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The Week Elizabeth Warren Decided to Run for President
The New Republic ^ | December 12, 2014 | Danny Vinik

Posted on 12/12/2014 7:34:34 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

Or may have decided. We won’t know for a few months whether the Massachusetts senator will challenge Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination, but if she chooses to run, we’re going to look back at this week as a pivotal moment in Warren’s decision-making.

Warren has been waging two battles against mainstream Democrats over the past month in an attempt to reduce Wall Street’s influence within the party. Both of those battles hit inflection points this week. The first is over President Barack Obama’s nominee for the under secretary for Domestic Finance, the number three position at the Treasury Department. It’s rare for such a nomine to become a political issue, much less a political issue within a party. But that’s what has happened to Antonio Weiss, whom Obama nominated on November 12.

A week later, Warren came out vocally against Weiss, arguing that he was both unqualified for the job and another example of Democrats' filling senior government positions with people from Wall Street. “The over-representation of Wall Street banks in senior government positions sends a bad message,” she wrote in the Huffington Post. “It tells people that one—and only one—point of view will dominate economic policymaking. It tells people that whatever goes wrong in this economy, the Wall Street banks will be protected first. That's yet another advantage that Wall Street just doesn't need.”

On Tuesday, Warren took her criticism of Weiss’s nomination up a notch. Speaking at a conference on the Federal Reserve, Warren tore into Weiss’s qualifications and ripped her party for cozying up to Wall Street. Writing at this site, David Dayen argued that the speech was a direct attack on the Democratic establishment. “In the wake of another midterm wipeout,” he wrote, “the Democratic Party has been flailing around for some guiding principles, and Warren has seized on this moment to provide them.” During the week, a collection of Democratic senators—Joe Manchin, Jeanne Shaheen, and Al Franken, among others—announced that they opposed Weiss's nomination. Obama will need significant Republican support in the next Congress if Weiss is to be confirmed.

But Warren’s biggest moment this week was her crusade against a must-pass spending bill over a little-known policy rider that would have eliminated a part in the Dodd-Frank financial regulation bill. Section 716 prevents banks from using taxpayer-backed funds to trade in riskier financial products known as custom swaps. On Wednesday, Warren delivered a vicious speech on the Senate floor in which she implored House Democrats to kill the bill.

“Now, the House of Representatives is about to show us the worst of government for the rich and powerful,” she said. “The House is about to vote on a budget deal, a deal negotiated behind closed doors that slips in a provision that would let derivatives traders on Wall Street gamble with taxpayer money and get bailed out by the government when their risky bets threaten to blow up our financial system.… This provision is all about goosing the profits of the big banks.”

The provision has also garnered significant Democratic support in the past. In 2013, for instance, 70 Democrats voted for it in a bill that died in the Senate. Warren’s speech had made the issue toxic and persuaded other House Democrats to vote against not just the provision but a massive spending bill.

This position put her at direct odds with the White House. President Obama not only supported the bill, but he and Vice President Joe Biden made calls to individual Democratic congressman asking for their votes and White House Chief of Staff Denis McDonough was dispatched to the Hill as well. In the end, Obama prevailed. Fifty-seven Democrats sided with 162 Republicans and the bill barely passed. But Warren had taken on the Democratic establishment and came within just a few votes of winning.

What’s striking about these two battles is that they mean much more politically than substantively. Weiss’s nomination is for a technocratic position that requires experience in financial markets, for instance. “I don’t know the long history of this position but at least since I’ve been paying attention, it’s typically been filled by someone with precisely the market experience that Weiss brings to the table,” Jared Bernstein, the former chief of staff to Biden, wrote on his blog. Four former under secretaries for Domestic Finance released a letter Thursday in support of Weiss as well. Even the provision in the spending bill, while certainly harmful for financial regulation, does not undermine Dodd-Frank. "In the grand scheme of things," Matt Yglesias writes at Vox, "Section 716 is not earth-shattering in its impact."

But these two issues hold significant appeal for the Democratic base that believes Obama has grown too close to Wall Street and worries that Clinton will be more of the same. This has given Warren an opening to gain even more influence in the party as the primaries approach, and she's taken it.

This doesn’t mean that she will run. On Tuesday, her press secretary said, "As Senator Warren has said many times, she is not running for president." But note the present tense—Warren could still run in the future.

It’s a tough decision, since Warren still has little chance of winning the Democratic nomination. A CNN poll released on December 2 found that 65 percent of Democrats support Clinton, with just 10 percent favoring Warren. For comparison, Clinton’s current lead is about three times as large now as it was over Barack Obama during the comparable period before the 2008 election.

That may not matter, though. Warren can have a significant influence on Hillary Clinton and the Democratic primary even if she doesn’t come close to winning. In fact, she could lose the primary and come out an even larger force in the party. That’s exactly what happened with her losing battle this week. It could be a sign of bigger fights to come.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Parties; U.S. Senate
KEYWORDS: 2016; elizabethwarren; hillary; shutdown
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To: AFret.

No thanks.

Never took sloppy seconds in my life, and don’t intend to start now.


21 posted on 12/12/2014 8:22:15 PM PST by AbnSarge
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

She’ll run. Obama’s got to support someone and it sure won’t be Hillary or his lnsurance Policy Biden.


22 posted on 12/12/2014 8:24:36 PM PST by bigbob (The best way to get a bad law repealed is to enforce it strictly. Abraham Lincoln)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The left just LOVES this crazy Moonbat Cherokee...


