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(Based on latest Nevada Voting) “ Rep. Susie Lee(D) is a tad nervous“
/thenevadaindependent.com ^ | Oct 28, 2020 | Ralston

Posted on 10/29/2020 4:03:41 AM PDT by 11th_VA

Updated, 10 PM, 102/28/20

Net loss of about 4,300 in urban Nevada in in-person voting -- mail will tell the tale when it comes in from Clark overnight.

Turnout in Clark was just under 28,000; Washoe was 7,000.

Scroll down for what has been happening so you don't exult or freak out too much.

More details in the morning...

Here’s the deep dive into key Clark County races – I would guess Rep. Susie Lee is a tad nervous, Rep. Steven Horsford not so much:

CD3 (Lee):

133,000 have voted early

GOP+22,000

131,000 people have voted by mail

Dems+34,000

Overall: Dems+12,000 out of 264,000 who have voted

4.5-percent lead (down a point from last update) —————————————————————- 51 percent of active voters have voted, so this is likely about 60 percent of the actual vote

CD4 (Clark part, which is 85 percent) (Horsford):

92,000 have voted early

GOP+7,500

90,000 voted by mail

D+31,000

Overall: D+23,500 out of 182,000 who have voted

13-percent lead (same as last update)

—————————————————————————

47 percent of active voters in, so well over half the vote

SD5 (Woodhouse)

Early: 22,000

GOP+3,000

Mail: 20,000

D+6,500

Overall: D+3,500 out of 42,000 who have voted

8.3 percent lead (barely down)

————————————————————————

50 percent of active voters have voted, so about 60 percent is in

SD6 (Cannizzaro)

Early: 22,000

GOP+3,000

Mail: 23,000

D+7,000

Overall: D+4,000 out of 45,000 who have voted

9 percent lead (down a point)

—————————————————————————-

Urban in-person updates coming later….

(Excerpt) Read more at thenevadaindependent.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS:
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Comment: Ralston is a Democrat analyst that looks at D vs R votes in Nevada. His ‘takeaways’ regarding Democrat representatives are in bold above.

Rep Lee (D) [2019] appears to be in trouble as GOP votes begin to outpace Democrats

Red Tide rising ?!?!?

1 posted on 10/29/2020 4:03:41 AM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

Interesting. Ralston admitting this is a very good sign!


2 posted on 10/29/2020 4:06:50 AM PDT by mad_as_he$$ (Why can't we just get into the running car?)
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To: 11th_VA

If by chance the republicans hold the senate and take the house with a Trump win, we’ll know the reason why. The Rats and the left suck big time. If the republicans take it all then they better act like Americans and systematically dismantle the left. It would be the last chance to do it by avoiding armed conflict.


3 posted on 10/29/2020 4:18:10 AM PDT by HighSierra5
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To: HighSierra5
systematically dismantle the left

That’s what Schumer is threatening to the Right. I honestly think the Only ‘peaceful’ solution Is two countries ...

4 posted on 10/29/2020 4:34:05 AM PDT by 11th_VA (I believe Hunter BidenÂ’s emails ...)
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To: 11th_VA

“I honestly think the Only ‘peaceful’ solution Is two countries”

Conservatives get the side with the Great Lakes, and the RATS get side with the earthquakes, forest fires, and millions of illiterate illegals.


5 posted on 10/29/2020 4:51:26 AM PDT by Beagle8U ("Chris Wallace comes from the shallow end of the press pool.")
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To: mad_as_he$$

If it’s a Harry Reid endorsed, union maintained, voting machine, don’t be surprised if magical D votes appear out of thin air.


6 posted on 10/29/2020 5:01:07 AM PDT by MGunny
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To: 11th_VA

The peaceful solution is that more power devolves to the states from the federal government, with the exception of laws protecting civil rights, freedom of speech, the Constitutional amendments, etc. that would apply in all fifty, plus federal control over immigration, foreign policy and national defense. Other than that, if you want high taxes, lunatic environmental laws, crazed teachings in the public schools - you could move to California, New York or MA. I don’t know how it would work, but its much better than and more workable than a civil war or a sea of red with blue coasts and a few separate islands such as Chicago, Denver, and Minneapolis in the middle.


