Posted on 11/10/2020 3:35:24 PM PST by narses
Youth movement! : )
Thanks...I understood it incorrectly.
You are so right! Fear strikes the heart of every degenerate libtard because Nancy knows all the secrets!
She may well be!..............
Trolling
I think McCarthy said that last time she was voted as speaker. Hope he’s right this time.
I thought Fox called it for Garcia last night???
if the gap is narrowed to 5-8 dem advantage, then the conservative democrats will actually control the house...they were ignored and threatened before,,,but now theyll really have the power. Same thing happened to Gingrich in 1998....reps lost 5 seats but still maintained the House...but Gingrich had lost his power...he had to go....
“You can vote your way into socialism, but you have to shoot your way out.”
Not me, I’m on oxygen and I have a portable go anywhere concentrater. One match and I become a fire breathing dragon.
SLC just dumped a ton of ballots and McAdams only picked up 83 net votes. I think they have to be close to done and Owens has won.
Yes...but on the good side, if they put AOC in there, empty thoughts hitting your brain are far less painful than accidentally ejected false teeth hitting you in the forehead.
Damn, someone should give her a tube of Polident.
That’s great news. Do we know how many total votes came in? Supposedly there were only around 10,000 to 14,000 left from Salt Lake County as of last night, which made it uphill but not impossible for McAdams to catch Owens given that we don’t know from where in Salt Lake County those votes were coming.
16.6k
Holy crap! I think that you’re right, and Owens won. There can’t possibly be many votes at all left in SLC, and there still are a few left in Utah County.
Here is where I’m at right now,
208 R seats (including all uncalled seats in NY except Tenney)
209. Owens – 99%
210. Tenney – 97%
211. Miller-Meeks – 80%
212. Valadao – 70%
213. Garcia – 50%
214. Kean – 20%
I think that’s the ceiling.
You already included Kim, right?
I can’t disagree with your percentage odds, except maybe putting Valadao ay 75% and MMM at 85%. And I guess that we should include Oberweiss at 5% odds of finding something big in the recount.
Any news out of NJ-07?
Oh, and you assume that, in the uncalled NY CDs, Santos lost to Suozzi and Sean Maloney and Antonio Delgado won reelection, right? Because those are not happening for us.
Yep. Kim included.
NJ-7
Kean now down by 9708.
Trails Malinowski 51.3% – 48.7% (2.6%)
https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/with-more-morris-ballots-counted-malinoski-lead-now-9708-over-kean/
There are supposed to be 57000 ballots left, mostly Election Day returns.
Kean needs close to 60% of them to pull ahead.
Yep. I agree those are out of reach.
From the article that you linked:
“Malinowski now leads Kean by 9,708 votes, 51.3%-48.7%, after 4,059 more ballots were counted in Morris County.
Kean added 1,043 votes in Morris County today after getting 62.8% of the ballots counted on Wednesday.
...
Union County added 2,293 more votes today, with Malinowski’s edge dropping there fom [sic] 12,297 to 11,604.
Millburn, the lone Essex municipality in the 7th district, added 396 additional votes; Malinowski’s plurality there dropped from 3,703 to 3649.”
So in today’s vote Kean netted 25.7% in Morris, 30.2% in Union and 13.6% in Essex. If there are 57,000 votes left, Kean only need to net a bit over 17% of the vote (the equivalent of winning 58.5% to 41.5% in a two-person race), which he should exceed if they are mostly Election Day ballots remaining to be counted (and which he far exceeded today). Even if the number of ballots left to be counted is only 50,000, Kean would win by netting 19.5% of them.
If the votes remaining are anything like the votes that have been counted during the past week, I think that Kean will win. Maybe those 20% odds that you gave him should be bumped up to 50%.
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