Posted on 08/31/2022 9:42:17 AM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com
This has been stated several times - but is far from true.
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It’s called projection. The assessment relates to U.S. stockpiles.
“the high rate of losses. It can’t go on forever.”
Isn’t that something Hitler said in 1942?’
Hitler, like Putin, likely did not count on on the high degree of external support from the Lend Lease Program.
Its a real game changer.
Clearly Russian planners were not expecting all of these Javelins and HIMARS, the seizure of their foreign reserves and the loss of European gas revenues.
It can’t go on forever.
The Russians can’t replace much of their weaponry because the Russians have destroyed the Ukrainian factories that produced most of that equipment.
It’s really unknown at this point if Russia actually has extensive reserves or stores of weaponry because so many of their pre-1991 armories have been deactivated or abandoned. Lots of videos on the net to support this observation.
Russian arms sales over the past thirty years have drawn down much of the vast armories of the USSR. It’s been easy money for the oligarchs and the government to just pack up and sell stuff with practically no overhead.
So what really remains of all of that stuff? And how can Russia replace it when 1) most of the USSR factories were in Ukraine and 2) so was the know-how to make this stuff.
Yes, the Russians can make an indeterminate number of missiles of questionable efficacy, but can they produce warships? Tanks? Armored vehicles? Artillery tubes? Artillery ammunition? Bullets?
So far I’d say no because I have yet to see any claims (even from Russia) of newly produced supplies of military goods.
“They lost their freedom”
Actually, the Th Pro-Putin types ignore this but population of Ukraine voted overwhelmingly for independence in the referendum of December 1, 1991.
(About 84 percent of eligible voters turned out for the referendum, and about 90 percent of them endorsed independence.)
[When Ukrainians voted for independence from the Soviet Union in 1991, all of its 24 “oblasts,” or regions – including Donetsk, Luhansk and Crimea – supported Ukraine independence.
The minority of ethnic Russians were included as Ukrainian citizens in an independent state voted for independence. The ethnic Russians and Russian speakers in Ukraine’s east did not automatically support the separatists or want to be part of Russia.
Artillery shells are among the last things I’d expect Russian forces to run out of, but they are already hard pressed to keep getting them where they need them.
It is emblematic of the high pace of operations, and the high rate of losses. It can’t go on forever.
Most of the land Russia has stolen from Ukraine is areas occupied in the very start of the most recent sneak attack and areas around railheads. There are other areas but that is the bulk. Russia tried large scale military operations around Kyiv, Donbas, etc., and failed impotently. Naturally, their supporters have airbrushed every bit of these failures from their heads.
“Wow, taking the garbage the Daily Beast spews out as gospel.”
Sorry. I thought the Daily Beast would appeal to you.
Actually, this info is everywhere if you but look.
Sadly, Russia just needs weapons that can kill children. That is the Russian way of war for generations. They don’t need advanced weapons to do that.
True. But they lack the manufacturing base to produce those weapons. Right now they’re using irreplaceable supplies from the Soviet era.
More than 500 Ukrainian troops were slaughtered in that “offensive”.
These boys were just cannon fodder to promote Zelensky’s egotistical madness.
“So what really remains of all of that stuff?” (Soviet stockpiles of artillery shells).
That is really the big unknown.
As you point out, they may have been selling that stuff off under the table for 30 years. We know they have been selling some openly.
It is possible that they might run down the stocks, and have to fight hand to mouth, based on what they can produce. That would certainly be a big step down from the rate of fire they were massing in the Donbass.
The Russians have already fired 7 million artillery rounds in the Ukraine, which is a Hellish amount. They are wearing out barrels, and losing trained crewman. Something will break.
The continued Russia will, could, should, might, maybe, and now, ‘will almost’ run out of ammo.....again 10x ad nauseam.
All the while, massed Russian artillery still having the ability to drop 6500 rounds within 24hours for 6 days, for example, on Ukrainian positions.
‘A Ukrainian’s Letter from the Front’
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=94RYVNg9bfA
The West/EU/US/UK/NATO/Ukrainian Ministry of Truth propaganda folks out in full force today in a full blown effort to divert attention from the failed Ukraine ‘million man army’ PR offensive that has ended in utter disaster with significant equipment losses that the Zelenskyyidiot Nazi Regime can ill-afford to lose.
