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Good analysis. He makes five good points total.
1 posted on 09/08/2020 6:56:47 AM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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To: Alas Babylon!

What political analysts?


2 posted on 09/08/2020 6:58:06 AM PDT by albie
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To: Alas Babylon!

The other points are:

2) Strength vs. Weakness:

3) The Economy Stupid:

4) The Elites Don’t Have it:

5) Insiders lose, Outsiders Win:


3 posted on 09/08/2020 6:58:36 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! (The prisons do not fill themselves. Get moving, Barr!)
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To: Alas Babylon!

Sadly, another analysis that totally omits the coming massive voter fraud aided by the leftwing SoS of Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, etc...


4 posted on 09/08/2020 7:00:09 AM PDT by newfreep (The Communist/DNC VOTER FRAUD is Trump's ONLY opponent in 2020 election.)
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To: Alas Babylon!

It’s going to be a blowout


8 posted on 09/08/2020 7:06:12 AM PDT by servantboy777
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To: Alas Babylon!

Most political analysts DREAM that Joe Biden will beat Donald Trump in the coming election.
BUT they know he won’t!


9 posted on 09/08/2020 7:06:16 AM PDT by Harpotoo (Being a socialist is a lot easier than having to WORK like the rest of US:-))
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To: Alas Babylon!

He brings up conventional wisdom. While there is merit to conventional wisdom, we live in highly unconventional times and Trump is the most unconventional candidate of our lifetime.

There are many reasons to feel optimistic about a Trump victory, but we all feel a bit of uncertainty about it.


10 posted on 09/08/2020 7:08:37 AM PDT by volunbeer (Find the truth and accept it - anything else is delusional)
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To: Alas Babylon!

Side bar, Info: Trump supporters already lined up by the hundreds on the Winston-Salem, North Carolina, Smith-Reynolds, Regional Airport, Hangar Tarmac, where the Trump political rally will go forth this evening. Thousands of “Trumpies” expected to attend & cheer/support POTUS, Donald J. Trump. Commences at 7:00 PM local time. When the Hangar fills up, outside Hangar Ramp Space, can handle 100,000 plus folks easily. BE THERE!!!


14 posted on 09/08/2020 7:13:36 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forever!!!)
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To: Alas Babylon!
Beating an incumbent is hard

Perhaps, but maybe having two terms is almost a given by the opposing party. Just look who the opposing party ran...nobodies with less-than-enthusiastic platforms:

1984 - Dukakis vs. President Reagan
1996 - Dole vs. President Clinton
2004 - Kerry vs. President Bush
2012 - Romney vs. President Obama

Seriously, who's the strongest of those opponents? It's like the opposing party really didn't even try to unseat the incumbent.

18 posted on 09/08/2020 7:18:33 AM PDT by Lou L (Health "insurance" is NOT the same as health "care")
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To: Alas Babylon!

Reagan was not a great President? STOPPED READING RIGHT THERE.


28 posted on 09/08/2020 7:51:51 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: Alas Babylon!
Reagan lost the Senate in 1982

Actually he lost the Senate in '86.

31 posted on 09/08/2020 8:03:15 AM PDT by ScottinVA (First, let’s deal with the election; then we’ll deal with BLM.)
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To: Alas Babylon!

Yes, there has been voter fraud. Yes, there will probably be more this year. However, in spite of what some think, voter fraud doesn’t typically affect the outcome of an election. (There are rare exceptions, like LBJ’s first run for Congress.) What I think is the greater danger is people living in a bubble and thinking that everyone thinks like they do, and, if the election is lost, then “We Wuz Robbed!”

Look, there are a lot of people out there who aren’t conservative. It’s us against them. It won’t be voter fraud that determines the outcome, but our willingness to get out the vote and to convince others that our position is the right one. That’s a lot more difficult than sitting in a bubble and whining, “We Wuz Robbed!” and assuming that, since everyone else didn’t agree with us, then it must have been chicanery involved.

Vote. Convince others of like mind to vote. Influence others. Quit whining.


41 posted on 09/08/2020 9:05:58 AM PDT by Engraved-on-His-hands
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To: Alas Babylon!

Good read. Watch Trump tie Biden to China as Election Day approaches. Do you want an America that bows to China at every turn or do you want an America that stands strong against every foe?


45 posted on 09/08/2020 9:47:32 AM PDT by OrangeHoof (Let pro athletes police our streets since they think they can do it better.)
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To: Alas Babylon!

It’s good analysis but it ignores the voter fraud that is occurring and the people who believe the news media that have turned for inexplicable reasons.

The outlook is bleak to me. And I hate saying that.


47 posted on 09/08/2020 10:02:30 AM PDT by proud_dad_of_two (Formerly MikefromOhio (I couldn't remember my password and lost the email account too!))
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To: Alas Babylon!

Beating Biden means beating voter fraud. Need a list of 5 things there.


49 posted on 09/08/2020 10:22:01 AM PDT by Democrats hate too much
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To: Alas Babylon!

