Skip to comments.Why isn’t Dauphin County in the yellow phase of Wolf’s reopening plan? What the state, 2 commissioners, and the numbers say
Posted on 05/15/2020 4:36:23 PM PDT by lightman
Dauphin County will not yet move into the yellow phase of Gov. Tom Wolfs coronavirus reopening plan, even if neighboring counties like Cumberland and York are among the 12 new ones that are allowed to do so next Friday.
Dauphin County Commissioners Jeff Haste and Mike Pries responded to the news with frustration, with Haste calling it political payback.
Here is everything we know as to why Dauphin is stuck in the red phase, otherwise known as the complete stay at home order.
Who is moving to yellow next week?
The twelve counties are: Adams, Beaver, Carbon, Columbia, Cumberland, Juniata, Mifflin, Perry, Susquehanna, Wyoming, Wayne, and York.
Why isnt Dauphin County among them?
According to Health Department Secretary Dr. Rachel Levine, the county has not yet met the states criteria to do so.
For reference, Levine had said earlier in a Friday afternoon news conference that Beaver County was selected to advance because it has seen a decline in confirmed coronavirus case counts over the last 14 days.
The same metrics that we looked at in terms of Beaver County, which had decreasing rates of infection, did not show positive results in terms of Dauphin County, Levine said. "Dauphin County still has significant rates of infection, as well as evidence of community transmission and spread of COVID-19.
"In fact, in the last week actually, the numbers have gone up somewhat, and so Dauphin County was not in a position, in terms of the spread of this dangerous virus, to go from red to yellow."
What did the Dauphin County commissioners say, and what about the numbers?
As explained above, two of them disagreed with the decision, even after they decided against moving their county to the yellow phase without Wolfs permission earlier this week.
The Governors decision today to keep Dauphin, Lebanon and Lancaster counties shut down while neighboring counties begin to reopen is nothing more than political payback, Haste said in a statement Friday.
Rather than listen to the people of Pennsylvania, he pits groups of people against each other and puts out misleading data to back up his cause. Weve heard from hundreds of residents and business owners that the time to reopen is now.
Wolf was actually asked Friday whether or not politics are playing a role in his decisions in relation to the Beaver County reopening.
These are not political decisions, he said. "Again, Im trying to, were all trying to keep people safe, and as Dr. Levine just said, were looking at the data, and Beaver County is doing much better, which means that we think that that virus has less of a chance this week than it did last week of actually infecting people.
Thats whats driving these decisions all across Pennsylvania. Politics has nothing to do with this.
The commissioners also provided the following information to support their argument in a news release:
"Cumberland tested 3,094. Of this total, 477, or 15 percent, tested positive. A total of 2,617, or 85 percent, tested negative.
Dauphin County tested 7,594. Of this total, 895, or 12 percent, tested positive. A total of 6,699, 88 percent, tested negative three points better than Cumberland County.
Based on these figures, Dauphin County has performed two-and-a-half times as many tests as Cumberland County and, it seems, is being punished for it, said Haste.
Here is a breakdown of available ventilators, according to the DOH:
Cumberland County total of 80. 7 or 9 percent of those, are being used for COVID-19. 21, or 26 percent, for non-COVID-19. 52, or 64 percent, are available. Dauphin County total of 140. 3, or 2 percent of those, are being used for COVID-19. 53, or 38 percent, are non-COVID-19. 84, or 60 percent, are available."
Looking at these numbers, its obvious that our healthcare system is not overwhelmed. "Why keep local businesses closed while thousands of people a day pack into the big-box stores? We have flattened the curve and want to reopen our county in a gradual and safe way that balances public health with the economy.
The Wolf administration has said a number of criteria go into their reopening decisions, including having fewer than 50 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents over a 14-day period, testing availability, and a wealth of hospital resources.
While the commissioners numbers suggest some parts of the criteria might have been met, Dauphin County is not currently close to meeting the case count threshold; as of Friday, it has an average of 111.8 cases per 100,000 residents according to PennLives math.
By comparison, two of the approved counties Beaver (54.9 per 100,000) and Cumberland (56.4), dont quite meet the case count either but are much closer. You can see the full county breakdown as of Fri., May 15 below. Cant see the embed? Click here.
So could Dauphin County go next time Wolf announces a wave of counties that will move to yellow? Theres only 18 to go
Its hard for me to predict when a county will be ready, Levine said. "I think that what the public can do is to follow all of the guidance that the governor has outlined today. Please stay home unless you have to go out for essential business, if you have to go to the grocery store, of course, and get food or the pharmacy and get medicines, but otherwise, please stay home. If you go out, then please practice social distancing, please wear a mask. As weve always said, my mask protects you, your mask protects me, and if were all wearing masks and the community itself is protected.
The weather has been much better. If you go outside and youre going to see any other people whatsoever, or theres even the possibility that youll see other people, please wear a mask, and so we all need to do everything we possibly can to prevent the spread of this virus in all of our areas, and in Dauphin County.
What happens if Dauphin County businesses reopen anyway?
Well, that depends.
District Attorney Fran Chardo and Sheriff Nick Chimienti are on the record as saying they wont enforce Wolfs non-life sustaining business closure order, but the Gov. has said on several occasions that businesses that open without his say-so could risk fines, loss of operational licenses, and insurance issues.
The stay at home order remains in effect for another week in Dauphin County, and it, of course, keeps most businesses shut and allows only for life-sustaining travel.
Dauphin County is located in the second tier north of the Maryland border, at the extreme western edge of the purely red zone extending from NJ.
Sorry about the lack of county names...best I could find
Those commissioners said that they were opening, period. So, did the county or the leaders turn yellow?
Please ping me with articles of interest.
FReepmail me to be added to the list.
Tom Wolf kills seniors in nursing homes.
Simple, direct, to the point and true.
The leaders turned yellow and the county stayed red.
“Maybe next week...if you’re good.”
Shame on these worthless cowards.
85% of the deaths in Chester County are in nursing homes / resident homes. The figure is 86.9% in Lancaster County and 84% in Montgomery County. 79.7% in Bucks County. These are wealthy areas. Why? They force positive cases back into the facilities, just like Kill Em Murphy in Jersey and Ventilator Cuomo.
The statewide average is 68.7%.
Meanwhile Tommie the Commie’s sidekick the Tyrannical Trannie aka Dr. (Dickless) “Rachel” Levine made sure that its mother was safely removed from a personal care home early on.
That map is not correct. It shows that Monroe County is now yellow, effective May 22, while Carbon County is still red?
Carbon County should be yellow and Monroe County should be red.
Thats the problem with a map with no County labels. And a pingmeister from the southern tier who has only rarely been in the Poconos.
Last Friday the PA House GOP had a map with counties for its caucus members to use in their email blasts. I snagged the image & url and used that all week.
So I was hoping for a repeat today...no such luck. Three and half hours of on again/off again image searching and finally located this one on a site from NW PA...no wonder they didnt know the NE. But the yellow/red mixed shading is a plus.
I will keep looking for a better map...maybe one will appear tomorrow.
I’m in Dauphin County, and from the looks of things, people are ignoring Wolf. It’s different in Harrisburg City, which is a minority of the county’s population (in more ways than one). Harrisburg’s Mayor is siding with Wolf. Mayor Papenfuse is a progressive POS. The people in Harrisburg are not representative of the rest of the county, which is conservative. We love Trump here, there are Trump flags and signs all over. We are going on with life, now.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.