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Yes, Texas Could Turn Blue: But demographics alone are not the answer
The New Republic ^ | October 26, 2014 | John B. Judis

Posted on 10/27/2014 7:30:22 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

“Do you really think Wendy Davis is going to win?” I asked Jenn Brown, the executive director of Battleground Texas. “I sure do,” she replied. Brown and her top staff may be the only people in Texas who think that Democrat Davis, who is running for governor, can defeat Republican Greg Abbott next week. But the larger question is whether Battleground Texas’s strategy of turning Texas Blue, which is currently married to Davis’s candidacy, can over the next two, four, or six years make Texas, which hasn’t elected a Democrat to statewide office since 1994, or voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1976, competitive again.

Battleground’s strategy, as it was presented to me during a recent visit to Texas, relies primarily on demographic trends within the state. Texas has already become a majority-minority state like California. According to 2013 census figures, only 44 percent of Texans are “Anglos,” or whites; 38.4 percent are Hispanic; 12.4 percent African-American; and the remainder Asian-American and native American. By 2020, Hispanics are projected by the Texas State Data Center to account for 40.5 percent of Texans and African-Americans for 11.3 percent compared to 41.1 percent of Anglos. Texas’s minorities generally favor Democrats over Republicans, but they don’t vote in as great a proportion as Anglos who have favored Republicans by similar percentages. Battleground’s strategy assumes that if it and other organizations like the Texas Organizing Project can get many more minorities, and particularly Hispanics, to the polls, then, as minorities increasingly come to outnumber Anglos, Democrats can take back the state...

(Excerpt) Read more at newrepublic.com ...


TOPICS: Texas; Issues; Parties; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2016; blacks; democrats; demographics; hispanics; texas; wendydavis; whites
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
No one is good enough for you, are they?

You are not even the 23rd that have stated they want us conservatives to be silent, compliant, and appreciative.

Suck it.

Get your lips right up on the tip, and suck it.

21 posted on 10/27/2014 8:22:35 AM PDT by laotzu
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To: laotzu

Lima Mike Alpha, over.


22 posted on 10/27/2014 8:24:13 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me.)
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To: Chuzzlewit
yep...many conservatives..hence we have Obama as Prez

It is always someone else's fault. You poor victim.

23 posted on 10/27/2014 8:29:01 AM PDT by laotzu
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I'm sorry. I take it for granted, and forget.

Here, let me get you a step ladder so you can reach the tip.

There you go. Now..suck it.

24 posted on 10/27/2014 8:32:44 AM PDT by laotzu
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Which is why we need so many more conservatives to move here, especially from states where there is absolutely no chance of them becoming red within our lifetimes.”

Some excellent young conservatives, we know are looking at Texas to flee from the rats in the Midwest and out here on the West Lrft Coast.

They work hard and have the skills needed in real economies. They are family oriented. They go to church. They are conservatives not faux conservatives who hate every Republican and blame the Republicans for what the rats do.

In short, they will be good conservative Texans.


25 posted on 10/27/2014 8:33:37 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Islam/ISIS = The Ebola of religious/political ideologies!)
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To: laotzu

I thought most gays were liberal.


26 posted on 10/27/2014 8:33:50 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me.)
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To: bigbob

Excellent summary:

“Reagan have been demonized for not being willing to fall on his sword for every single issue, had FR been around in 1980. “Why, he’s a FORMER DEMOCRAT!!!” they would cry...

Not only that, but as pointed out on the other thread, the country is not the “right of center” place it was in 1980. Reagan was smart enough to pick his battles, but today that just gets a candidate vilified for not being all things to all voters.

“The perfect is always the enemy of the good”


27 posted on 10/27/2014 8:35:31 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Islam/ISIS = The Ebola of religious/political ideologies!)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
" I will say it and correct it every time it is willfully misapplied. RED is the color of the totalitarian left, the Communists, the Fascists, the Democrats. BLUE is the color of Conservatism. Better to be dead than a RED."

