Posted on 02/25/2003 12:40:14 PM PST by A_Niceguy_in_CA
First a recap: Shaaban -- charged with Udays most sensitive missions -- traveled to Jeddah in early February, saying he needed to put through some gold transactions ahead of the war.
From Jeddah, he flew to Beirut and disappeared.
But he never really went to the Lebanese capital. Instead, he made his way undercover to Damascus Monday and was picked up by an unmarked plane that flew him out of the Middle East.
At least, thats how Shaaban scripted his plan. But like so many things in the murky world of intelligence, the plan went awry as is strongly indicated by the fresh information reaching DEBKA-Net-Weekly.
Our sources suggest that upon landing at Damascus on Saturday, February 8, he walked straight into the arms of waiting Syrian military intelligence officers who took him to their isolated headquarters in the capital. He is probably still there under heavy guard, as Syrian leader Bashar Assad fights off conflicting demands from the White House and Saddam Husseins presidential office for his handover.
Further discoveries by our intelligence sources of the defectors secret duties would further enhance his value for Washington and make Saddam more anxious to keep him and the secrets in his head out of his enemies hands.
---Shaaban was the senior go-between for Baghdads business with Damascus.
--- He was privy to the clandestine movements of al Qaeda operatives from Iraq to Lebanon via Syrian sea and air ports.
--- His hand was on the contraband route along which smuggled Iraqi oil reached world markets through Syrias Mediterranean terminals.
Saddam and Assad share a stake in keeping this intelligence bomb out of Western hands les he lay bare the full extent of Syrias operational support for al Qaeda or the degree to which Assad violated UN sanctions against Iraq. So why did Shaaban take the chance of heading for Damascus?
He may have had no choice in the matter.
In Jeddah, the Saudis may have decided that this potato was too hot for them to hold and hustled him aboard the first flight out, which was bound for Damascus. Alternatively, the defector may have flown directly to Damascus a kosher destination given his job as go-between intending to continue from there in secret to Jeddah to knock at the door of a US consulate or make his way to the West under his own steam.
He was last seen on February 15 in Damascus telling reporters that the Iraqi opposition fabricated the tale of his disappearance and defection to a western embassy in Beirut while I was still in Baghdad. This indicates that he was betrayed to Uday by someone close after he had taken off from Baghdad and was still in the air. He may therefore no longer be alive.
For the time being, Assad is holding this high card close handing him over neither to America nor Iraq. He is biding his time until he sees how the first round of the US military offensive against Iraq turns out. If Saddam, his sons and army weather the American assault, Shaabans value will rocket, an ace in the hands of the Syrian president for sale to the highest bidder, Washington or Baghdad.
For the moment, DEBKA-Net-Weeklys intelligence sources say, the chances of Shaaban making it to the West are nil. Saddam was too quick for him or else Assad was faster than both.
Copyright 2002 DEBKAfile. All Rights Reserved.
Do pray he is turned over the the U.S.!
"Iraqi mystery defector also held Syrian ruler`s secrets..."
If that is the case, the defector also holds detrimental info against the Syrian president (and his dealings with Iraq) - not good.
On Feb 11 Jazeera broadcast a watered down version of Osama bin Laden's statement. The attention paid in the West to the al-Jazeera TV statement created complications within the Islamist trend. At least in South Asia and the Middle East, the Islamist leaders had already been briefed about, and prepared to propagate, bin Ladens real message. Now, given the notoriety of the al-Jazeera TV message, they must address it if only in order to avoid confusion in the Arab street. Hence, the Islamist leadership elected to stall on the release of bin Ladens real statement, and instead initially react to the al-Jazeera message as if it were the real one. Consequently, in some instances, the local leaders reacting referred to the broadcast message as their starting point, but actually ended addressing themes and content of the real message. Most important among these was the Saudi Imam Abu-al-Baraa al-Qarshi, one of bin Ladens most trusted lieutenants, who issued a follow-up statement on February 12/13, 2003.* On Friday, February 14, 2003, Osama bin Ladens real message finally released for select internal distribution; essentially at the last moment before the Friday noon prayers and sermons. The Islamists released high-quality audio recording in Arabic and an excellent English translation for the Western-based Islamists. Titled "Exposing the New Crusader War," bin Ladens message sought to chart the course of the global jihad.
-Jossef Bodansky
* On the 14th, only hours before the "real" bin Laden message was released by al Ansaar news agency, Debka put al-Qarshi's statement on their website, only two days after it was isssued.
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