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US Says Tape Shows Bin Laden Is Alive (moderator, this is not a re-post)
Washington Times ^ | 11/13/2002 | David Sands & Bill Gertz

Posted on 11/13/2002 4:05:38 AM PST by Fighting Irish

U.S. officials said yesterday they strongly suspect a newly released tape by terrorist mastermind Osama bin Laden is authentic and provides the first hard proof in nearly a year that bin Laden is alive.

A preliminary U.S. government assessment indicates the voice is bin Laden's. "It sounds like his voice," said a U.S. official with access to intelligence reports, speaking on the condition of anonymity.

*****snip*****

If authentic, the tape would provide conclusive evidence that Saudi-born bin Laden had survived last year's U.S.-led strike against his base in Afghanistan and eluded an international effort to run him to ground.

****Here is the part that make my hair hurt****

Despite the strong resemblance to past bin Laden recordings, U.S. officials said for the record yesterday they were not ready to state definitively that the new tape was genuine.

"We've seen these reports, and we will analyze the recording," National Security Council spokesman Sean McCormack told reporters at the White House. "We don't know if it is him or not."

Secretary of State Colin L. Powell, asked about the tape after a meeting with U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan, said, "I'm sure it will be analyzed to determine its authenticity."

"The conclusion was that, that was his voice, but the timing of when the recording was made is not clear," the official said.

*****STOP THE PRESSES*****

But Ronald Noble, secretary-general of the international police agency Interpol, told a French newspaper last week he was convinced bin Laden remained "well and truly alive."

"Osama bin Laden is alive, and on the ground the hunt for him goes on as it did on the very first day," Mr. Noble told Le Figaro.

(Excerpt) Read more at washtimes.com ...


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Ok, the problem with this article as I see it.

Nowhere in this story does it say that U.S. officials made a 100% voice match on the tape. As a matter of fact they (whoever they is) are not ready "to state definitively that the tape was genuine".

Then later in the piece the only bubblehead that is sure is a guy from Interpol. Last time I checked Interpol was a British agency.

A rather deceptive and sneaky headline, in my opinion. U.S officials have not given the green light to this latest tape. What a cheap way to sell a newspaper. I would expect a stunt like this from some cute little alternative rag like the Post but, not the Washington Times!

1 posted on 11/13/2002 4:05:38 AM PST by Fighting Irish
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To: Fighting Irish
Heard on Fox and Friends this morning that we will know by the end of the day if it is authentic. It shouldn't take them too long to find out.
2 posted on 11/13/2002 4:13:00 AM PST by areafiftyone
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To: Fighting Irish
If it wasn't him .....we would have heard so by now.

It's him.

3 posted on 11/13/2002 4:13:09 AM PST by Dog
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To: Dog
I agree with you. There have been many tapes but this is the first one that they seem to lean towards being authentic. The government never said he was dead and always went by the assumption that he was alive. I think they know he is alive somewhere.
4 posted on 11/13/2002 4:14:58 AM PST by areafiftyone
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To: Fighting Irish
IF, and that is a big "if", the tape is proven to be authentic, Bush should make a speech tauning OBL mercilessly. He should point out how pathetic it is that OBL is too much of a coward to show his face when Bush spent the last month campaigning all around the country. He should also point out how OBL, hiding in a hole for over a year, has abandoned his followers, and how bad life must be for him if he feels he can't afford a video camera any more.

This could be turned into a positive if true.

5 posted on 11/13/2002 4:16:03 AM PST by TomB
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To: TomB
If Bush made a tape it should send it to Al Jazeera and not just our stations.
6 posted on 11/13/2002 4:17:44 AM PST by areafiftyone
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To: Dog
Actually Dog, I think the goat *&$! is alive also. My beef is with the way the article was written.

Perhaps while our boys are in the neighborhood they'll ice the chump.

7 posted on 11/13/2002 4:18:31 AM PST by Fighting Irish
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To: Fighting Irish
The headlines have been blaring that it was matched but the details always have unnamed US officials just saying "sounds like him, we'll have to keep checking". The voice must be identified, the tape must be examined for any edits (it could be cobbled from other recordings).

There is no mention in the transcript of the muslim DC snipers. Laden's trying to rally the troops including the lone operators.

He did mention Chenians (but there aren't many details).