I think you are reading too much into the red blue reference. Context is everything in this case. Remember red is one of the colors of our flag. I don't think the red stripes are stripes of communism. Again context is everything here.

But we can agree to disagree on the color thing but I'm with you that it does not seem to make sense

28 posted on 10/27/2014 8:39:22 AM PDT by precisionshootist
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To: Grampa Dave

The moderates and GOP establishment really hated Reagan too


29 posted on 10/27/2014 8:48:38 AM PDT by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: precisionshootist

I know when it was done, where it was done and why it was done. It is just that audacious. The media and the Democrat left have despised for decades the color “red”, especially as the Dems have taken over the position of the Communist on the ideology scale. It was a perfect coming-together to flip it on Election Night 2000.

No other country in the world, to my knowledge, has the color “Red” for its Conservatives. It is inseparable from the totalitarian left. That they got the GOP to swallow it shows just how gullible they are.

They’ve also tried to do the same with “tea-baggers”, which they know is a degenerate homosexual sex act, while snickering like little schoolboys. Fortunately that didn’t fly.

Understand the left and their allies play gutter politics, ruthless politics, Alinsky, et al, while our leaders (of the gutless ilk) play by Marquis of Queensbury or they just cry. It’s time to throw their labels back in their faces, just for starters...


30 posted on 10/27/2014 8:49:33 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: uscga77
Round Rock? ...great Conservative community.

Austin is the Democrat capitol of TX.

Most of Texas' major cites with their Urban population along with South Texas are Democrat strongholds.

31 posted on 10/27/2014 8:51:06 AM PDT by TexasCajun
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I thought most gays were liberal.

What an odd thing to think about.

Is that like a shower-lather time thing?

32 posted on 10/27/2014 8:58:40 AM PDT by laotzu
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To: laotzu
Look who keeps going back to homoerotic imagery. Hint: It ain't me.
33 posted on 10/27/2014 9:01:23 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (The question isn't who is going to let me; it's who is going to stop me.)
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To: bigbob

Virtually everything Reagan accomplished he did by cutting deals with Tip O’Neill that virtually no one on FR would have liked. But he had to play the hand he was dealt.


34 posted on 10/27/2014 9:05:22 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: GeronL

“The moderates and GOP establishment really hated Reagan too.”

Yes, they did for about 4 years before Reagan got re elected, and it cost them re loss of respect, power and money during those 4 years.

Out here we labeled them as Reagan back stabbers and persona non grata.


35 posted on 10/27/2014 9:05:51 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Islam/ISIS = The Ebola of religious/political ideologies!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It would be bad for Texas and tragic for America if Texas were to become Democratic or even a Swing State.

The only way to protect against such a tragedy is for the GOP, not just in Texas, but throughout America would be to emulate Ted Cruz and for every candidate on every race to have the same principles as Cruz.

Texas would remain Republican forever and the GOP would will the Electoral College votes of Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Florida, Colorado, and Pennsylvania.


36 posted on 10/27/2014 9:08:27 AM PDT by Oliviaforever
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To: uscga77

All the big inner cities, Dallas, Austin, San Antonio, Houston are big Democratic Party strongholds.

The suburbs and rural communities are Republican.

And Hispanic populations are growing everywhere.


37 posted on 10/27/2014 9:13:52 AM PDT by skinndogNN
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Considering the weak campaign AG Abbott has run, a strong Democrat would win the office, but fortunately for us “Wendy” has too many negatives. I still believe she will run much stronger than expected.


38 posted on 10/27/2014 9:14:52 AM PDT by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: laotzu

wow that really hurt (/not)..


39 posted on 10/27/2014 9:17:46 AM PDT by Chuzzlewit
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To: Theodore R.

I think Abbott’s campaign has had the luxury of watching Wendy destroy herself. When your opponent is doing something stupid, the last thing you want to do is take attention away from that.

If the Democrat campaign had been stronger, I think Abbott would have run a different campaign.


40 posted on 10/27/2014 9:21:14 AM PDT by csivils
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