Posted on 10/21/2020 5:10:53 PM PDT by Coop
You can bet this had some Ds looking for clean underwear.
All I know is OH is close to 8 or more; FL now would be over 2; and AZ is better than 2016 (4-5).
So as far as I know, those numbers aren’t that crazy.
Interesting stuff. Back after the conventions I picked Trump to win all those listed states except NJ, with OR and NM as toss-ups. OR because of the Portland invasion and NM because of fracking. And I do think it’s likely that Trump would lose Maine’s first district even if he wins the state. But I’d be happy to be wrong!
given the 11% “shy” Trump vote and 12% supposedly undecided, then Trump and Jason Lewis will win overwhelmingly ...
I just sent $$ to Lewis.
Well done. Think I'll join you.
He is not even close to losing. GOP is winning SC in a blowout!!
“Coop’s favorite GOP underdog: Jayson Lewis, MN (see below for details).
SNIP
Senate candidate and former Rep. Jason Lewis has deep roots in MN and plenty of name recognition from his time in Congress (MN-02), his radio show in the Twin Cities area, numerous TV programs, and his work as a contributing columnist at the Star Tribune. Why does everyone think unproven John James in D+1 Michigan is primed to knock off an incumbent, while high profile, former Rep. Jason Lewis in D+1 Minnesota supposedly doesn’t have a chance? Makes no sense to this fella, even recognizing Sen. Smith is considered stronger than Sen. Peters.”
That was my map, except CO is red. It totaled 351, but AuH2ORepublican reminded me that Maine’s 1st district is about a 10-11 point Dem advantage. So I probably should have called it 350 votes. But I won’t complain if the POTUS earns 351 electoral votes. :-)
The numbers are in line with what has been going on in the states like you stated. Covid 19 has a negative effect on Democrats too.
Yeah. You think I could have spelled the man's name correctly! [face palm]
But it certainly isn't a done deal yet. Twelve more days, we all need to work hard. Depending on your perspective we're either fighting to come from behind, or we're fighting to run up the score.
Is this considered “internal” polling?
A few more vigorous Trump campaign stops with Lewis may just do it. For both of them.
Trump needs to give a bit more stage time to running congressional candidates at his rallies.
Pray this guy is on the money. I’m looking at Virginia and I can’t believe it- but wouldn’t that be something!
Yes
Believe it. Trump only lost VA by 4.9 points, and 4.4 of those points were grabbed up by Republicans Gary Johnson and Evan McMullin. The down side is Trump doesn't need VA's electoral votes, so he really hasn't been spending money or much time there. But perhaps that will change. VA-02 and VA-07 are seats the Republicans can flip, with two military veteran candidates. I'm tired of typing, so please see here for info on those two races.
I would love to believe these polls but am afraid to.
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