I think it’s more than that.

I think Trump has smoked all these Bas*ards out. The media, the left, DNC are all exposed.

Also, energy. My gosh, the man never sleeps and people see that.

Most important is the contrast between the two candidates.

I truly think Trump may cancel the third debate for fear that the public may feel sorry for Biden.

He barely got by his primary debates. With Trump, it will be a continual, non stop debate with no place to hide.

Biden was pretty quick he debated Ryan, but he won’t have the stamina or the focus.

It’s going to be very painful to watch.


51 posted on 09/08/2020 11:34:45 AM PDT by nikos1121
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To: Alas Babylon!

There are many other reasons that can help Trump win:

6. Many more women WILL vote for him than in 2016. There were many women who didn’t vote for Trump because the sexist Trump “grab em by the p...” bomb audio that the MSM unleashed just days before the 2016 Election. The “grab ‘em” comment by Trump has all but been forgotten. A corollary to this is the fact that women gravitate towards the “law & order” candidates because they have a visceral need to feel protected.

7. Trump is now a known entity. In 2016, the MSM was working the airwaves to convince the voters that he was a nutcase and dangerous to be at the helm of the country.

8. The minority vote will be huge.

9. The “Bradley Effect” (named after polls for L.A. Mayor Tom Bradley, in which people being polled were reluctant to admit they were not voting for Tom Bradley for fear of being accused of racism, but they voted otherwise).

Likewise, there is so much “Trump-shaming” in the US (if you like Trump, you’re ridiculed by your peers). So there are many people who will not divulge their true preference for Trump to the pollsters. This is especially true if the polling is not anonymous: People fear violence for speaking their mind.

-———— Of Course, all of this could be a moot point if the Dems commit vast voter fraud. That’s why it’s so important to prevent voter fraud in this election.


68 posted on 09/08/2020 4:19:34 PM PDT by AlanGreenSpam (Obama: The First 'American IDOL' President - sponsored by Chicago NeoCom Thugs)
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To: Alas Babylon!

Analysis? It’s as plain as the nose on his face. Trump is going to win big. He has a great record, and his opponent is a combination of the worst of the entire DNC embodied in one bumbling old fool.


77 posted on 09/09/2020 1:42:21 AM PDT by Eleutheria5 ("SHUT UP!" he explained.)
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To: Alas Babylon!; All

It does seem the left have a perfect plan to steal the coming election, but whether it will succeed depends on whether it is actually in God’s plan – a divine plan for the world set in stone since the beginning of time marking periods of war, of upheavals, and of peace; and we are witnessing its unfolding everyday. In other words, nothing happens unless it is allowed to happen, so there’s no need to depress ourselves with imaginings.

For better or worse, the ultimate winner in this election has to be part of that plan, even if cheating was involved. It is inconceivable for us to think why the left should even be given any power, let alone when it is achieved through dishonest means, but there is no arguing with God’s wisdom. Consider that people like to thank God for giving us President Trump, but seldom do they want to acknowledge that God also gave us the likes of Clinton and Obama, the latter didn’t even appear to be eligible to be president.

So, this November 3, just like in 2016, I will be following the results as they come in with lots of anticipation but without any anxiety. Either President Trump is reelected or, the unthinkable happens but we recognize and accept God’s will always prevails and will thus find peace. This year it could be a while before we see the final tallies since a lot of chaos and mayhem and legal challenges will likely ensue, but these will all be part of the plan.


85 posted on 09/09/2020 3:23:31 PM PDT by sun7
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To: Alas Babylon!

“Beating an incumbent is hard: Ronald Reagan, George W. Bush, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama won their reelections not because they were great presidents but because they were incumbents.”

Valid premise - beating an incumbent IS hard - but poorly argued when two of your four examples, Reagan and Clinton, DID beat incumbents.

The point is, the incumbent is highly favored to win, all things being equal.

All things were not equal in 1980 - Reagan ran circles around Carter. That wasn’t even a fair fight.

All things were not equal in 1992 either, but in a different way. Clinton won with a mere 43% plurality, because third party candidate Ross Perot’s 20% of the vote were pro business Republicans, who would otherwise have voted for Bush. Without Perot, it might well have been 67/43, an epic popular landslide for Bush.

Nobody could seriously argue that Biden vs. Trump in 2020 bears even the slightest resemblance to Reagan vs. Carter in 1980. More like Mondale vs. Reagan in 1984.

Likewise, there is no third party challenge in 2020 the likes of Ross Perot.


89 posted on 09/10/2020 12:44:11 AM PDT by enumerated
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To: Alas Babylon!
Trump is a current War Time president: Covid. And he wants it to end.

His opponent, Joe Biden, has threatened to "Shutdown the Country" for Covid if elected and doesn't want it to end.

Tough chose Huh?

/Naught

99 posted on 09/12/2020 7:00:01 AM PDT by CptnObvious (Question her now.)
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