OMG is that Tucker Carlson ?
Posted on 10/30/2020 6:51:31 PM PDT by 11th_VA
ST. PETERSBURG, Florida (AP) — As the campaign enters its final two weeks, Florida has again emerged as a critical state, and Pinellas, one of the largest counties in the state, is one of those places likely to track the final outcome.
“It is certainly a barometer of the broader trends,” said Daniel Smith, a political science professor at the University of Florida. “It’s a dynamic county, a good place to be watching the returns.”
Democrat Barack Obama won the county twice, but then voters turned to Republican Donald Trump, by a mere 5,500 votes, and Pinellas was the largest of only four counties in the state to switch from Obama to Trump.
“It shifted further to the right than the state as a whole did,” said political analyst Kyle Kondik of the University of Virginia.
Or did it? In 2018, Pinellas voted for Democrats Andrew Gillum for governor and Bill Nelson for senate. Both lost.
Part of the reason it’s so hard to capture the mood of the electorate here is because it’s really three distinct regions in one. ...
(Excerpt) Read more at theamericanonews.com ...
Republicans 34,672
Democrats 35,204
Other 1,735
Miami Dade county Is the one to watch. It’s one of the south Florida counties that democrats count on for votes in the state. It’s now over 40,000 votes less to favorable to Biden than it was for Clinton because the Hispanics have abandoned the socialist Dems. If this trend holds this weekend, the Dems are in a pickle. That’s why they will try everything to get their voters out in a last ditch effort. Keep you eyes on Miami Dade.
We cast our Pinellas County votes for Trump !!!
apparently James “Snake” Carville and Joe “A Worse Snake” Scarborough are trying to sound the alarm about how badly Dade is going for the Ds.
https://countyballotfiles.floridados.gov/VoteByMailEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats
What difference does it make. Sleepy is up 17 in WI and 12 in MI. I read it in the “news”. Man do I pray for a Trump victory in 2020
Good or bad for Trump?
If the democrat lead in combined returned mail ballots and early votes drops below 95k tomorrow, it’s over for Biden.
It’s now at about 115K more than GOP ballots, and has been dropping about 50k ballots per day behind the GOP ballots
In 2016 democrats had 96K more returned ballots before election day, and Hillary lost by 113,000 .... the real red wave is expected with in person voting on 3 Nov
I thought the Florida bellwether was Hillsborough County.
I really wish Vegas would give those numbers as under/over odds. I would empty my savings to take the under. DJT might not win Wis/Mich but he damn sure isn’t going to lose them by 17/12
Apparently it used to be. However Mr Trump lost it in 2016 but won the state anyway,so it’s not such a good bellwether anymore.
I’ve actually heard St Lucie is a bellwether, maybe as well as Pinellas. Not sure about that though.
It’s good to know Carville is worried.
David Axelrod was on CNN this morning and he sure looked depressed about the Miami-Dade numbers. The other CNN people looked like they were at a funeral as well.
big quote:
“The other thing you notice, if you look deeply into these numbers is that where the fall off is - appears to be - seems to be ah, among African-American voters. And that is a concern.”
—David Axelrod
I want to see that wastebasket over Carville’s head.
On another note, the best county bellwether is Vigo County, Indiana, and they have been right since 1888. Last week they had a huge truck rally for Trump. You never hear publicly how their polls are shaking out. They make me optimistic.
OMG is that Tucker Carlson ?
I’m in Pinellas County. Voting Trump and all R’s on Tuesday, election day, in person.
Yup. Bow tie and all.
In those days Rush used to call him “Chatsworth Osborne III”.
I had never heard of Vigo County, IN before. Super interesting prediction history. Are you from there? Is this accurate? Seems pretty slanted left to me...
https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/10/26/bellwether-vigo-county-indiana-prepares-2020-election/3649501001/
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.