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Let’s Be Serious About Ted Cruz From The Start: He’s Too Extreme And Too Disliked To Win
FiveThirtyEight ^ | March 23, 2015 | Harry Enten

Posted on 03/26/2015 10:49:11 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz’s newly minted presidential campaign is the media equivalent of a juicy rib-eye that robbers use to distract a guard dog during a heist. He’ll get a ton of media attention, and he’ll get to spread his message — which may be all that Cruz is after — but Cruz almost certainly has no shot of winning the nomination, according to every indicator that predicts success in presidential primaries.

First, Cruz doesn’t have enough support from party bigwigs. To win the Republican or Democratic nomination, you need the backing of at least some of the party apparatus. At a minimum, your fellow party members shouldn’t hate you. Otherwise, you end up getting the Newt Gingrich 2012 treatment. That is, you get pounced on the moment you’re seen as a threat to win the nomination.

If we’re ever in a world where it looks like Cruz could win the nomination, you’ll very likely see such pouncing. You can read article after article about how Cruz has isolated himself in the Senate. It got so bad that he recently had to apologize to his Republican colleagues.

And the Cruz hatred doesn’t stop at the edges of the Senate cloakroom. Influential party actors dislike him, too. I can’t remember another Republican who united Ann Coulter, Pat Robertson, Jennifer Rubin and Thomas Sowell in opposition....

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: New York; Campaign News; Issues; Parties; U.S. Congress
KEYWORDS: 2016election; cruz; cruz2016; election2016; gop; newt; tedcruz; texas
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

We really shouldn’t kid ourselves about Cruz. What this guy is spouting in this article is a mix of the common political wisdom and, no doubt, his personal hatred for everything we and Ted Cruz stand for.

If this election is ‘business as usual’ he is going to turn out to be right.

But as someone noted in a previous post, Cruz is (easily) the class of the field. He is our guy and we are going to have the fight of our lives on our hands if we expect him to be sworn in as President of the United States in 2017.


21 posted on 03/26/2015 11:36:43 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (>http://rss.cnn.com/rss/cnn_topstories.rss)
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To: cynwoody
To judge from your photo, the poor fellow suffers from some developmental disorder.

Looks like the "Pajama Boy's" younger brother.

22 posted on 03/26/2015 11:44:44 PM PDT by spokeshave (He has erected a multitude of New Offices, and sent hither swarms of Officers to harass our people,)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Well, he’s still gonna run... if that’s OK with Harry


23 posted on 03/26/2015 11:48:51 PM PDT by Reaganite Republican
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The day I pay attention to the whinings of a punk, go ahead and put me in a rest home.


24 posted on 03/26/2015 11:48:56 PM PDT by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FR. Donate Monthly or Join Club 300! God bless you all.)
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To: MichaelCorleone

Yea, they said the same thing about Reagan.


25 posted on 03/26/2015 11:52:57 PM PDT by bobo1 (progressives=commies/fascists)
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To: entropy12

If he knocked Rubio out of the box its a good thing.


26 posted on 03/26/2015 11:54:06 PM PDT by gunsequalfreedom (Conservative is not a label of convenience. It is a guide to your actions.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Looks like a little liberal sh#thead that I could even take in a fight.


27 posted on 03/26/2015 11:58:54 PM PDT by freedom6178
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To: entropy12

He expresses his faith in God, too. Democrats hate that.


28 posted on 03/27/2015 12:01:16 AM PDT by combat_boots (The Lion of Judah cometh. Hallelujah. Gloria Patri, Filio et Spiritui Sancto!)
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To: MichaelCorleone

The kid even threw in a comparison to Barry Goldwater to make sure his slam was complete.


29 posted on 03/27/2015 12:04:44 AM PDT by gunsequalfreedom (Conservative is not a label of convenience. It is a guide to your actions.)
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To: onyx

Did this kid cite any 538 polling? Not clickin on it.


30 posted on 03/27/2015 12:07:21 AM PDT by txhurl
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Above Q?


31 posted on 03/27/2015 12:08:24 AM PDT by txhurl
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To: davius

The kid had the part correct about the GOP party elite pouncing if it looks like Cruz has a chance. And the kid has obviously been studying. He misses experience but you gotta hand it to him on effort. The comments on here about his looks are beneath FR. What he looks like is the level of school yard debate.


32 posted on 03/27/2015 12:10:05 AM PDT by gunsequalfreedom (Conservative is not a label of convenience. It is a guide to your actions.)
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To: bobo1

Bttt


33 posted on 03/27/2015 12:11:05 AM PDT by gunsequalfreedom (Conservative is not a label of convenience. It is a guide to your actions.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The nasty barking of a rabis infected mad dog? Harry Enten sounds like he needs psychiatric help. His disjointed, foaming at the mouth, empty screed tells us a lot more about him than about Ted Cruz.


34 posted on 03/27/2015 12:16:16 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

How is a 2011 grad a senior ... anything?


35 posted on 03/27/2015 12:16:25 AM PDT by BlueNgold (Have we crossed the line from Govt. in righteous fear of the People - to a People in fear of Govt??)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Let’s Be Serious About Ted Cruz From The Start: He’s Too Extreme And Too Disliked To Win

Let’s be serious about Ted Cruz from the start: He’s currently perceived as too extreme and too disliked to win. He needs to convince the voters that he can win and the party leadership that he's so popular with conservatives and with others whom he has brought to his side in this election that they cannot afford to stop him. Fortunately, he has already started a campaign to do just that. We'll see if he succeeds, but that is the purpose of the primaries.

36 posted on 03/27/2015 12:52:03 AM PDT by Pollster1 ("Shall not be infringed" is unambiguous.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

A 2011 graduate in government from Dartmouth College,>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

A leftist brainwash institution. According to them, Winston Churchill or his view of historical analysis never existed?

Buahahahahahahahaha!

Ted Cruz is highly respected and liked by millions.

Now this little wickety-doo, gurly man expects us to believe him?

And this from the crowd that gave us Hussein Baraka and the latest leftist romantic world view entitled , “ World On Fire!”

Eff him!


37 posted on 03/27/2015 12:54:53 AM PDT by Candor7 (Obama fascism article:(http://www.americanthinker.com/2009/05/barack_obama_the_quintessentia_1.html))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

First, Cruz doesn’t have enough support from party bigwigs. To win the Republican or Democratic nomination, you need the backing of at least some of the party apparatus....

That was before. We the people are sick and tired of being told who we can and can not have running for office. By the “party” and by asshats in the media. And if you think Cruz is too extreme you ain’t seen nothing yet. The gloves are coming off the next election.


38 posted on 03/27/2015 1:19:59 AM PDT by SECURE AMERICA (I am an American Not a Republican or a Democrat.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

lol.


39 posted on 03/27/2015 1:41:40 AM PDT by 9thLife ("Life is a military endeavor..." -- Pope Francis)
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To: txhurl

LOL.
I’m not reading his drivel either.
Sorry.
:)


40 posted on 03/27/2015 2:06:45 AM PDT by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FR. Donate Monthly or Join Club 300! God bless you all.)
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