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Why It’s So Hard to Predict What Happens With Trump’s Supporters When He Drops Out
Slate ^ | July 31, 2015 | Josh Voorhees, senior writer, Iowa City

Posted on 08/03/2015 2:06:04 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Donald Trump may seem invincible right now, but his current run can’t last. Even if the belligerent billionaire and current GOP front-runner doesn’t implode on the debate stage next week or on the campaign trail next month, the fundamentals of American politics will still catch up to him: At some point the GOP field will narrow and an establishment favorite will consolidate enough support to knock Trump from his perch. Eventually, that means he will exit a nominating battle he cannot win.

It’s no surprise, then, that the Washington parlor game of predicting how Trump’s campaign will end is now turning into one about what will happen with his supporters when it does.

There is no shortage of possibilities. Writing in the National Journal on Friday, for example, political analyst Charlie Cook pegs Chris Christie and Ted Cruz’s camps as likely homes for Trump’s backers once their first choice is out of the race. In the Washington Post, meanwhile, James Holmann calls it a “jump ball” before ultimately suggesting Trump’s loss could be Mike Huckabee’s gain. While the predictions vary, the rationale behind them is usually the same: Whoever wins the Trump sweepstakes will be someone who shares his anti-establishment anger....

(Excerpt) Read more at slate.com ...


TOPICS: New York; Campaign News; Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2016election; bush; chrischristie; dds; election2016; joshvoorhees; newyork; slate; tds; tedcruz; trump
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Chris Christie?!
1 posted on 08/03/2015 2:06:04 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

In one huge change of heart and with full remorse all of.trump support will go to Lindsey Graham


2 posted on 08/03/2015 2:08:03 PM PDT by BRL
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To: BRL

LOL...Maybe Jebbie?


3 posted on 08/03/2015 2:09:26 PM PDT by rrrod (Just an old guy with a gun in his pocket.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Mr Donut thinks he will bridge his problem
of 0% ratings. ROTFL.


4 posted on 08/03/2015 2:09:29 PM PDT by Diogenesis ("When a crime is unpunished, the world is unbalanced.")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Mike Hucklebuck?


5 posted on 08/03/2015 2:09:53 PM PDT by Dr. Bogus Pachysandra (Don't touch that thing Don't let anybody touch that thing!I'm a Doctor and I won't touch that thing!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If he did that, which I now seriously doubt, one need only look to 12. They will flock to Jeb bush no matter what because LESSER EVIL !!!

Sure as the sun rises. Winning, not conservative governance is what motivates today’s supposed ‘conservative’.


6 posted on 08/03/2015 2:10:11 PM PDT by Norm Lenhart
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

People pay these jerks for this crap?


7 posted on 08/03/2015 2:10:44 PM PDT by Cobra64 (Common sense isn't common anymore.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Why do they assume Trump’s going to drop out? Perhaps the media and the elite pushed him too far, and now it’s a matter of honor.


8 posted on 08/03/2015 2:10:51 PM PDT by grania
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This lifelong republican stopped voting establishment republicans last election, and cannot fathom ever voting for another one. I don’t believe I am not alone in this. I’m much too fed up with the lot of them!


9 posted on 08/03/2015 2:11:00 PM PDT by erkelly
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Slate the homo side of every story.


10 posted on 08/03/2015 2:11:33 PM PDT by boomop1 (Term limits is the only source of change.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Cruz will get between 50-75% of all Trump’s voters. Walker will get a few and that’s it.

Cruz and Trump both share a distaste for the establishment. No Trump voter is going to a RINO.

And Christie is the biggest RINO out there. Yes, pun intended.


11 posted on 08/03/2015 2:12:12 PM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Democrats are parasites. It really is that simple.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The lib media is going to continue their agitprop by reporting from the frame that it is inevitable that Trump is dropping out, and the only question is when will it happen?

They hope that this meme will subliminally sink into the LIV subconscious, and scare undecideds away from supporting Trump.

-PJ

12 posted on 08/03/2015 2:13:13 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I really don’t know where this “Trump will drop out” idea comes from. People have been stating it from the go, but no evidence to support it has been presented. He didn’t seem to be a quitter before he ran. Why would he change? I think it’s more wishful thinking.


13 posted on 08/03/2015 2:13:51 PM PDT by Seruzawa (All those memories will be lost,in time, like tears in rain.)
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Comment #14 Removed by Moderator

To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Donald Trump Can’t Win A Second Term !” — Slate, August 2019


15 posted on 08/03/2015 2:15:27 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
At some point the GOP field will narrow and an establishment favorite will consolidate enough support to knock Trump from his perch. Eventually, that means he will exit a nominating battle he cannot win.

This is what Trump means by the GOP not treating him fairly. They've got ways to cook the books. To make a person who can NEVER win the support of the people who actually vote be the candidate. If Trump is still polling way ahead of everyone else (with real polls and not cooked polls) I would support him as a 3rd party. And he will win because he's going to pick up everyone who is sick and tired of the same old crap.

16 posted on 08/03/2015 2:16:02 PM PDT by DouglasKC (I'm pro-choice when it comes to lion killing....)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I expect he’ll throw to Cruz. Maybe part of the reason for the meeting?


17 posted on 08/03/2015 2:17:21 PM PDT by jagusafr
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To: grania

Tokyo Rose is speaking.


18 posted on 08/03/2015 2:17:30 PM PDT by GilGil
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To: grania
I think you are correct. Trump plays longball and the MSN have pissed him off.
19 posted on 08/03/2015 2:18:23 PM PDT by mad_as_he$$ (Section 20.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

We’ll vote for Cruz....


20 posted on 08/03/2015 2:18:43 PM PDT by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously-you won't live through it anyway-Enjoy Yourself ala Louis Prima)
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