er party war horses got in line. Some­times it was more a mat­ter of lin­ing up against Clin­ton rather than be­hind Trump, and some even found it dif­fi­cult to en­dorse Trump by name. One former Re­pub­lic­an sen­at­or com­pared Trump to the vil­lain­ous Harry Pot­ter char­ac­ter Lord Vol­de­mort, “he who must not be named.” Even so, most par­tis­ans ul­ti­mately get be­hind their can­did­ate, for bet­ter or worse, and so it is with today’s Re­pub­lic­ans....

(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...


TOPICS: New York; Campaign News; Parties; Polls
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016polls; brokenrecord; charliecook; demagogicparty; election2016; hillary; ilovetowhine; memebuilding; nationaljournal; newyork; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; polls; sanders; trump; unity; waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaah
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1 posted on 05/31/2016 4:38:15 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This reminds me of when Cruz told Trump he couldn’t beat Hillary. Trump: “If I can’t beat her then you’re really going to get killed!”. Classic. Ted just gulped and smiled.


2 posted on 05/31/2016 4:44:32 PM PDT by toddausauras (Trump 2016)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Reality check, unfortunately.


3 posted on 05/31/2016 4:45:30 PM PDT by Utmost Certainty
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To: Utmost Certainty

Please read it.


4 posted on 05/31/2016 4:48:49 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; Jim Robinson

Still on your anti-trump tirades, eh? At least you have toned it down some.


5 posted on 05/31/2016 4:50:06 PM PDT by reaganaut (I am not "reaganaut1".)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Charlie Cook is one of those bright minds who wrote that Trump had no chance of winning the nomination.

Hillary represents wall street and Bernie supporters are socialists. Anybody who doesn’t see a problem there for her is either delusional or a dumbass like Charlie Cook.


6 posted on 05/31/2016 4:51:46 PM PDT by Helicondelta
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To: reaganaut

I don’t see 2DV being anti-Trump here.


7 posted on 05/31/2016 4:51:59 PM PDT by Utmost Certainty
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To: reaganaut; Jim Robinson

Did you READ IT?


8 posted on 05/31/2016 4:52:18 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: Helicondelta

Now read it.


9 posted on 05/31/2016 4:52:53 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I did. It paints a dismally tight race.


10 posted on 05/31/2016 4:53:21 PM PDT by Utmost Certainty
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

So what’s your interpretation of this article?


11 posted on 05/31/2016 4:53:32 PM PDT by Nita Nupress
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To: Nita Nupress

OMG! The article is as plain as day.


12 posted on 05/31/2016 4:55:06 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Maybe. I can make similar assumptions that indicate a Trump landslide. Historically my assumptions have fallen flat. But I feel (or hope) the anti-establishment and anti-hillary attitude will come through this time. The Trump and Bernie primaries seem to support optimism (for my goal of Trump, not Kristol’s goal of Hillary)


13 posted on 05/31/2016 4:58:44 PM PDT by LostPassword
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Maybe. I can make similar assumptions that indicate a Trump landslide. Historically my assumptions have fallen flat. But I feel (or hope) the anti-establishment and anti-hillary attitude will come through this time. The Trump and Bernie primaries seem to support optimism (for my goal of Trump, not Kristol’s goal of Hillary)


14 posted on 05/31/2016 4:58:44 PM PDT by LostPassword
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To: Helicondelta

Cook is very smart when his personal choice is winning.
Otherwise he’s like Nate Silver, giving a million excuses to explain away what is happening before their very eyes.

https://twitter.com/CharlieCookDC/status/671697437640302592


15 posted on 05/31/2016 5:02:03 PM PDT by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: Utmost Certainty

I see it. Charlie Cook is a deranged Nevertrumper. He actually wrote that the Hillarybot Chuck Todd is “al­ways-pres­ci­ent”.

Chuck Todd is one of the dumbest people on television. His simulations about the GOP nomination concluded that Trump had no path to getting the delegates and that a contested convention was a done deal.


16 posted on 05/31/2016 5:02:25 PM PDT by Helicondelta
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trump will beat crooked Shitlery like a rented mule...


17 posted on 05/31/2016 5:02:38 PM PDT by VRWC For Truth (FUBO)
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To: CaptainK
LOL.


18 posted on 05/31/2016 5:05:24 PM PDT by Helicondelta
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To: Nita Nupress

The article does not cover motivation and enthusiasm and voter turnout. We have seen lots of enthusiasm for Trump which can mean a higher than usual voter turn out.


19 posted on 05/31/2016 5:07:15 PM PDT by Maine Mariner
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

We can think of nearly 200 people. Only one has indicated a willingness ( not a desire, he’s just considering it is all) to vote for Hillary. By contrast, Trump ( and Bernie) enjoy great support — plus a number of Bernie people say they’ll definitely vote for Trump before they’ll ever vote for Hillary the Corruptoidess We do not see Hillary as having a chance in Hell of beating Trumo


20 posted on 05/31/2016 5:07:28 PM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians are not born. They're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero)
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