Quinnipiac: Biden Leads Trump Head To Head By 13

Hotair ^ | 06/12/2019 | Allahpundit

[libh8er]

Just a passing thought. Could it be that the polls are not guaging reality ? What does President H R Clinton who swept the electoral college in 2016 just as the polls predicted, think ?

[MountainWalker]

AnalPundit is a Trump hater who only writes negative Trump blog posts but pretends to be just a dispassionate observer. We’re all open to hearing all sides and bad news if it’s accurate, but polls this far out are trash generally but particularly for a guy who under-polled himself all the way to the presidency.

Also, that Q 42% approval for Trump is his highest ever, which reinforces the point that their models are junk if that’s his high water mark while others are several points higher.

Whether or not Analpundit’s trash should be recirculated here is not my decision, but I won’t visit Hot Gas again until he’s put out to pasture.

[5by5]

Dems are trying to get Trump to take out Biden.

Trump should resist, Biden is the perfect opponent.

Involvement in spy gate, China connections, creepy joe factor, flip flops, you couldn’t ask for more.

[Texas resident]

And he looks like a cadaver.

New nickname: “Cadaver Joe”.

Dim voters won’t know what that means.

[JLAGRAYFOX]

“Hogwash”!!! Poll numbers for Biden are all...”Fake News”, No supporters or bored supporters at Biden rallies, wherever, tell the whole story. Biden is Toast, No Fried Toast, no Burnt toast, no Throwaway toast!!!

Seriously...folks, Joe Biden is not a healthy man...take a good objective look at him. “SAD”....his photos in Iowa at empty rallies & stops!!! “POTUS, Trump blew him away in words and numbers of Trump supporters at the Trump stops In Nebraska & Iowa!!! Biden has lost his MoJo or, maybe he never had it!!! The truth may hurt...but, the Truth is always still the Truth. POTUS, Trump will slaughter him or any other Democrat candidate that runs against him in 2020!!!

Watch the massive, MEGA/MAGA...POTUS, Trump “KICK-OFF” Rally in Orlando, Florida, next Tuesday evening, June 18, 2019, commencing at 8:00 PM (EDT) at the Amway Center Arena. The RNC is broadcasting that 30,000 folks (Arena holds 20,000 people) or more will attend!!! Bye...bye, Biden and all your Democrat low life useless candidates!!! Can ya beat that Supporter Attendance” ever, Uncle Joe Biden? Biden, retire now or retire a worse failure then you are right now...your choice!!! You soon will be walking alongside the massive failure criminal, Hillary Clinton!!!

[M Kehoe]

Presidential polls in 2019 are like tits on a bull.
Useless.

5.56mm

[FlingWingFlyer]

Quinnipiac has totally lost it trying to push one of their boys into the White House. It didn’t work with Clintoon and it won’t work with Gropin’ Joe.

[Phil DiBasquette]

Salem NeverTrumpin’ trash

[Antoninus]

Just more Quinnipiac propaganda attempting to influence the election. Polls this far out are worse than meaningless--they are a naked attempt at voter manipulation.


Ignore opinion polls.

[Labyrinthos]

BS poll: High margin of error among mere “voters.” Not registered voters or likely voters, but simply voters, whatever that means.

[Socon-Econ]

Polls have way too much influence in American life. The best remedy is for all non-RINO Republicans to refuse to participate in any of them.

[marsmanmd]

Trump internal polls are much better than this dumb poll!

[KC_Conspirator]

How much can we trust a poll that places the Republican nominee one point ahead of the Democrat among white voters, as Quinnipiac’s Trump/Biden match-up does? Not since 1996 has a Democrat come within single digits of winning the white vote, notes Klein. Trump and Romney each won it by around 20 points.

So this poll is about 19 points off? So in fact, this would give Trump a 6% lead? Quinnipiac is crap

[CivilWarguy]

The last 2016 Quinnipiac poll had Clinton winning Florida, NC and PA.

[ManHunter]

Quinnipiac: “We polled 1,013 people - 1,000 Democrats and 13 conservatives and independents - and Biden wins hands down by 13 percentage points.”

[Sam Gamgee]

Yawn. Too soon to even know Biden will the contender, so just an excuse to get readers to the papers.

[hotsteppa]

Here is your refutation. Stick that in your pipe and smoke it.

https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3756384/posts

[Political Junkie Too]

Here is my hunch on the Quinnipiac Poll.

1. The poll is of "registered" voters, not "likely" voters. Polls of likely voters have traditionally been considered the most accurate.
2. The poll weighting is D/R/I/DK 33/31/28/8. Usually, these polls are D+8, but now they've been closer to D+2. I suspect that Democrats are hiding as Independents in polls now, in order to skew results while claiming that the samples are more balanced.
3. In the Trump-Biden matchup, the R/D split for Trump voters is 91/3, and 6/95 for Biden voters. This means that twice as many (3%) Republicans are willing to cross over to Biden than Democrats are willing to cross over to Trump.
4. The interesting thing is in the Independents. Independents are breaking 2:1 for Biden in this poll. The Trump/Biden split is 28/58. Is this the true sentiment of so-called Independents or are they really dark-horse Democrats? Let's see how the Independents break for the downline Democrat candidates.
5. First, the R/D splits are consistent for the other top candidates:
   • Trump 94/3 Sanders 3/94
   • Trump 94/3 Warren 2/94
   • Trump 94/4 Harris 2/93
   • Trump 94/4 Buttigieg 2/91
   • Trump 94/4 Booker 2/91
   • There is clearly a 4% "Never Trump" faction amongst Republicans in this poll.
6. For Independents...
   • Trump 33 Sanders 57
   • Trump 34 Warren 51
   • Trump 31 Harris 53
   • Trump 32 Buttigieg 47
   • Trump 33 Booker 49
   • The Independents break about the same for Democrats regardless of who the candidate is. Is this normal for Independents, or should we expect some personalities to pull or push more than others?
7. When we move to the non-candidate questions...
   • President's Job Excellent+Good (R/D/I) 92/5/31
   • Economy Excellent+Good (R/D/I) 95/54/65
     • Independents generally think the economy is doing well, but the President is not doing a good job. Are these Democrats speaking?
   • Good Economy Trump Credit Yes (R/D/I) 85/8/34
     • Here we see that Independents who think the economy is doing well are not willing to credit Trump. Why, unless they are not really Independents?
   • Economy Getting Better (R/D/I) 76/11/32
   • Financially Doing Well (R/D/I) 89/68/76
     • Here, we see that Independents are doing better than Democrats, but don't think the economy is getting better. That tracks much closer to the Democrat answer, enhancing my belief that these Independents are really Democrats answering polls as Independents.
   • Approve of Mexico Policy (R/D/I) 89/4/32
     • I don't know why Independents would break so low on the Mexico policy unless they're really Democrats.

My conclusion is that this is a D+2 poll with Democrats hiding as Independents to give the 2020 polls the illusion of balance.

We're going to have to keep an eye out on the Independent poll results to see if this becomes a trend. Could it be the liberal response to anecdotal stories of Republicans lying to pollsters? Instead of stories of Republicans lying to pollsters that they will vote for Clinton, Democrats are going to lie to pollsters saying they are Independents and then answer as Democrats?

-PJ

[SeekAndFind]

RE: Here is your refutation. Stick that in your pipe and smoke it.

Well thank you, that’s the kind of response that I want.