23 posted on 12/12/2014 8:27:01 PM PST by mowowie (`)
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To: Politicalkiddo
I’m not sure that a Tomahawk could slice through those cankles of Hillary’s.

Yeah....but Shrillary can hurl an ashtray through 4 layers of sheet rock ending up embedded it in the opposite wall.

24 posted on 12/12/2014 8:28:44 PM PST by spokeshave (He has erected a multitude of New Offices, and sent hither swarms of Officers to harass our people,)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Elizabeth Warren Decided to Run for President

She's the terror of Pennsylvania Avenue.
It's the little old lady from Massachusetts.

No Granny, no Granny, no Granny no.

25 posted on 12/12/2014 8:31:42 PM PST by MUDDOG
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To: txnativegop

Are you for real? Liz Warren postulating a presidential run is the best news. Hilda needs to be exposed (yikes) by a DEMOCRAT! Divide and conquer has worked since the British East India company.


26 posted on 12/12/2014 8:43:20 PM PST by entropy12 (Dumb and Dumber to borrow money from China to protect oil flow to China from middle-east.)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

The nation is in no mood for experiments now days. The one with a black man didn’t work out so well. No women need apply this time. America wants an old white guy with white hair and a confidence he could do the job.


27 posted on 12/12/2014 8:48:32 PM PST by Forward the Light Brigade (Into the Jaws of H*ll Onward! Ride to the sound of the guns!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
And everybody says that there's no bigger doofus
Than the little old lady from Massachusetts.
28 posted on 12/12/2014 9:12:49 PM PST by MUDDOG
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To: Thunder90

Scott Walker will shut Elizabeth Warren down.


You bet he will.

Walker 2016


29 posted on 12/12/2014 9:22:13 PM PST by laplata ( Liberals/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: Tupelo

Sounds like another John McCain “Conservatives will not vote” scenario.


30 posted on 12/12/2014 9:35:00 PM PST by jespasinthru (Proud member of the Vast, Right-Wing Conspiracy)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hillary vs. Warren? So the choice is the lesser of two Marxists? I really don’t know which one is the least.


31 posted on 12/12/2014 9:35:00 PM PST by bobo1 (progressives=commies/fascists)
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To: tcrlaf

The “race card” and the “war on women” cards are so tattered and frayed that they have become running jokes. Obama and his Dem flunkies wore that game out a long time ago.


32 posted on 12/12/2014 9:38:33 PM PST by jespasinthru (Proud member of the Vast, Right-Wing Conspiracy)
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To: Tupelo

I’d rather vote for Mickey Mouse


33 posted on 12/12/2014 9:43:00 PM PST by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: aquila48

One of Warren’s problems is that she is so high up in the Ivory Tower that she babbles financial gobbledook that sounds like ancient Greek to the average American down here in the trenches trying to make a living.


34 posted on 12/12/2014 9:43:24 PM PST by jespasinthru (Proud member of the Vast, Right-Wing Conspiracy)
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To: Friendofgeorge; entropy12

Even if there is a nasty primary battle between the two hags:

If Hillary wins — the libs all rally to her flag, with the usual character assassination of the “right-wing” candidate;

If Warren wins — the libs all rally to her flag, with the usual character assassination of the “right-wing” candidate;

regardless of the Democrat running; the GOPe will find a way to sabotage any real conservative candidate; and force a move to the center and:

the election is lost.

regardless of the Democrat running; the chosen GOPe candidate will quickly move to the center and:

the election is lost.

This is cynical, but unless the GOPe is utterly destroyed first, the chances of having a real conservative elected is slim at best.

Even if a real conservative candidate is elected; if the GOPe still has any sort of power it will move the policy decisions to the center or slightly further and the victory is a hollow one at best.

The GOPe and its financial backers have to be dealt with first and foremost. IMO


35 posted on 12/12/2014 9:44:25 PM PST by txnativegop (Tired of liberals, even a few in my own family.)
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

Why an old white guy? You have to be 35 years old, minimum, to run for president. Why does our nation have to keep being represented around the world by geezers?


36 posted on 12/12/2014 9:48:22 PM PST by jespasinthru (Proud member of the Vast, Right-Wing Conspiracy)
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To: Friendofgeorge
Same here. I canNOT wait!!!


37 posted on 12/12/2014 10:06:25 PM PST by definitelynotaliberal (Go, Cruz! Go!)
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To: txnativegop

Only sabotage in 2012 was by Santorum and Gingrich.
If one of them dropped out after South Carolina Primary,
Romney was toast.

Face the reality, there are not enough conservative republican voters in the country to anoint 2 or more conservative candidate over ONE RINO with name recognition like Romney or Jeb Bush.

As for Hilda, many hard left voters will stay home on election day. Although I will concede the Rats have better unity than Repubs.


38 posted on 12/12/2014 10:57:26 PM PST by entropy12 (Dumb and Dumber to borrow money from China to protect oil flow to China from middle-east.)
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

“America wants an old white guy with white hair...”

Ugh. At this point that means doddering should-have-retired-20-years-ago spacey cantankerous RINO McCain, who gets ALL riled up when war is on the horizon but kisses lib butts all day long. We are SO screwed.


39 posted on 12/12/2014 10:58:07 PM PST by bluejean (The lunatics are running the asylum)
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To: Tupelo

Ted Cruz write in.


40 posted on 12/12/2014 11:02:32 PM PST by reasonisfaith ("...because they received not the love of the truth, that they might be saved." (2 Thessalonians))
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