He didn't mention the political elections here or abroad or any American vote to pound Iraq.

Difficult to date such rhetoric without him providing concrete specifics. I'm sure that Al-Quaeda had a number of attacks planned and sleeper cells ready to operate.

Why the cover? Why not a video? Is someone going to recognize the room? Paint Saddam's bathroom walls black, that ought to disguise it...

8 posted on 11/13/2002 4:24:28 AM PST by weegee
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To: Fighting Irish
What was the most recent event refered to, Bali? Bin Laden may have been on death's door with his kidney problem or something when (if)he made that tape. No picture and they said he was rambling. Binny knows that every time he talks, he puts his hideout location at risk.
9 posted on 11/13/2002 4:24:44 AM PST by putupon
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To: Fighting Irish
I suspect the media are printing what the administration is asking them to print to shore up support for an attack on Iraq. The article says:

"The conclusion was that, that was his voice, but the timing of when the recording was made is not clear,"

He talks about the Bali night club explosion in the tape, if real, they pretty much know when it was made. If the statement above means they think the tape was cobbled together from old recordings, it must be a forgery. Why forge tapes from a guy who isn't dead? OBL has left the building.
10 posted on 11/13/2002 4:25:44 AM PST by HangThemHigh
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To: Fighting Irish
Good plan -- raise OBL from the dead every time we get ready to ice another Islamonazi -- ON TO BAGHDAD. LET'S ROLL !!!
11 posted on 11/13/2002 4:36:19 AM PST by jrlc
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To: HangThemHigh
Osama dude's toes up.

In a cave.

In Tora Bora.

On the floora.

12 posted on 11/13/2002 4:40:36 AM PST by wayoverontheright
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To: Fighting Irish
Re:"Osama bin Laden is alive, and on the ground the hunt for him goes on as it did on the very first day," Mr. Noble told Le Figaro.

This guy runs INTERPOL ! I wouldn't expect any other answer from a guy with his responsibilities.

13 posted on 11/13/2002 4:43:47 AM PST by ChadGore
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To: areafiftyone
For the third time...bullshit!

What...did his video camera break down?

This is nothing but an impersonator. But the good news is that if folks believe Osama is alive, we can use this as ammunition to exterminate the Islamic Infestation wherever it resides.

14 posted on 11/13/2002 4:44:45 AM PST by New Horizon
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To: Fighting Irish
Even if it is Osama's voice, how do we know it was recorded this year, and not a collection of bits and pieces of his other speeches spliced together to form a "new" message?

15 posted on 11/13/2002 4:50:56 AM PST by No Truce With Kings
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To: No Truce With Kings
You could tell pretty easily if it was spliced.

It's just an attempt by the Islamic Infestation to keep things rolling.

Let's Roll...

16 posted on 11/13/2002 4:56:11 AM PST by New Horizon
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To: Fighting Irish; ChadGore
I would like to point out that the head of Interpol was nominated by the Clintons. He is an American FOB, so I am not quite as trusting of his word as I might be if he were Inspector Clouseau.
17 posted on 11/13/2002 4:56:40 AM PST by Miss Marple
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To: ChadGore
Ah, you have forgotten the Clinton era Mr. Noble, haven't you?

He used to be head of Bill Clinton's SS detail!

He went to Interpol while Bill was still in office.

BONUS FREEPER TRIVIA QUESTION:

Who was his wife?
18 posted on 11/13/2002 4:58:00 AM PST by Seeking the truth
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Comment #19 Removed by Moderator

Comment #20 Removed by Moderator

To: Fighting Irish
Nowhere in this story does it say that U.S. officials made a 100% voice match on the tape. As a matter of fact they (whoever they is) are not ready "to state definitively that the tape was genuine".

It may already be fundamentally impossible to definitively determine whether a given audio tape of middling fidelity is authentic. Once the state of the art advances to the point where the errors sink below the noise level, the information simply isn't there.

Video will become equally unreliable before long, but isn't quite there yet (the amount of information in a video image is a lot higher, so more processing and better technique is required to get the artifacts below the noise level).

Personally, I wouldn't be surprised to hear the feds announce this conclusion whether it's true or not -- it puts the ball in the incest goblin's court (if he is indeed alive) to release a video (and risk giving away clues and/or showing his minions just how badly being on the lam has disagreed with him over the past year).

