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Ted Cruz's 2016 Plan: Court Hispanics, Millennials And Jews
Talking Points Memo's Livewire ^ | December 15, 2014 | Daniel Strauss

Posted on 12/15/2014 7:44:01 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) has a plan for running for president in 2016, according to National Review: don't focus on winning over Independents, instead hedge on getting "Jews, Hispanics, and Millenials."

That's according to a new report in National Review on Monday which said that the Texas senator, if he does decide to run for president as he's rumored to be planning on, has a strategy for victory that does not center around winning independents. As an unnamed adviser put it to National Review, "winning independents has meant not winning."

The Cruz circle cited John Kerry in 2004 and Mitt Romney in 2012, who respectively won Independents but lost anyway, as well as George W. Bush in 2000 where he won Independents but lost the popular vote.

Cruz's team directed National Review to internal polling that showed 40 percent of Hispanics in Texas supporting the junior senator from Texas. The advisers also noted that on social media he's the most discussed potential presidential candidate.

There's data stacking against this strategy. According to the Pew Research Center's Religion & Public Life Project, Jewish voters split 69-30 for President Barack Obama over Romney in 2012.

TPM has previously highlighted the shape of Cruz's (unofficial) campaign team. Like TPM, the National Review report cited that Cruz's campaign would likely be run by Jason Johnson, who helped Cruz win election in 2012, and Jeff Roe, a Republican consultant who runs Axiom Strategies and is reportedly planning on moving to Texas.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Parties; U.S. Senate
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2016gopprimary; cruz; cruz2016; hispanics; tedcruz

1 posted on 12/15/2014 7:44:01 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

What about Americans ?


2 posted on 12/15/2014 7:46:43 PM PST by raybbr (Obamacare needs a death panel.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

He’s already got this millennial.


3 posted on 12/15/2014 7:46:47 PM PST by Politicalkiddo ("How many observe Christ's birthday! How few, His precepts!" - Benjamin Franklin)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; Politicalkiddo; SevenofNine; MeganC; GraceG; max americana; SkyDancer; onyx; BCW; ..

Like I have Said, He already his this Millenial and Jew (though I am not Hispanic, so Ball I guess :P)


4 posted on 12/15/2014 7:49:50 PM PST by KC_Lion (Build the America you want to live in at your address, and keep looking up.- Sarah Palin)
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To: raybbr

Many of the above are Americans, aren’t they?


5 posted on 12/15/2014 7:51:11 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

He is only 42 years old, so most of the younger generation will vote for him. Go Ted Go!


6 posted on 12/15/2014 8:04:31 PM PST by Menthops (If you are reading this..... the GOPe hates you!)
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To: KC_Lion

2/3 is better than 1/3. ;)


7 posted on 12/15/2014 8:08:43 PM PST by Politicalkiddo ("How many observe Christ's birthday! How few, His precepts!" - Benjamin Franklin)
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To: Menthops

I will raise $2 million dollars to help him and train anyone to raise money.


8 posted on 12/15/2014 8:08:47 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I stand with Ted


9 posted on 12/15/2014 8:16:13 PM PST by Nifster
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I agree, going after the independents = losing. The truth is they just vote for however they think is going to win. Appealing to them is useless. You go after the people that actually care, and the independents will follow like the lemmings they truly are.


10 posted on 12/15/2014 8:16:38 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: raybbr

You mean those aren’t Americans? Pundits are mostly wrong when it comes to Cruz


11 posted on 12/15/2014 8:17:10 PM PST by Nifster
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I’m in


12 posted on 12/15/2014 8:27:49 PM PST by Democrat_media (The media is the problem. reporters are just democrat political activists posing as reporters)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
'I agree, going after the independents = losing. The '

Huh? I bet most FReepers are independent. Not a 'R'. But a conservative. Though, that probably already counts toward Ted.

13 posted on 12/15/2014 8:30:25 PM PST by Theoria (I should never have surrendered. I should have fought until I was the last man alive)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If Hispanics really are all the commie ‘RATS say they are, they should be voting for conservatives without needing to be “courted” by Senator Cruz. Unfortunately...


14 posted on 12/15/2014 8:32:00 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer (The trouble with America is that it's full of Americans. - The commie DemocRATS.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

One little secret about 2008 was that McCain was finding the vast middle-ground voting pools VIRTUALLY EMPTY. Everyone leaning left and beyond was infatuated with the idea of being part of the first black president. The Republican base, which is now the Tea Party, was simply going to stay home. People, such as one of my parents, who said that if McCain ran, he’d consider voting for him, laughed when reminded of that, and then denied it...instead stayed home with Obama. The Goldwater blowout would have been dwarfed. Even all the love from the media was over, now that he was criticizing Democrats. There simply was no one left for McCain, and his people knew it.

So he needed Sarah to save the day, and she nearly did. Getting him close to even in the polls, before his disastrous “suspending my campaign” stint during the financial meltdown. But she still brought him millions of votes...voters that then stayed home in 2012, as they didn’t think much of that ticket...voters that then came out in 2014 in the desperate hope they could send a message, once and for all (didn’t happen, yet).

Ted Cruz is VERY WISE for his age, or any age, he sees several things:

1) That the vaunted “middle ground” dries up to next to nothing, once the election draws near.

2) A Republican that cannot pull the base out to vote, simply doesn’t have a chance...the base is 60-70% of the Republican vote, you don’t win by ignoring them.

3) Reagan never left the base feeling abandoned - he did reach to the center, but only after being sure the base was locked-down and ready to vote for him.

4) If the base has another choice, they will leave moderate Republicans and go there. That’s why Perot did so well in 1992, yet John Anderson (bless his heart) couldn’t pull off any votes from Reagan, despite the best efforts of the Democrats to do so.

5) Cruz knows that he simply cannot go through The Establishment, they hate him and wish more than anything to have access to the brake lines under his car.

Never forget. The first priority of the Republican Establishment is “stability” as they see it, no extremism (as they call it), so when a Reagan or Cruz comes around, they are HATED. The second priority is winning. It’s sad to see our party this sick, but I’m convinced that the Tea Party will not be shunted aside much longer.


15 posted on 12/16/2014 1:31:57 AM PST by BobL (I'm so old, I can remember when most hate crimes were committed by whites - Thomas Sowell, 2014)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
hispanics are maybe 12% of the voting population? Jews maybe 1%? And millenials 15%? is that a winning combination?

i would think a big idea would be to make Hispanics and Asians into GOP voters.

16 posted on 12/16/2014 4:18:43 AM PST by Cronos (ObamaÂ’s dislike of Assad is not based on AssadÂ’s brutality but that he isn't a jihadi Moslem)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I hearing Jeb Bush want run for 2016 that plan really OH NOOOOO! on my part


17 posted on 12/16/2014 10:31:28 AM PST by SevenofNine (We are Freepers, all your media bases belong to us ,resistance is futile)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; Nifster
Many of the above are Americans, aren’t they?

Are they? This is identity politics. I thought we were against that?

18 posted on 12/16/2014 3:30:25 PM PST by raybbr (Obamacare needs a death panel.)
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To: raybbr

I am just curious as to why you would believe anything that the msm writes about ‘what Ted must do’ to win


19 posted on 12/16/2014 7:32:14 PM PST by Nifster
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