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Published 2 hours ago Pollster Frank Luntz: If Trump defies polls again 'my profession is done'
Fox News ^ | 23 October 2020 | Caitlin McFall

Posted on 10/23/2020 4:55:23 PM PDT by Magnatron

Republican pollster Frank Luntz told Fox News’ Bret Baier on Thursday night, that his "profession is done" if President Trump wins re-election come Nov. 3, and proves the national polls wrong yet again.

“I hate to acknowledge it, because that's my industry — at least partially — but the public will have no faith. No confidence. Right now, the biggest issue is the trust deficit,” Luntz said in response to Baier asking how pollsters will fare if they are wrong in predicting the 2020 presidential election. “Pollsters did not do a good job in 2016. So, if Donald Trump surprises people, if Joe Biden had a 5- or 6-point lead, my profession is done."

National polls largely show Biden with a lead over Trump with two weeks until the presidential election.

Real Clear Politics, which pools together several national polls and takes the average, shows Biden up by 7.9 points, though in battleground states the former vice president is only up by 3.8 points – well within margin of error, which generally hovers around plus or minus four points.

Hillary Clinton was projected to win in 2016, with polling consistently similar to Biden’s.

FiveThirtyEight’s election project gave Clinton an 86 percent chance of winning during this point in the last presidential race. Biden is currently projected to win with an 88 percent probability.

Still, some polls appear to show a tighter race in their polling this time around.

The New York Times projected Clinton had a 91 percent chance of beating Trump two weeks prior to the 2016 election, but the Times is only projecting that Biden has a 50 percent chance of beating Trump.

But Luntz, a GOP pollster, still thinks that Biden will win the presidency after claiming that Trump won the second and final presidential debate Thursday.

(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: biden; elections; fakenews; fakepolls; frankluntz; luntz; luntz4biden; nevertrumpers; polls; publictrust; published2hoursago; pushpolls; tds; trump; uniparty
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If Trump is re-elected — especially by a landslide — I don’t see how polling companies will recover.

These companies charge for their services — a lot. At some point, even the left will become infuriated that they are continually lied to about their position and will scream election interference.

And they’d be right.

In the past, media would cover for polling outlet’s failings, knowing that most people’s memories are short. This time around, the pressure will be too great to brush under the rug

1 posted on 10/23/2020 4:55:23 PM PDT by Magnatron
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To: Magnatron

Weird headline malfunction. Too thumb-happy with the copy function.


2 posted on 10/23/2020 4:57:15 PM PDT by Magnatron
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To: Magnatron

Let me go out on a limb here and say YOUR Profession is DONE!


3 posted on 10/23/2020 4:57:27 PM PDT by Boardwalk (They keep from talking.)
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To: Magnatron

From your lips to God’s ears, Frank.


4 posted on 10/23/2020 4:57:47 PM PDT by hellinahandcart
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To: Magnatron

They are done. This is going to be amazing.


5 posted on 10/23/2020 4:57:54 PM PDT by Florida1181
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To: Magnatron
'my profession is done'

Liberals crave validation. They'll even pay extravagantly for it.

I think your "profession" is secure.

6 posted on 10/23/2020 4:58:55 PM PDT by Spirochete
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To: Magnatron

If Trump wins (and he will), LUNTZ is done.


7 posted on 10/23/2020 4:59:20 PM PDT by HombreSecreto (The life of a repo man is always intense)
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To: Magnatron
This dope knew in 2016 that his profession was done.

He pointed out after Election Day that even the exit polls were wrong ... which meant that many of the people he was polling were lying right to his face even AFTER they had voted.

There's something particularly important about this. These people didn't just hang up the phone and refuse to answer a pollster. They went through the trouble of taking the time to answer the poll, then lied to the pollster.

8 posted on 10/23/2020 4:59:21 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("There's somebody new and he sure ain't no rodeo man.")
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To: Magnatron

Well good-bye Luntz especially after your LA stream of your selected voters picked Trump 9-1. You later went on local TV and said you’re group indicated a TIE. You’re finished dude.


9 posted on 10/23/2020 4:59:29 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: Magnatron

As someone posted of fr earlier...

“Never trust a dude with a bad wig”


10 posted on 10/23/2020 4:59:59 PM PDT by SheepWhisperer (My enemy saw me on my knees, head bowed and thought they had won until I rose up and said Amen!)
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To: Magnatron

bye Frank, time to pack up your box full of belongings and head out the office door


11 posted on 10/23/2020 5:00:15 PM PDT by b4me (God Bless the USA)
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To: Magnatron
...proves the national polls wrong yet again.

If Trump was up by 20 across the country, would MSLSD tell ya in advance?

12 posted on 10/23/2020 5:00:22 PM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: Libloather

Don’t forget to take Bruce Springstun with you!


13 posted on 10/23/2020 5:01:40 PM PDT by wareagle7295
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To: Magnatron

Deal!


14 posted on 10/23/2020 5:01:59 PM PDT by NImerc
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To: Magnatron

Well, bye!


15 posted on 10/23/2020 5:02:07 PM PDT by Clay Moore (Mega prayers, Rush)
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To: Magnatron

bye bye


16 posted on 10/23/2020 5:02:38 PM PDT by GreyFriar (Spearhead - 3rd Armored Division 75-78 & 83-87)
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To: Magnatron

Pollsters have attempted to contact me on three occasions and I either didn’t answer the call or reply to the text. I imagine other people are doing the same or outright lying to the pollsters.


17 posted on 10/23/2020 5:03:01 PM PDT by 38special (For real, y'all.)
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To: Florida1181

The polling companies cannot get a proper sample for Trump because of “non-response” bias.

They only get a 1-2% response rate for polls because most people can’t be bothered. But the last thing most Trump supporters want to do is speak with the “fake news” polls. The republicans that agree to do polls are different than the universe of typical Trump voters.

There are plenty of undercover Trump voters out there that do not want people to know their vote.


18 posted on 10/23/2020 5:03:07 PM PDT by springwater13
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To: Magnatron

Stick a fork in em


19 posted on 10/23/2020 5:03:15 PM PDT by orlop9
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To: Magnatron

Only crazy people and drunks answer a call from a number they don’t recognize. Polling, therefore, is a rather inexact science.


20 posted on 10/23/2020 5:03:30 PM PDT by JennysCool
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