Posted on 06/02/2020 4:42:03 PM PDT by Steely Tom
While the anti-racism protests continue to spread in the US, polls for the 2020 presidential election has cast a shadow on President Donald Trump as he trails his presumptive opponent former vice president Joe Biden in more than 40 national polls.
Based on the results, some Chinese experts predict a defeat for Trump, but others noted that uncertainty still exists, given Trump's base and his vigorous reactions to the worsening street violence, which may win him more support later from people affected by the violence.
Biden led in every single one of those more than 40 national polls in May, and "Biden's never been behind in any of these polls since at least January 2019… His average lead in a monthly average of polls has never dipped below 4 points and has usually been above it," a CNN analysis on May 31 said.
The report said Biden is the first challenger to be ahead of the incumbent in every May poll since Jimmy Carter in 1976.
The ongoing US unrests plus the Trump administration's failure to cope with COVID-19 epidemic will certainly be a blow to Trump, but the impact of the fallout from these crises on the election remains to be seen, experts noted.
The damage caused by the rioters to buildings and businesses has interrupted the country's economic resumption plan, and the great economic loss from the coronavirus outbreak would worsen if the unrest continues, which is bad news for Trump, because a thriving economy has always been his political asset, said Sun Chenghao, assistant research fellow at the Institute of American Studies of the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations.
Sun told the Global Times on Tuesday that it is true that Trump's failure to solve the long-standing racial tensions has given his opponent Biden, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, a great opportunity to demonstrate his ability to address such racial conflicts, as the latter is believed to deal with the issue in a softer and more inspiring way.
While Trump repeatedly called for harsh measures against protesters, Biden's reaction is the opposite.
After criticizing Trump for stoking racism, he visited a protest site on Monday in Delaware and talked to the protesters there. He promised on social media that he would lead the conversation in the confrontation and listen to people's appeals if he wins.
Minority voters were not in Trump's camp in the 2016 election, nor would they be this time, especially when his opponent has a special place in the black community after serving as the VP of the first black president in the US, experts noted.
But Xin Qiang, deputy director of the Center for American Studies at Fudan University in Shanghai, doubts if the poll results would turn into votes, especially in swing states.
Trump supporters have an extremely high recognition of him, who may remain silent in the polls but are in favor of Trump deep inside, Xin told the Global Times.
Some Americans may have sympathized with the death of the black man. But if the unrest intensifies and their personal interests are infected, they may lose patience, which could give Trump an opportunity as Trump advocates tougher actions against protesters, Xin noted.
Following the rapid spread of the Minnesota riots across the US, the risk of social disturbance will stimulate the "silent majority" of American voters to choose the leader who represents order, and prompt white and Asian voters to resist the anti-racial discrimination movement, Mei Xinyu, a research fellow at the Ministry of Commerce's Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, said.
Asian people prefer an ordered and stable society, analysts noted.
If Trump and his team dress him up as a symbol of order and "equal opportunity," demonstrating his decisiveness, boldness and ability to act quickly to quell the riots, the riots could then turn into an advantage for Trump, Mei said.
The election result remains uncertain as polls were generally wrong in the 2016 election, believing Hillary Clinton would definitely win, analysts said.
This story is from China. Since this paper links to the People's Daily, I'm assuming it's sympathetic to the CCP.
Why are you posting ChiCom sources.
This is a ChiCom “news” outlet.
Blow?
Trump is gonna shine. Will probably win some major blue cities. Record black vote for a republican.
These journalists are so dumb. Even the left knows this will help Trump. They just can’t control themselves.
“I’m assuming it’s sympathetic to the CCP. “
Much like Biden.
It’s the only one that has any polling results about the riot.
Perhaps you’d prefer watching CNN.
LOL! So we’re listening to Chinese experts on what Trump’s chances are now?
Good to hear that some folks remain employed.
“Perhaps you’d prefer watching CNN.”
Why would you think those are the choices?
We’ll see who this becomes a blow to.
Democrats, if you love your business being burned down,
please vote for Joe Biden.
If you like your kids turning into street thugs, vote for
your leftist Mayors and Governors.
If you don’t mind driving 25 miles instead of two to get
to a supermarket, please, vote Biden and for Leftist
leaders.
And by all means, enjoy the smell of gunsmoke and fires.
Well they know their elections over there, you know?
We’ll see what happens.
It’s good to know what the enemy (CCP) is saying.
I am still voting for President Trump and will be giving him even more of my money.
Finally, I plan to campaign for him in Pennsylvania as well.
JoMa
The fact that anyone still thinks we’re going to have an election in November and not a war, is a complete moron.
Which is what this bullshit is really all about. Russia didn’t work. Impeachment didn’t work. Now, it’s, if we don’t get our way, we’ll burn down the country. Nobody wants to vote for people who want to burn down the country. Suck it democrats.
First all said “Clinton was boosted by sympathetic voters after impeachment.” NOT Trump. He barely kept his 39-42%.
Now if the American people, led by their anti-American educational system and the despicable leftist news media propaganda, desert our fine President, then what others have said is true and our ballot box solutions are no longer possible.
The Left never played by that rule. Are rioters now wondering about the effects on future ballot boxes? No, just looting for good stuff like jewelry and fashions and TV sets. Then burning whitey’s stores to the ground. And waiting for weekly taxpayer paid paychecks from the new socialist UN member, the former USA.
Dear Plugs, you pledge to blah blah blah blah blah make everything better for blacks.
So what the F*** have you been doing in public office for the past 50 years?!?
.....That’s right, you’ve done NOTHING, absolutely NOTHING!
I hope you are right but the betting odds which are more accurate than pols were widely favoring Trump, now they are almost even-Trump started on right note-two part approach 1) yes to peaceful protest, investigate why Floyd was killed this way and 2) no to rioters-what hurt his betting odds is the perception he has dropped the first part and is lumping all protesters in as rioters-
Hillary was a shoo in too.
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