Posted on 10/10/2020 6:27:38 PM PDT by Coop
In 2020, Trump IS on the ballot and his coattails will win many of those 2018 lost seats back and then some.
Don't be a tease! Where did you hear that? Trump lost NH-02 by 2.4 points (48.6%-46.2%). It's rated D+2. The Republican running in NH-02 is USAF veteran Steve Negron. He ran for this seat two years ago.
NH-01 is certainly competitive, as mentioned up at the top of this thread. Matt Mowers is the GOP candidate.
Agreed. I am really very surprised that there has not been more discussion about all the House races, the number of Dems in Trump districts, and even the fundraising numbers I posted earlier. Some folks talk about the Senate (although the thread I did on that is basically comatose), but most just want to talk about the Prez race. And based on FR one would hardly know there are any gubernatorial races.
Ah, the scuttlebutt probably came from a UNH survey that came out this past week, showing the Dem at 49%, with Steven Negron I think 4 points behind.
And on 10/21 VP Pence is appearing in Portsmouth NH. I don't think that was on the schedule yesterday, so that's encouraging to me. I still feel Trump can flip NH and possibly even capture all of Maine's votes. Both House seats, a Senate seat and the NH governor's race are all on the ballot.
Yeah. UNH. 4 pts.
I’ll be surprised if Biden wins NH.
THE state is antiWashington. And non-interventionist. Good match for Trump.
Biden got run outa the state in the primary.
If NH-02 is now competitive at the U.S. House level, then I have to believe that Trump has a great shot at winning NH (which he lost by fewer than 3,000 votes in 2016). Pence’s rally is in Portsmouth, which is a heavily Democrat part of GOP-leaning NH-01 (although it’s suburbs are more marginal). Portsmouth TV is picked up in SW Maine, which is in the heavily Democrat ME-01, but could help Trump carry Maine statewide. (Coop, there is no way that Trump will carry ME-01, which went to Hillary by 10.54% in 2016; but winning statewide is doable—Trump lost by less than 3% in 2016—and the CD for the ME-02 should be in the bag.)
CT-5
Jahana can’t hold that seat long-term. Bad match for the district.
GOP will soon get it back. In a midterm.
GOp is severely underfunded in this state.
Coop, there is no such thing as a “former Marine”; once a Marine, always a Marine. So I believe that the correct appellation for Tyler Kistner is *retired Marine*.
The Kos Kids are all traitors, but boy can they crunch numbers. As you said, their presidential results by CD are the most accurate in the business.
Negative, Ghostrider. You're chatting with a former Marine. The phrase is "There's no such thing as an ex Marine." (Even that's not true. Lee Harvey Oswald and Jack Murtha are examples of ex Marines.)
"Retired" covers people who do at least 20 years or are medically retired (with pension). There are a lot of us who are simply Marine veterans (less than 20 years of USMC service).
If New Britain is placed in the Hartford CD (as it should be by all rights; stupid RINO Nancy Johnson wanted to keep her heavily D home town in her district, and then she lost in 2006 and the CT-05 still stuck with New Britain. (The same thing happened with RINO Chris Shays and even heavier D Bridgeport in the CT-04, although in Shays’s case he wasn’t even from Bridgeport, but moved there and asked that it be kept in the district!)
I stand corrected, and will quietly go back to my corner in embarrassment.
I agree with you that ME-01 is probably out of reach. I keep mistakenly saying all of Maine’s votes, but I mean three (ME-02 and the 2 state votes). His margin of loss in “deep blue Maine” was only 2.7%.
Nonsense! Come out of your corner, and keep me honest on Maine. LOL
Spanberger's GOP challenger raises over $1.8 million in third quarter
That challenger is veteran Nick Freitas trying to win VA-07.
Sabato’s Crystal gonad say Iowa Senate is lean rat. I’m highly skeptical.
New Minnesota polls, Trafalgar I belive has a dead heat. While MinnPost has Biden +5, and Rat Senator Smith only +4. That’s a very important Senate race. I believe Trump and Lewis can win and make Chuck Schumer crap his pants.
MN-2 election BTW is on by court order, the state law that said it had to delayed because the weed candidate died has been deemed retarded.
What’s your source on NH-2, Pete? You’d think if one was in play it would NH-1.
bookmark
I didn’t see anyone mention but Cheri Bustos (IL-17 narrow Trump seat last time) is in real danger.
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