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Murder Rates Drop in Bolsonaro’s Brazil: More Guns, Less Crime
Ammoland ^ | 13 May, 2019 | Dean Weingarten

Posted on 05/15/2019 1:08:52 PM PDT by marktwain

Murder Rates Drop in Bolsonaro's Brazil: More Guns, Less Crime

During the first two months of President Bolsonaro's term, the Brazilian murder rate fell by 25%.  From riotimesonline.com:

RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – The murder rates in Brazil for January and February this year were 25 percent lower compared to the same period last year, according to G1’s national homicide index. The index is based on official data from the 26 states and the Federal District.

Jair Bolsonaro was elected President of Brazil on 28 October 2018. President Bolsonaro has been adamant about reforming Brazil's extreme gun laws, to allow more Brazilians to defend themselves.

Did President Bolsonaro's reform policies in favor of self-defense cause the drop in murder rates? The answer is complicated. Bolsonaro's policies probably had a positive effect.

President Bolsonaro's opponents have routinely predicted that homicides would increase because of his reforms of Brazil's gun laws.  From worldpoliticsreview.com, in March 2019, before the new statistics were out:

But even if the law doesn’t pass, the presidential decree already represents a step backward for public security in Brazil. Broadening access to guns puts men, women and children at higher risk of lethal violence. Bolsonaro and other gun advocates say that more armed citizens will deter shootings, but there is simply no hard evidence that loosening restrictions on firearms improves public safety or security.


(Excerpt) Read more at ammoland.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: banglist; belongsinchat; brazil; gunlaw; murderrates
Two months is not much of a drop. Will it be sustained for the next 10 months? The odds are good that it will.

Brazil is in the start of a great social experiment. The Second Amendment could be vindicated in yet another way.

I predict this drop will not be covered much by the New York Times.

1 posted on 05/15/2019 1:08:52 PM PDT by marktwain
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To: marktwain

Brazil is the country with the most Japanese expats. Pretty smart I’d say.


2 posted on 05/15/2019 1:13:38 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: marktwain
I predict this drop will not be covered much by the New York Times.

Yeah, that's what happens with blog material.

Yay blogs.

3 posted on 05/15/2019 1:14:41 PM PDT by humblegunner
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To: humblegunner

How are drug dealers in the P.I. doing?


4 posted on 05/15/2019 1:17:31 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: marktwain

>> Two months is not much of a drop. <<

25% of 12,000 is a HUGE drop! If we were talking about the kind of small movements which excite Americans debating murder, like 3% or 5%, I’d say it could be a noisy stat... but 25%???!!!!!


5 posted on 05/15/2019 1:23:04 PM PDT by dangus
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To: marktwain

Unless there was a big wave of folks getting guns those two months, not to likely it was the cause.

Could just as well be that Brazilian criminals joined the caravans to the US.


6 posted on 05/15/2019 1:39:35 PM PDT by fruser1
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To: marktwain
I predict this drop will not be covered much by the New York Times.

Yet you post it as news, crediting yourself.

Go you.

7 posted on 05/15/2019 1:46:52 PM PDT by humblegunner
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To: DIRTYSECRET

What does smart and industrious have to do with a huge drop in the murder rate? Especially when all Asians (not just ethnic Japanese) make up just 1.1% of Brazil’s population.


8 posted on 05/15/2019 1:47:36 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (The politicized state destroys all aspects of civil society, human kindness and private charity.)
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To: marktwain

Geez...imagine that! Victims shooting back and quashing crime.


9 posted on 05/15/2019 1:55:50 PM PDT by WKUHilltopper
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To: marktwain

Give people the means to defend themselves and they will.


10 posted on 05/15/2019 1:56:49 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here Of Citizen Parents_Know Islam, No Peace-No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: marktwain

bttt


11 posted on 05/15/2019 2:05:31 PM PDT by Pajamajan ( Pray for our nation. Thank the Lord for everything you have. Don't wait. D)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

If I were Japanese, I certainly would not be expat !


12 posted on 05/15/2019 2:20:37 PM PDT by A strike (Import third world become third world)
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To: marktwain
There's a video that I saw on youtube a few years showing a guy,with a Go Pro on his helmet,riding along on a motorbike somewhere in Brazil.Another bike rolls up next to him and the passenger (a kid) sticks a gun in his face.The guy wisely gave up his bike and within a few seconds of having taken control of the bike a nearby off duty cop who witnessed the scene shot the kid dead.

The video continues showing the cop laughing at the dead kid at his feet.Powerful stuff.

13 posted on 05/15/2019 3:11:53 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Bill Barr:The Bill Belichick of Attorneys General)
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To: marktwain

Bookmark


14 posted on 05/15/2019 5:39:49 PM PDT by aquila48
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To: marktwain
Bolsonaro and other gun advocates say that more armed citizens will deter shootings, but there is simply no hard evidence that loosening restrictions on firearms improves public safety or security.

In 2016 people in Brazil were getting murdered at a rate of 168 per day. That is a murder rate of 25.53 per 100,000 population. The US with much more liberal gun laws has a murder rate of 5.35.

I don’t see that as supporting the idea the strict gun laws are saving lives.

15 posted on 05/16/2019 1:40:31 AM PDT by Pontiac (The welfare state must fail because it is contrary to human nature and diminishes the human spirit)
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To: marktwain

“...but there is simply no hard evidence that loosening restrictions on firearms improves public safety or security.”

Who in the H says crap like this? That’s the only evidence there is the world over. And the opposite is also true: remove gun ownership rights and public safety goes in the toilet. Don’t believe me? Visit Mexico where private gun ownership is outlawed and gun violence is off the charts.


16 posted on 05/16/2019 2:36:53 AM PDT by Justa
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