21 posted on 11/13/2002 5:02:06 AM PST by steve-b
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To: weegee
Hmmm... if every recent event is a reference to an act initiated by al-Qaeda, it could still be a clip show from beyond the grave -- this stuff doesn't get dreamed up on Monday, planned out on Tuesday, and executed on Wednesday.
22 posted on 11/13/2002 5:04:21 AM PST by steve-b
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To: Fighting Irish
They will never be able to authenticate this tape. Never. It is impossible to positively authenticate a voice on an audio tape. Impossible.
23 posted on 11/13/2002 5:07:56 AM PST by Musket
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To: areafiftyone
Hehe. I would love it if Bush made a tape like Bin Laden does:

"Attention Muslim camel jockeys: We're coming for you. We will destroy your countries one by one. And once we occupy Saudi Arabia, I'm going to piss on that stupid black rock."

24 posted on 11/13/2002 5:09:37 AM PST by Thane_Banquo
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To: steve-b
if every recent event is a reference to an act initiated by al-Qaeda, it could still be a clip show from beyond the grave -- this stuff doesn't get dreamed up on Monday, planned out on Tuesday, and executed on Wednesday

What concerns me is that I believe he specifically mentions all the Australians killed during the Bali attack.

25 posted on 11/13/2002 5:13:32 AM PST by shattered
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To: Seeking the truth
He used to be head of Bill Clinton's SS detail!

He went to Interpol while Bill was still in office.

BONUS FREEPER TRIVIA QUESTION:

Who was his wife?

I give up. Who?

26 posted on 11/13/2002 5:18:28 AM PST by demlosers
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To: wayoverontheright
Man, I hope you're right, cuz I'm still wantin' to cash in on the Binny-be-dead FR pool.
27 posted on 11/13/2002 5:25:02 AM PST by anniegetyourgun
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To: just vincent
Even if they did a digital edit the splices would show up. You cannot match ambiance....unless after the finished product the tape washed with background noise. I doubt any of those idiots have the brains to pull off a sweetening job though.
28 posted on 11/13/2002 5:31:49 AM PST by Fighting Irish
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To: Fighting Irish
If you play the tape backwards it clearly comes out as Carville's rantings.
29 posted on 11/13/2002 5:39:05 AM PST by Gary Boldwater
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Comment #30 Removed by Moderator

To: putupon
What was the most recent event refered to, Bali? "

I think it was the Chechnya rebel's taking hostages, actually.

You're prolly right about the illness, though. Otherwise, he'd have made a video tape instead.

31 posted on 11/13/2002 5:48:50 AM PST by GirlNextDoor
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To: GirlNextDoor
Either that, or Osama's had a face lift...
32 posted on 11/13/2002 5:50:47 AM PST by mewzilla
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To: Fighting Irish
So wait a minute. What about all the conspiracy theorists who were saying that Bush was keeping the WOT frontline for political reasons? Are they now going to suggest that Bin Laden held off on releasing this tape until after the election?

These are serious times, and the reflexive passifist/appeasement left is no longer worthy of being taken seriously.

33 posted on 11/13/2002 5:51:03 AM PST by William McKinley
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To: shattered
What concerns me is that I believe he specifically mentions all the Australians killed during the Bali attack.

That in itself is meaningless -- if Bali was a planned target (as it would be, being an intrusion of Decadent Western Culture[tm] into a Moslem country), even the most rudimentary homework makes that obvious.

34 posted on 11/13/2002 5:52:30 AM PST by steve-b
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To: just vincent
If this thing were spliced together it would be very obvious to someone who speaks his language, so why go through all the trouble? IMO this is a hoax created by someone who sounds like Samy. No big whup and certainly no proof that Samy's alive.
35 posted on 11/13/2002 5:52:49 AM PST by Musket
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To: Fighting Irish
So how come all those doctored videos ?
So how come not a video this time ?
I don't believe it
36 posted on 11/13/2002 5:55:10 AM PST by uncbob
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To: Fighting Irish
"Then later in the piece the only bubblehead that is sure is a guy from Interpol. Last time I checked Interpol was a British agency."

Nope--Interpol is an international police agency. And Ron Noble is an ex-Clintonite. I "think" he was head of the BATF during Waco.

