Posted on 04/11/2022 5:35:32 AM PDT by marcusmaximus
It’s also a mistake to treat global affairs such as war the same as science.
***That’s basically the same thing I said, “Oh well, with so many parameters it is difficult to even come up with predictable outcomes.”
You are welcome to have your opinions, be they right or wrong, but
***And so are you. But your anti-scientific viewpoint pops up when you are presented with the obvious.
to have the attitude that they are in some way related to scientific theory is hubris.
***They ARE related to scientific theory in multitudes of ways. It’s just that there are too many parameters to gather and observe, much the same way of the butterfly effect or econometric models or stock market trend forecasting or global climate change models. That’s why I said “Oh well, with so many parameters it is difficult to even come up with predictable outcomes.”
It’s also why I pulled back another 10,000 feet to use POTO, Pointing Out The Obvious”, to gather a couple of salients & say “ My prediction would be: If Finland joins NATO, Russia will not invade. Kind of obvious, I know. “
Hence, it is using scientific approaches similar to the backward propagation of errors algorithm to update the network weights on stock market indices that brings us to the comment “But working backwards from that, if Ukraine had joined NATO, Vlad wouldn’t have invaded. “
And then it brings into focus the salient which wasn’t quite so visible before leading to the comment “ So... why didn’t they? The answer appears to be: It’s complicated. Not so complicated any more, is it?” But you label this as hubris. I think it’s more that you don’t like where the process led, so you downshitfed into a subtle insult. Your opinions at 40,000 feet are valid but anyone else going down to 38,000 feet is engaging in hubris.
And you’re putting out nonsense and looking for an argument.
When you argue with a fool long enough it becomes harder to see which is the fool. I believe I’ve already told you that I can suffer fools for a while, as they are cheap entertainment.
You’re no longer entertaining.
You don’t answer questions put to you, you just post pablum and insults. Your posts are devoid of meaning. That makes you the less-than-entertaining fool.
I think it'll be replaced by another strongman. A clone of Putin. Or other tyrants before him. Stalin. Lenin. Ivan the terrible, all the Czars....
There’s an easy fix.
Stop bothering me.
Stop posting like a fool and a troll.
Ganeemead on 1th April 2022 “What are all you nato shills gonna do two weeks from non when ukraine surrenders and they hang that sick pervert Zelenski??”.
So 2 weeks from 11th April. That makes it 25th April.
Did ukraine surrender on 25th April?
An April Fool’s joke?
Sure did turnout that way.
"Two weeks from now" - 4/11/2022. Now nearly a year later. And Zelenski is a "sick pervert", but you frequently post from Scott Ritter?
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