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Global warming can make extreme weather worse. Now scientists can say by how much.
NBC "News" ^ | August 19, 2018 | by James Rainey

Posted on 08/20/2018 11:36:26 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

Researchers no longer hesitate to blame climate change for floods, fires and heat waves. Here's how the science works.

When the heat waves, droughts, wildfires and deluges come - as they seem to with increasing regularity these days - the question inevitably arises: Did climate change play a role?

The answer scientists gave for years was that greenhouse gases created by humans likely contributed to extreme weather, but it was hard to definitively tie the warming atmosphere to any single episode.

But that cautious approach, repeated in thousands of news reports for more than a decade, has been changing in recent months. Now, scientists say that they will increasingly be able to link extreme weather events to human-caused global warming and to make such determinations quickly, sometimes within days.

The discipline is being driven by an increasing focus among academics, by better data collection worldwide and by open-source computer models that allow researchers ready access to complex climate simulations, particularly of what Earth’s temperatures likely would have looked like without the profusion of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases over the last century.

Scientists who conduct attribution studies are reliant on computer modeling. They take a finite event, such as a temperature spike of 100 degrees that lasts more than a week in a single location. They then design a computer simulation, altering key factors to create a “counter-factual.”

(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: fakescience; gigo; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; hoax; propaganda; socialism; steviewonder
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1 posted on 08/20/2018 11:36:26 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

They can’t even say what the weather will be this weekend...


2 posted on 08/20/2018 11:37:52 AM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing Obamacare is worse than Obamacare itself.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

I WRITE COMPUTER SOFTWARE FOR A LIVING

I can write you a computer ‘simulation’ that gives you any result you want.


3 posted on 08/20/2018 11:38:33 AM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing Obamacare is worse than Obamacare itself.)
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To: Mr. K

All about enriching themselves and impoverishing us.


4 posted on 08/20/2018 11:39:02 AM PDT by Luke21 (The Hill sucks.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

They then design a computer simulation, altering key factors to create a “counter-factual.”...

I.E. “Figures don’t Lie, but Liars Figure.”


5 posted on 08/20/2018 11:41:07 AM PDT by jerod (Nazi's were essentially Socialist in Hugo Boss uniforms... Get over it!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Tails we win, heads we win.


6 posted on 08/20/2018 11:43:41 AM PDT by heights
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Poll after poll shows the fictitious “climate change” myth doesn’t even register on the list of the concerns of most people. We have had the most miserable, stormy, humid summer I can remember and even liberals aren’t spouting the “climate change” stuff (at least with me).


7 posted on 08/20/2018 11:43:51 AM PDT by LostInBayport (When there are more people riding in the cart than there are pulling it, the cart stops moving...)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

there is an app for that too...

weather wannabe app.


8 posted on 08/20/2018 11:45:08 AM PDT by teeman8r (Armageddon won't be pretty, but it's not like it's the end of the world.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Yes, it’s “just that simple”

And the “science” is “no longer in question”

And just in time for the Mid Terms from nbc “news” and ap


9 posted on 08/20/2018 11:47:00 AM PDT by A_Former_Democrat ("Moderates/Independents/Non-voters" Are DIMS REALLY who you'd want BACK in POWER?)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
d by open-source computer models that allow researchers ready access to complex climate simulations, particularly of what Earth’s temperatures likely would have looked like

A simulation based on a guess.

We used to call it a SWAG...Scientific Wild Ass Guess.

How many angels can dance on the head of a pin?

10 posted on 08/20/2018 11:48:54 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Kill all mooselimb, terrorist savages, with extreme prejudice! Deus Vult!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

If they’ll smoke a few more joints, everything will be just fine....LOL
This people are stupid.


11 posted on 08/20/2018 11:52:06 AM PDT by lgjhn23 (It's easy to be liberal when you're dumber than a box of rocks.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

In related news:

NASA’s Opportunity Rover on Mars Still Silent 2 Months into Epic Dust Storm
https://www.space.com/41521-mars-dust-storm-opportunity-rover-still-silent.html


12 posted on 08/20/2018 11:52:11 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: Mr. K

Have there been any major hurricanes so far this year? I thought global warming causes hurricanes, and they were supposed to increase???


13 posted on 08/20/2018 11:53:46 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: Mr. K
I can write you a computer ‘simulation’ that gives you any result you want.

Reminds me of when I tell people they shouldn't use those totally computerized voting machines. They'll say, "But I get a printed copy of how I vote". Sigh. But that may or may not be the voting that is sent to the vote counters.

14 posted on 08/20/2018 12:07:07 PM PDT by libertylover (Trump has driven the Democrats and GOPe batshit crazy.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

During last year’s eclipse they knew when and where the eclipse was going to occur long before the event because they truly understand the orbital properties.

When they can accurately and consistently tell me that there will be a Category x hurricane that will hit somewhere on some date, then I’d say they have real understanding.


15 posted on 08/20/2018 12:14:02 PM PDT by libertylover (Trump has driven the Democrats and GOPe batshit crazy.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Researchers. Sure.


16 posted on 08/20/2018 12:17:02 PM PDT by onedoug
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To: USS Alaska
A simulation based on a guess.

Actually, I think it's worse than that. They start with the result they want and then write simulation software to "prove" it.

17 posted on 08/20/2018 12:17:13 PM PDT by libertylover (Trump has driven the Democrats and GOPe batshit crazy.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

These are the same retards who with billions of dollars worth of computers, satellites, and radar CAN NOT accurately predict the freaking weather five days from now, but swear up and down that their predictions on global warming 50 to 100 years from now are accurate.


18 posted on 08/20/2018 12:27:36 PM PDT by 2CAVTrooper (Democrats... BETRAYING America since 1828.)
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To: Mr. K

>>I can write you a computer ‘simulation’ that gives you any result you want.

Yep. I am an Orc Shaman in a computer simulation. I am also a fighter pilot in 4 different wars and a NASCAR driver in simulations. I won the Medal of Honor and the Knights Cross for my WW2 submarine and U-boat commands in simulations.


19 posted on 08/20/2018 12:50:04 PM PDT by Bryanw92 (Asking a pro athlete for political advice is like asking a cavalry horse for tactical advice)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

attribution science is slightly more advanced science than divining rods and rain dances.


20 posted on 08/20/2018 12:57:55 PM PDT by JohnBrowdie
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