Posted on 04/04/2020 7:40:24 AM PDT by bray
I’ve tweaked the curve fits and added the latest reported data. For Easter Sunday, confirmed cases at 588,793 and deaths at 29.588. This is for the entire United States. The R-squared on the fits are 0.9998 and 0.9996, respectively.
Yes. We started preparing in1998, and it was a huge project for us. We had all hands on deck for the New Years weekend. I remember the sneering and second guessing too.
Have you factored in the malaria drug?
No, I'm not sure how to do that. It think it would reduce the "carrying capacity" for deaths, meaning reducing the death rate. If it works prophylactically, it would reduce the carrying capacity for infection.
I'd have to know how many people received the drug treatment and what the effectiveness rate is.
I've been extrapolating the data into July. Too far for my taste. I see where CDC came up with 100,000 to 200,000 rates. It all depends on the infection rate and death rate.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.