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Market “Earthquake Is Coming” – Icahn Warns “A Lot Of People Will Pay The Price Like In 1929”
Newz Sentinel ^ | 2-6-2018

Posted on 02/06/2018 3:41:06 PM PST by blam

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To: central_va

In a thorough study of literature about the Depression, economic historian Eugene White claims that the rate increases were not sufficiently aligned with sagging stocks. But White’s 1994 work did not take into consideration the DEFLATION that had been going on for several years. Doug Irwin calculated that the deflation-adjusted impact of S-H was a stunning five percent of GNP. In perspective, that would be 2x higher than Katrina, four times worse than the economic impact of 9/11, and five times worse than the impact of the Navigation Acts blamed for starting the American Revolution.

Now, I’m not saying other things were’t going on to cause the Great Depression. Milton Friedman himself partly blamed bad monetary policy like I think you might have argued before, as well as Hoover’s policies, agricultural bank failures and deflation. H-S did have a big impact but perhaps it wasn’t a main cause, but it’s impact was not small by any stretch.

I believe in free trade but that doesn’t make one a globalist, just someone who sees the value of comparative advantage. Does that mean I’m against all tariffs? Absolutely not. If a country imposed tariffs on us or sub sizes an industry we should reciprocate. But it should be a Industry by industry or country by country basis. They should be targeted in other words to minimize their deflationary effect on the economy.


61 posted on 02/06/2018 11:56:07 PM PST by Crucial
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To: Crucial
Doug Irwin calculated that the deflation-adjusted impact of S-H was a stunning five percent of GNP. In perspective,

Try to use basic math here. Trade was 3.5% of the total economy in 1930. 1.5 % imports and 2% exports, we had a surplus yeah! If you were to take away ALL trade from the economy then the most the economy would shrink(temporarily I might add) is 3.5%. There is no way to get to 5%.

Use your head man. If that is possible for a Free Traitors™. Doug is just another globalist propagandist. I real rat.

62 posted on 02/07/2018 3:42:39 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: blam
Too funny - the last time something like this happened, the nanosecond trading wasn't in full swing - and folks panicked and shut down trading for a bit.

If all these fears were warranted, then the companies giving bonuses and making other great plans are all idiots and who's gonna believe that?

63 posted on 02/07/2018 3:52:34 AM PST by trebb (I stopped picking on the mentally ill hypocrites who pose as conservatives...;-})
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To: editor-surveyor
Ichan, Buffet, and Soros

When there are rich people that the left are not trying to eat, you need to step back and ask “why?”

64 posted on 02/07/2018 4:40:06 AM PST by GCC Catholic (Trump doesn't suffer fools, but fools will suffer Trump. Make America Great Again!)
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