7 posted on 10/29/2020 5:03:41 AM PDT by laconic
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To: Beagle8U

And you guys get the parts where they marry cousins and ride broken down pickup trucks and make 1970s salaries :-)

And the local theater is a barn.


8 posted on 10/29/2020 5:06:57 AM PDT by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: dp0622

I’ll have you know that there isn’t one of my cousin’s within 1,000 miles of here and all my pick-ups are in fine working order!! ;-)


9 posted on 10/29/2020 5:18:28 AM PDT by mad_as_he$$ (Why can't we just get into the running car?)
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To: 11th_VA

Merciful Lord, bring defeat to your enemies, individually and collectively.


10 posted on 10/29/2020 5:28:25 AM PDT by dsc (Do not pray for easy lives; pray to be stronger men.)
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To: Beagle8U

“Conservatives get the side with the Great Lakes, and the RATS get side with the earthquakes, forest fires, and millions of illiterate illegals.”

Can’t agree. I love the West. Demonrats are entitled to nothing better than exile.


11 posted on 10/29/2020 5:30:43 AM PDT by dsc (Do not pray for easy lives; pray to be stronger men.)
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To: MGunny

“If it’s a Harry Reid endorsed, union maintained, voting machine, don’t be surprised if magical D votes appear out of thin air.”

Nevada is basically “New Jersey West” as far as mob-controlled casinos and mob-controlled politicians pulling the strings of those who run the state. If a Republican is sufficiently corrupt, bought & paid for they might support him too, otherwise getting elected to any important office is a tall ladder to climb if you’re not a Democrat.

Nevada’s not quite as far gone as New Jersey is (yet); there are still many close, competitive elections here — Democrats just somehow happen to win all of them.


12 posted on 10/29/2020 5:35:07 AM PDT by PermaRag (WANTED: millions of patriotic gun owners who are willing to trade bullets for freedom)
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To: 11th_VA

I’d rather see millions of leftists butchered like out of a Hellraiser movie than see the country split.


13 posted on 10/29/2020 5:44:22 AM PDT by Greetings_Puny_Humans (I mostly come out at night... mostly.)
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To: Greetings_Puny_Humans

“I’d rather see millions of leftists butchered like out of a Hellraiser movie than see the country split.”

+100000000000.


14 posted on 10/29/2020 5:52:54 AM PDT by PermaRag (WANTED: millions of patriotic gun owners who are willing to trade bullets for freedom)
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To: PermaRag; Greetings_Puny_Humans
“I’d rather see millions of leftists butchered like out of a Hellraiser movie than see the country split.”

You are both sick fracks and stupid. Nobody but tiny minority of idiots thinks like that.

15 posted on 10/29/2020 5:55:27 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: HighSierra5

That’s right. I don’t want to hear “my democrat colleagues” uttered. And the term “bi-partisan”? FEH.

“Kiss My Ass” should be the rallying call for every single Republican.


16 posted on 10/29/2020 6:00:55 AM PDT by smvoice (I WILL NOT WEAR THE RIBBON.)
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To: mad_as_he$$

Reading between his lines, it looks like
*Trump needs at least a 15,000 lead out of Washoe (a flip of 18,000 from 2016) AND
*Clark needs to come in with less than a 900,000 D advantage.


17 posted on 10/29/2020 6:00:58 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

“Reading between his lines, it looks like
*Trump needs at least a 15,000 lead out of Washoe (a flip of 18,000 from 2016) AND
*Clark needs to come in with less than a 900,000 D advantage.”

Ralston is also stating he doesn’t believe indies will break heavily to Trump based on polling. Does Baris think differently? I would think the Libertarians and American Independents might come somewhat our way, and I would presume indies might as well given Covid and the lockdown.


18 posted on 10/29/2020 7:16:14 AM PDT by DaxtonBrown
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To: DaxtonBrown

I haven’t talked to Rich about indies.

Team Trump told me that compared to 2016 they were “up with blacks, up with Hispanics, up with Mormons.”


19 posted on 10/29/2020 7:20:35 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: dp0622

Get outta my yard!


20 posted on 10/29/2020 7:53:17 AM PDT by Salamander (Clap for that, you stupid bastards!)
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