37 posted on 11/13/2002 5:55:14 AM PST by Wonder Warthog
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To: mewzilla
Either that, or Osama's had a face lift...

Oh, I'm sceptical, too.
It's just that I believe we'd be hearing strong comments of doubt already leaking from "our" officials if it weren't him.
Anyway, we should know by the end of the day.

38 posted on 11/13/2002 5:56:17 AM PST by GirlNextDoor
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To: New Horizon
You can say Bulls#%T all you want but I still think that the government knows he is alive and always has.
39 posted on 11/13/2002 6:00:49 AM PST by areafiftyone
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To: GirlNextDoor
On Fox and friends they had that guy (I forgot his name - you know the one that revealed that Bin Laden was offered to the Clintons)and he said that Bin Laden is in fact alive and does not do videos until there is a major strike. Apparently the Bali strike was not the biggie. They are planning a big three pronged strike (U.S., Britain and some other country - possibly India)and then we should see a video after that.
40 posted on 11/13/2002 6:07:59 AM PST by areafiftyone
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To: areafiftyone
They are planning a big three pronged strike

Well bring it on! And then they will lose a couple of their big cities.

41 posted on 11/13/2002 6:17:35 AM PST by Musket
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To: Musket
I wish we would bomb a couple of cities instead of looking for them in the mountains or deserts. We need to do to them what they did to us.
42 posted on 11/13/2002 6:19:43 AM PST by areafiftyone
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To: areafiftyone; Fighting Irish; All
Bill Clinton tried to get Osama, he really really tried:

W A S H I N G T O N, Nov. 13 — The high school textbooks say the president of the United States runs the executive branch of government and rides herd on a vast bureaucracy assigned to carry out his directives.

Well, that's not quite the way it works, say Daniel Benjamin and Steven Simon, who describe the travails of President Clinton in trying, often unsuccessfully, to get the Pentagon and the FBI to pursue Osama bin Laden's al-Qaida terrorist network.

The two authors, both Clinton-era National Security Council experts on terrorism, share their thoughts in a new book, "The Age of Sacred Terror."

They say Clinton wanted to do something about al-Qaida operations in Afghanistan late in his second term, his cruise missile attacks on the group's facilities in August 1998 having achieved little. [Oh, I don't know, he did take out a camel and a $2 tent]

He approached Gen. Hugh Shelton, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and said, according to the book, "It would scare the (expletive) out of al-Qaida if suddenly a bunch of black ninjas rappelled out of helicopters in to the middle of their camp. It would get us an enormous deterrence and show those guys we're not afraid."

The Pentagon feared a debacle similar to April 1980 when President Carter dispatched helicopters to Iran in hopes of rescuing 52 American hostages. The result was the incineration of two helicopters and the deaths of eight servicemen.

The authors suspect that Pentagon reservations about the Clinton plan ran deeper. The Pentagon, they point out, had an uneasy relationship with Clinton virtually from Day 1, when the White House began pushing to end discrimination against homosexuals by the military. They quoted a senior political appointee at the Pentagon as saying that Defense was "particularly unwilling to go out on a limb for Clinton."

Also, the authors say, Thomas Pickering, No. 3 at the State Department under Clinton, worried that someone at Defense would put out the story that the Clinton plan would "hazard the lives of young Americans in a wild goose chase. The Pentagon has a great capacity to let things leak to keep from doing them."

Clinton's "black ninja" plan never got off the ground.

Go to ABC News for full story.

43 posted on 11/13/2002 6:24:04 AM PST by mountaineer
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To: areafiftyone
I'm sorry to say that I agree with you.
44 posted on 11/13/2002 6:24:36 AM PST by Aggie Mama
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To: Fighting Irish
Well.....he either alive - in which case we WILL get him or...

......he is DEAD, in which case we have already got him.

And I think the point is well made: why the AUDIO tapes instead of a VIDEO tape? I think he's dead, and will until he rears his head to show us he's still alive.

He's hurtin', for certain ! :O)

45 posted on 11/13/2002 6:24:38 AM PST by MeekOneGOP
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To: All
Just so I don't start a new post with anything that is repetitive - Here is the latest from Bloomberg and it has Australia's reaction to the comments made by Bin Ugly.

