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The CDC's New 'Best Estimate' Implies a COVID-19 Infection Fatality Rate Below 0.3%
reason.com ^ | 5-25-20 | Jacob Sullum

Posted on 05/25/2020 4:15:28 PM PDT by NoLibZone

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Trump and supporters proved correct.

It was a hoax to impact elections.

1 posted on 05/25/2020 4:15:28 PM PDT by NoLibZone
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To: NoLibZone

3% is still 3x more than the average flu death rate of 1%.

I’m willing to bet this ends up closer to 2% when the final tallies are made.

Assuming we actually get the truth out of this. This was absolutely a manufactured crisis.


2 posted on 05/25/2020 4:18:46 PM PDT by Skywise
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To: Skywise

Saw someone call it the Scaredemic, like it more then the dempandemic


3 posted on 05/25/2020 4:21:13 PM PDT by AllAmericanGirl44
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To: NoLibZone

Geez a CDC estimate
What next. Not the flu not a hoax


4 posted on 05/25/2020 4:21:41 PM PDT by markman46 (engage brain before using keyboard!!!at)
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To: NoLibZone

F@#$ Fauci and his “ten times the mortality rate of the flu” horsecrap. I knew from the start that he was a liar.


5 posted on 05/25/2020 4:22:55 PM PDT by Eleutheria5 ("SHUT UP!" he explained.)
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To: Skywise

You are missing a decimal point. It is .3% not 3%. big difference


6 posted on 05/25/2020 4:24:59 PM PDT by Mom MD
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To: Skywise

You can’t just go with an average. It has to be weighted according to age group and demographics, showing whether African Americans, Caucasians or Asians have a different risk distribution by age, and how such ethnic hereditary diseases as sickle cell anemia or allergy to castor beans have any impact. This is where I caught Fauci lying with his one-size fits all mortality rate.


7 posted on 05/25/2020 4:27:34 PM PDT by Eleutheria5 ("SHUT UP!" he explained.)
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To: Skywise

0.3%

0.3

.3


8 posted on 05/25/2020 4:28:41 PM PDT by NoLibZone (We failed the single biggest test of our resolve. It's illegal to protest our government in public.)
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To: NoLibZone

Of f’n course it has a low death rate. Plandemic.


9 posted on 05/25/2020 4:28:49 PM PDT by rusty millet
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To: NoLibZone

Ok - the normal flu death rate was .1


10 posted on 05/25/2020 4:31:09 PM PDT by Skywise
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To: NoLibZone
Is that today's "best estimate",

last week's "best estimate" or

next week's "best estimate"?

11 posted on 05/25/2020 4:31:54 PM PDT by skimbell
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To: NoLibZone

The true rate will eventually be determined as 0.03%.

The divisor is FAR higher than current testing rates indicate.


12 posted on 05/25/2020 4:33:03 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Who could have guessed the Communist Revolution would arrive disguised as the common cold?)
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To: NoLibZone

0.3%...and 90% of them were either over 80 or were residents of a long term care home.


13 posted on 05/25/2020 4:33:34 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (The Rats Just Can't Get Over The Fact That They Lost A Rigged Election!)
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To: Skywise

What is the source of your .1% Seasonal FLu death rate?


14 posted on 05/25/2020 4:34:32 PM PDT by NoLibZone (We failed the single biggest test of our resolve. It's illegal to protest our government in public.)
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To: NoLibZone

Quick. Put more COVID patients in nursing homes! We need to up the death count immediately to make Trump look bad.


15 posted on 05/25/2020 4:36:54 PM PDT by for-q-clinton
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To: NoLibZone

Biggest hoax ever. Never give them an inch of your freedoms again or they will take a miles worth. Lesson learned.


16 posted on 05/25/2020 4:39:26 PM PDT by Karl Spooner
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To: NoLibZone

This CDC post is refuted by the article which the CDC cites as the basis for their “scenarios”.
The CDC scenarios cite only one source for the mortality rate
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.01.20050138v1.full.pdf
And this source says the mortality rate is 2%
Line 47 of the source-
“Pooled probability of COVID-19-related death was 0.02 (95% 45CI: 0.02, 0.03). “
Thus, the only source for the “scenarios”, which is based on a summary of dozens of articles, one of which summarizes the data on more than 58,000 Covid cases, states that the mortality rate is 2%.

Re: John Ioannidis preprint study

Dishonest research is the nail in the coffin for Ioannidis.
He cites a serological study of the Netherlands.
https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-25862/v1
It finds a seroprevalence of 2.7%, in other words 2.7% of the population is infected with Covid19. There are 17 million people in the Netherlands.
https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/netherlands-population/
Therefore the study suggests that 459,000 people in the Netherlands were infected. The date of the study was April 30th. Ioannidis states that only 344 people have died of Covid in the Netherlands, referencing the date of 4/15. However it is now May 21st and 5,775 Covid deaths have occurred in the Netherlands. 5775 / 459000 = 1.2%. He is ignoring the fact that when you get Covid, you don’t die ON THE SAME DAY YOU ARE INFECTED. You fight and fight for about 2-3 weeks and then you die. Truly a monstrous distortion. My disgust for the Ioannidis scum is hard to describe.
He also suggests the in NYC the “marginalized” are the ones dying. No one in America is “marginalized” any more than in any other country. There are “marginalized” people in West Virginia. A scientific paper should not be using racially charged political terms like this. As a scientific paper this is a piece of horse manure.
He suggest there is a “more aggressive viral clade” or strain of the virus in NYC! Oh sure! See, there is the fun and harmless Covid which has the low fatality rate, and then there is another one in NYC, which is the only one that can kill people.
RIGHT, UH HUH,
STFU John Ioannidis.


17 posted on 05/25/2020 4:41:52 PM PDT by brookwood (Obama said you could keep your plan - Sanders says higher taxes will improve the weather)
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To: NoLibZone
"Massive deaths of elderly individuals in nursing homes, nosocomial infections [contracted in hospitals], and overwhelmed hospitals may…explain the very high fatality seen in specific locations in Northern Italy and in New York and New Jersey," Ioannidis says. "A very unfortunate decision of the governors in New York and New Jersey was to have COVID-19 patients sent to nursing homes"

Gericide by any other name would smell as evil.

18 posted on 05/25/2020 4:42:29 PM PDT by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
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To: Gay State Conservative

“0.3%...and 90% of them were either over 80 or were residents of a long term care home.”

And looking at all those elderly people who died, half of them died because Cuomo and a handful of northeastern blue state governors and their health officials effectively killed them.


19 posted on 05/25/2020 4:42:31 PM PDT by FreedomVsControl
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To: NoLibZone
"Massive deaths of elderly individuals in nursing homes, nosocomial infections [contracted in hospitals], and overwhelmed hospitals may…explain the very high fatality seen in specific locations in Northern Italy and in New York and New Jersey," Ioannidis says. "A very unfortunate decision of the governors in New York and New Jersey was to have COVID-19 patients sent to nursing homes"

Gericide by any other name would smell as evil.

20 posted on 05/25/2020 4:43:01 PM PDT by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
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