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To: Zhang Fei

“I wonder what the media reaction would be if the Saudis started bombing Iranian airports.”

All we are likely to see are proxy fights. Imagine two hateful, machinegun packing neighbors, across the street from one another, each living in a crystal palace. That’s the situation here.

Because of Iran’s threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, Saudi Arabia built a pipeline to the Red Sea so they could still get their oil out. “Someone” hit the pipeline with drones. Virtually all of the oil production facilities in both countries are indefensible to drones and missiles. Sure each side could intercept a few missiles but it only takes a handful getting through to limit or eliminate the victim’s oil flow, and therefore, cash flow. Either government would fall shortly after that. Iran is probably in the worse position because virtually all of their production leaves via Kharg Island. One successful sortie could end Iran as a regional power.

These neighbors hate each other, but they sit in their crystal palaces cradling their machine guns, staring across the street, each waiting for the other to make his move. Meanwhile, both are paying proxies to break as many back windows on the other side that they can.

Incidentally, when one side realizes they have lost, they will overturn the game and smash the other fellow’s palace. At that point, my oil stocks will allow me to retire.


12 posted on 06/12/2019 9:42:04 AM PDT by Gen.Blather
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To: Gen.Blather

Interesting take. Thanks for the post. Your opinion on Trump’s sanctions effect on Iran?


13 posted on 06/12/2019 10:25:02 AM PDT by gr8eman (Ex-Flyer fan!)
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