Washington, Nov. 13 (Bloomberg) -- An audiotape of Osama bin Laden praising recent acts of terrorism is authentic, a U.S. official said, providing evidence the leader of al-Qaeda survived the U.S. aerial bombardment of Afghanistan.

Preliminary indications are that the voice on the tape is bin Laden's, a senior U.S. official said yesterday, requesting anonymity. Unidentified U.S. officials cited by the New York Times discounted the possibility the tape was the result of tampering.

The speaker on the tape praised terrorist incidents last month in Moscow and the Indonesian island of Bali and threatened to retaliate in the event the U.S. attacks Iraq, Cable News Network said. The tape was broadcast yesterday by the Qatar-based Al-Jazeera television network.

Al-Qaeda has regrouped since its training camps were destroyed in Afghanistan in December, the United Nations said. The group is receiving funds and is ``fit and well and poised to strike at its leisure,'' a UN report said in August. Bin Laden's fate is unknown. He is said to have escaped into Pakistan with al- Qaeda leaders and those of the ousted Taliban regime.

The last indication bin Laden was alive came in December, when U.S. authorities intercepted a radio transmission in Afghanistan in which they believe they heard him give orders to al- Qaeda fighters, the Times reported.

`No Evidence' He's Dead

Dale Watson, the U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation's executive assistant director for counter-terrorism, said in July he thought bin Laden was dead. Watson also said he had ``no evidence to support that.''

The speaker in the audiotape referred to U.S. President George W. Bush as ``the pharaoh of the century,'' CNN said. Attacks in Moscow, Bali, Kuwait and Yemen were in retaliation for Bush's actions ``killing our children in Iraq,'' the speaker said.

The U.K., France, Italy, Canada, Germany and Australia were criticized for ``allying themselves with America in attacking us in Afghanistan,'' CNN cited the speaker as saying.

Al-Qaeda said last week it carried out the Oct. 12 attack on a nightclub in Bali that killed at least 190 people, CNN reported citing a statement on the group's Web site. Most of the people killed in the incident were tourists, many of them from Australia.

Warning to Australia

The Al-Jazeera broadcast said Australia was warned against participating in Afghanistan. ``They ignored our warning and they woke up to the sound of explosions in Bali,'' CNN cited the speaker as saying.

Inflammatory statements, such as the audiotape, strengthen the resolve to fight terrorism, Australian Foreign Minister Alexander Downer said.

``We will stand by our friends and our allies and our neighbors in our determination to crush international terrorism,'' Downer said. ``This sort of language only reinforces our determination in our campaign against terrorism.''

Al-Qaeda is recruiting in Europe and increasing its activities, August Hanning, the head of Germany's Federal Intelligence Service, told a security conference last week in Berlin. Western intelligence agencies observed an increase in worldwide communications among members of the al-Qaeda network, the Associated Press cited Hanning as saying.

46 posted on 11/13/2002 6:25:17 AM PST by areafiftyone
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To: All
This was to paraphrase the Rumsfeld argument, btw....
Well.....he either alive - in which case we WILL get him or...

......he is DEAD, in which case we have already got him.


47 posted on 11/13/2002 6:26:21 AM PST by MeekOneGOP
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To: areafiftyone
I think we should grab the reporters from Aljazera, and torture them until they tell us where that scumbag and his cohorts are they hiding. Playing by the rule does not apply with these subhuman Moslems.
48 posted on 11/13/2002 6:27:02 AM PST by philosofy123
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To: Fighting Irish
A former CIA agent was interviewed on Fox this a.m., and he said if we did kill Bin Ladin, it wouldn't be wise to admit it just yet.
It would be like telling the terrorists we just killed their foot ball coach and they'd rally together. He'd be their martyr.
He said if we haven't killed him, we still should keep it a priority because without the coach, there will be chaos. Even a replacement coach wouldn't be near as good as Bin Ladin.
49 posted on 11/13/2002 6:27:34 AM PST by concerned about politics
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To: areafiftyone
Seriously...I hope you're right about that....

No bulls#it there; it just furthers our cause to take him and ALL of his Islamikazis out, once and for all.

OBL being alive is the worst scenario for these morons.

50 posted on 11/13/2002 6:29:52 AM PST by New Horizon
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