American Jewry's Fateful Hour

Frontpage Magazine ^ | October 20, 2020 | Caroline Glick

[Stepan12]

Almost all the polls say that US President Donald Trump is heading towards defeat at the hands of his Democrat challenger, former Vice President Joe Biden next month. But Robert Cahaly, who heads the Trafalgar Group polling firm, disagrees. Cahaly was the only major pollster that accurately called the 2016 presidential race. In an interview with The Political Trade podcast last week, Cahaly said his data show Trump headed for another upset victory Nov. 3.

Cahaly said that today, as in 2016, the disparity between his numbers and the marquis polling firms' numbers owes to the latter's systematic neglect of what he calls the "Shy Trump Voter Effect."

From the time Hillary Clinton referred to Trump's supporters as "deplorables," through today as Democrats demonize them as racists and fascists, Cahaly explains that a significant and growing segment of Trump voters will not admit their support for him. Fearing social and professional repercussions, the Shy Trump Voter lies to pollsters and anyone else who asks him what he thinks of Trump.

Cahaly said that he goes to great lengths to correct for the Shy Trump Voter Effect in his polls and the other polling firms ignore the phenomenon.

[Stepan12]

The article goes on to state that the Reform and Conservative movements of Judaism have become puppets of the Democrat party and the congregants in those houses of worship would not divulge their support for POTUS to anyone there.

[GOP Poet]

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[dp0622]

Well I’m Catholic and I know who the pope wants me to vote for. And there will be a cold day in hell before I would vote for Biden.

And I don’t take polls

I also believe that even though it may be far-fetched or not, people are concerned that even anonymous poll surveys are not so anonymous

[captain_dave]

I am very suspicious of any numbers about Jewish voters. Just how and where do they conduct these surveys? Do they only go to “Jewish” delis in New York City? Do they only talk to leftist Jewish teachers? Are they only talking to “official” Jewish community leaders? The Jewish community is not monolithic, with opinions all over the place. There’s an old Jewish joke about if there are two Jews, you’ll find three opinions.

[captain_dave]

The Catholics I know are voting for President Trump. They are also very upset with the current Pope, but are restraining their criticism.

I think many no longer trust their religious leadership when that same leadership turns a blind eye to the criminal leftists.

[Albion Wilde]

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