Posted on 11/10/2020 3:35:24 PM PST by narses
McCarthy also noted that as few as 21,000 well placed votes would put Ds in the minority. Holy crap. What a ship show.
Actually, some votes tossed here in the audits and there and it could happen ! Some say 14 of the 17 needed are mostly in the bag. Pelosi and the Ds are pretty much neutered, either way.
Should Biden steal the WH, he’s certain to lose house seats bigly in 2022.
True.
That would be my fantasy dream...botox & cankles room mates in Folsom Prison.
Hakeem Jeffries.....called a moderate by some, but he sure as hell didn’t act like it during the impeachment hearings.
You’re kidding right??? NO FREAKING DEMOCRATS would EVER vote for him for Speaker!!!
ALMOST nothing would make me happier than seeing this demented, senile old witch relegated to the sidelines.
The damage she’s done to our country is INCALCULABLE.
Of course, an even BIGGER lunatic might replace her.
I hated Tom Daschle with the fire of a thousand suns. Did freaking BACKFLIPS when he was defeated. Then we got Harry Reid - WAY worse. Oh, but wait..THEN, Chuckie Schumer. Makes Harry Reid look like Mary Poppins. And Harry made Tommy Daschle look like a far right Republican by comparison.
Be careful what we wish for. There’s an endless stream of ABSOLUTE LUNATICS vying for the Speakership. God help us if any of them (like AOC) win.
good point on Parnell....I don’t see a resolution to thousands and thousands of votes tossed in PA... if they can’t resolve the late ballot issue PA EV votes may not be allowed or considered. If that means no one gets 270, it goes to the house.
That’s becoming more probable every day.
Would the House vote be based on the new Congress? The current one is only 26-24 delegations for the GOP, and Liz Cheney might become a snake and defect to the Rats.
Why are people so anxious to get rid of Pelosi as Speaker? Her leadership the past two years has been disastrous for the Dems — they almost lost the House in a year when they should have picked up seats!
We want to replace her with someone who might be more effective?
Maybe Hoyer!!!
GREAT analysis, TexasGurl! I do have a couple of quibs:
1. In CA-39 (Young Kim taking on PowerBall Cisneros), almost 319,000 votes have been tabulated in that district, where a bit over 263,000 were cast in 2016 (and 244,000 in 2018). I wouldn’t rely on adjoining districts for an estimate of the total turnout: The CA-39 is 33% Hispanic and 29% Asian, so I assume that it’s Voting Age Citizen Population can’t be anywhere near as high as in the Rohrabacher-Rouda-Steel CA-48 (which is only 20% Hispanic and 18% Asian and where they’ve already counted 385,000 votes). I don’t think that there are as many votes left to count as you are assuming; if I’m right, it bodes well for Young Kim.
2. In NJ-07, I don’t believe that it is late-arriving mail-in votes that are decreasing Malinowski’s margin, but the Election Day vote. NJ had the audacity to declare before Election Day that they wouldn’t start counting the Election Day vote until a week later, which is why the RATs all took early leads and held them for a week. Not only does Kean have a better chance of overtaking Malinowski than the media assume, but NJ-03, NJ-05 and NJ-11 will end up far closer than what people assumed when NJ posted its vote count. It is absurd that the media played pretended that NJ’s vote results were anything other than cherry-picked propaganda.
It’s the new House, which will have 27 GOP delegations if the GOP nominee holds on to her 36-vote lead in IA-02. But Cheney voting for Biden is the dumbest thing that I’ve ever heard, given that she wants a future in WY politics (and, besides, were that to make it 25-25 it still wouldn’t result in Biden being elected and we’d have Acting President Pence until the House elected someone).
I’m nearly certain Kim won after the last updates. Kim just won 59% in San Bernardino and she’s now leading by 4194.
Extrapolating LA County remaining ballots (136k) to the district (like 1.9% of LA County votes), suggests there are like 2700 votes in LA County left. This could be off by a little bit, but likely not a ton. The late ballots in San Bernardino have heavily favored Kim, and Kim is up by >4k.
“Speaker needs an outright majority, not just a plurality.”
_____________
Not exactly. There was a long thread about this on FR a few years ago when it wasn’t clear if Boehner would get a majority, and I recall a report from the Congressional Research Service made this all clear. To be elected Speaker, one needs to get a majority of votes cast for a person, even if it’s less than 218. If anti-Pelosi Democrats vote “Present” they wouldn’t count towards the denominator, so Pelosi could be elected Speaker, say, by 213-212 with 10 members voting “Present.”
Kindly don’t SHOUT AT ME, FRiend. I think you should take so-called moderates in pink districts at their word that they’re afraid that the radical agenda will doom them in 2022 when they’re at a historical disadvantage anyway if Biden should win. Gambit #1 would be a demand that Pelosi withdraws and one of the other hacks takes over. Gambit #2 is the threat that if the rats won’t comply with #1, some small cohort will flip and vote for McCarthy. As I told you, I’ve seen it happen right here in the Golden State in 1994, when Willie Brown stayed as Democrat speaker of a GOP-majority CA Assembly
“Blackmail threats will be flying all over the place like birds in a Hitchcock movie.”
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