[JLAGRAYFOX]

Charley Cook has never been right. I stick with my predictions made months ago. the Republicans will pick up six to twelve Senate seats and they will pick up twelve to twenty house seats. If Obama, Clinton, Kerry, Comey, clapper, Brennan, etc., gets tied to the Trump, Mueller, DOJ, FBI farce....Democrat Party will just about self-destruct.

[Kozy]

Cook is a fat democratic hack. Ignore him.

[Hyman Roth]

Charley Cook has never been right. I stick with my predictions made months ago. the Republicans will pick up six to twelve Senate seats and they will pick up twelve to twenty house seats.

Hope you are right.

[SMGFan]

Well it is about time he updates Senate predictions. Last updated April 9th.
http://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings

[Zhang Fei]

Charley Cook has never been right.

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Two months before election night in 2012, Cook predicted Obama had a slight edge. And that’s how the popular vote turned out. Obama had a 4% popular vote margin (and 332 EV’s).

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http://www.elon.edu/e-net/Article/63294
Despite the state of the economy, political analyst Charlie Cook gave President Barack Obama a slight advantage over Republican challenger Mitt Romney as he discussed the 2012 presidential election in front of a packed Whitley Auditorium on Sept. 10.

[Lisbon1940]

Say hello to Gov. Guadagno and Senator Moore.

[Robert A Cook PE]

From a competitor, but it appears his thoughts about November are beginning to parallel yours.

So, will the democrats listen to the real world, or will they blindly follow the polls that predict only what they want to hear again this November?

There are 435 reasons to propagandize against repubbies: Create momentum against Trump, brace up never-Trump repubbies who are wavering or who might support Trump, draw down enthusiasm for pro-Trump conservatives who need to be discouraged, encourage pro-Hillary and pro-Sanders left-overs who are now discouraged, create racism and strife in the homosexual and black communities who are now getting jobs ,,,, But, do not the democrats need to know the truth anyway?

[PermaRag]

the Republicans will pick up six to twelve Senate seats...

The realistic range for Republicans in the Senate in the 2018 election is from a net loss of 2 seats (lose Arizona and Nevada, gain nothing) to a net gain of 10 (hold all R seats and gain all 10 viable seats).

The Democrats have to defend 25 states and the R's only 8. Six R's are safe (MS, NE, TN, TX, UT, WY) and 15 of the 25 Rats are safe.

The likeliest pickups are IN, MO, MT and ND, though the Missouri GOP is an absolute joke, led by an idiot RINO governor, and they are shooting themselves in the foot at every turn. ND is hardly a lock for a pickup and IN/MT are no slam dunks either.

The "tossups" (to put the best possible spin on it) are FL, MI, OH, PA, WI, WV -- all Trump states in 2016, some very narrowly. WV should have been a somewhat easy gain but not if Mr. Sore Loser Jailbird gets on the ballot as a third-party spoiler to save Manchin.

Wisconsin is a tossup-in-name-only at the moment (D incumbent clearly favored, but as long as we're dreaming here...). All of the other tossups are uphill battles against incumbents. Dimwitted, overly-liberal, do-nothing incumbents (Casey, Brown & Stabenow in particular) to be sure, but they got elected before and they can damn sure do it again. Whoever is charge of the NRSC better be ready to fight to get the best nominees wherever primaries have not yet happened, and then spend big time in the general to get out the vote.