Posted on 04/17/2020 11:33:37 PM PDT by L.A.Justice
The left will never stop until they ban every gun in this country. The virus is a test and another attempt to screw with DJT.
Re: “Due to the intense contagion of this new COVID virus...”
That remains to be proved.
Compare the COVID numbers to the influenza numbers...
The CDC estimates that 39 million to 56 million Americans were infected with seasonal influenza in the last 6 months, and that 24,000 to 62,000 of them died.
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-estimates.htm
According to the Johns Hopkins COVID Dashboard...
Total USA COVID Tests - 3.57 million
Total USA Positive COVID Tests - 707,000
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
So, roughly, a 20% COVID infection test rate, even though most of those tests have been given to high risk individuals.
In California, Oregon, and Washington state, the infection rate has been less than 9% of tests since COVID first arrived.
Bottom Line...
COVID-19 looks exactly like a bad flu season - nothing more, nothing less.
“The CDC estimates that 39 million to 56 million Americans were infected with seasonal influenza in the last 6 months, and that 24,000 to 62,000 of them died.”
The Santa Clara County SARS-CoV-2 antibody study (https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1) indicates the true infection rate is 50-85x the number of positive cases. Therefore, at least 35 million (and possibly 60 million) Americans have been infected. Nearly all (99.9%) have recovered.
That’s a great link.
Thank you.
It’s astounding how close the COVID and influenza numbers are.
The estimated Case Fatality Rate for influenza is consistently in the 0.1% to 0.2% range - exactly like your 99.9% recovery statistic for COVID.
I live in King County (Seattle).
After monitoring the Positive Infection Rate and CFA in the three West Coast states for the first month of the outbreak, I am convinced that one, or both, of the following statements are true:
(1) COVID-19 began to immediately mutate into a more benign disease after it wiped out the nursing home in Kirkland, WA.
(2) And/or - millions of West Coast residents had some level of immunity to COVID-19 BEFORE it arrived in Seattle in January 2020.
The comments at that link are good. There are good arguments that this study (based on a Facebook ad and therefore self-selection) overestimates the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 exposure in the general population.
EXACTLY!!!
Bryan Williams calculus at work, or maybe cow que us would be more accurate.
And that if you make sure a statement in such a medium try to make sure you have your facts right. Even if your argument is sound "fact-checkers can focus on one false statement to discredit the whole.
Because hardly any humans on the planet had exposure to this virus, they pretty much all get exposed and have the virus enter their systems, although it seems that possibly many are asymptomatic. I still say it is therefore more infectious than an influenza. But we are debating a minor difference.
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