Winter is coming and Ukraine fast running out of defensive lines while Russians are massing for a soon to be open field rout of the Ukrainians.
These boys were just cannon fodder to promote Zelensky’s egotistical madness.
Zelensky isn’t Dear Leader Putin and Ukraine isn’t one party fascist state Russia. There is no messianic followership involved here. Ukrainians defend their people and land while Russia fights a classical imperialist war of conquest and banditry
In a few months Russia’s greatest weapon will be here: WINTER.
Yep, you watch the Ruby supply chain problems with getting replenishment weapons for what they shipped to Ukraine. Mark my words
More than six months of war in Ukraine have led to huge losses of manpower and military equipment of the terrorist state of Russia. By the end of this year, the Russian Federation will run out of shells for artillery and armored vehicles, there are also very few guided missiles, and the state of military aviation does not allow for a full-scale air campaign.
This ageless story just keeps getting better with every retelling.
Russia about 10 days away from exhausting ammo, manpower: Former US CommanderRussia-Ukraine updates | Russia will soon reach a point where it will be forced to stop its assault on Ukraine after it runs out of resources, says a former US commanding general.
Yavoriv
March 15, 2022
UPDATED: March 15, 2022 11:07 ISTFormer US commanding general of the United States Army Europe, Lieutenant General Ben Hodges said on Monday that Russians are about 10 days away from reaching the “culminating point” . Once they reach there, the US commander said, the Russian troops will be "forced to stop their assault on Ukraine due to a lack of resources".
According to Lt Gen Hodges, “Russians are about 10 days away from what is called the culminating point, when they just no longer have the ammunition nor the manpower to keep up their assault.”
Most of the land Russia has stolen from Ukraine is areas occupied in the very start of the most recent sneak attack and areas around railheads. There are other areas but that is the bulk. Russia tried large scale military operations around Kyiv, Donbas, etc., and failed impotently. Naturally, their supporters have airbrushed every bit of these failures from their heads.
The current front is a 1,500 mile long arc going north to south. Russia has taken the entirety of Luhansk oblast, and is mopping up on taking the entirety of Donetsk oblast, together comprising the whole of Donbas. When land is taken in war, it is not stolen. Reference the Gaza Strip and the West Bank, Israel since 1967.
The Russian front line is attacking Nicolaev. If/when Nicolaev falls, they can procced to Transnistria, and Odesa will be cut off. In the Zaporizhzhia oblast, the largest nuclear power plant in Europe is now behind Russian lines.
Mariupol, Severodonetsk, and Lysychansk are former cities of Ukraine. Their remains are now behind Russian lines.
How did Russia do a sneak attack on a 1,500 mile long front?
You must remember that Ukraine is not as cold as Russia. The coldest month of the year is January, with average highs and lows of 30 and 21 degrees Fahrenheit, respectively. Winter wheat is the predominant crop in Ukraine comparable to the central and southern Great Plains.
We have only sent 16 HIMARS systems to Ukraine, and surely some have been knocked out. No way can the Ukies be using enough missiles to seriously short us, unless we were seriously short anyway. Sad to say, that’d mostly be on the Trump Admin. Which is why I have my doubts.
Now, if we’d sent half our inventory of HIMARS systems to Ukraine (IIRC we had 700+), then I might believe it. But even then, a shortage would stink of bad planning. Poland alone, NOT a wealthy country, has ordered 500 HIMARS systems. What on earth would the (Trump) planners be thinking would be needed if a major dustup occurred?
Actually physically sent, or will be sent? All this stuff has been greatly slow-walked. The Ukies are dying (literally) for lack of artillery and rockets to counter the huge Russian advantage in artillery and rockets, even tho’ ours are more mobile and mostly more accurate..
Pres. Trump has been fairly supportive of Ukraine and ok’d weapons shipments to them too, as well as being quite harsh regarding Putin. (Park “boomers” off Russia’s coast.)
Maybe he sees something you don’t.
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