Posted on 01/21/2018 3:21:03 PM PST by SeekAndFind
HERE’s the THIRD:
Former Tennessee Gov. Phil Bredesen (Democrat, Tennessee)
Democrats are giddy about their recruitment of Bredesen to replace retiring Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN), but early polling and electoral precedent suggest their giddiness will be replaced with gloom.
Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) is off to a tremendous start. In the last quarter of 2017, Rep. Marsha Blackburns (R-TN) Senate campaign raised $2 million, leaving her with $4.6 million in cash on hand. (Her Republican challenger, David Fincher, also raised an eye-popping $1 million.)
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Adios, Claire. You’ve been on the dole far too long.
Never underestimate the Missouri GOP’s ability to screw things up. So don’t count McCaskill out yet.
We can only hope
And probably Joe Donnelly in Indiana.
You forgot Snowflake. Oh he is quitting.
Heller in NV?
WV Senator.
Every Democratic senator in a Trump won state is in trouble. The trouble gets deeper and the tax refund checks come in. Remember all democrats voted agains tax relief for middle America.
5 easy Democratic Senate losers in 2018:
Indiana - Joe Donnelly
Missouri - Claire McCaskill
Montana - Jon Tester
North Dakota - Heidi Heitkamp
West Virginia - Joe Manchin
California: Dianne Feinstein (Won by 63% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 83
Connecticut: Chris Murphy (Won by 55% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 43
Delaware: Tom Carper (Won by 66% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 70
Florida: Bill Nelson (Won by 55% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 74
Hawaii: Mazie Hirono (Won by 63% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 69
Indiana: Joe Donnelly (Won by 50% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 61
Maryland: Ben Cardin (Won by 56% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 73
Massachusetts: Elizabeth Warren (Won by 54% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 67
Michigan: Debbie Stabenow (Won by 59% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 66
Minnesota: Amy Klobuchar (Won by 65% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 56
Missouri: Claire McCaskill (Won by 55% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 63
Montana: Jon Tester (Won by 49% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 60
New Jersey: Bob Menendez (Won by 59% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 63
New Mexico: Martin Heinrich (Won by 51% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 45
New York: Kirsten Gillibrand (Won by 72% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 50
North Dakota: Heidi Heitkamp (Won by 50% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 61
Ohio: Sherrod Brown (Won by 51% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 64
Pennsylvania: Bob Casey Jr. (Won by 54% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 56
Rhode Island: Sheldon Whitehouse (Won by 64% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 61
Virginia: Tom Kaine (Won by 53% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 58
Washington: Maria Cantwell (Won by 61% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 58
West Virginia: Joe Manchin (Won by 61% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 69
Wisconsin: Tammy Baldwin (Won by 51% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 54
Independents up for reelection in 2018:
Maine: Angus King (Won by 53% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 72
Vermont: Bernie Sanders (Won by 71% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age:75
I think the ‘tax refund checks’ are stuck in Washington until the SchumerShutdown is over.
12 Seats won by 55% or less (counting Indy). Seems like a lot of opportunities if Repubs are smart and Donald active (yes, I don’t doubt he will be).
Not sure what impact our Governor’s mess will have on other Republicans in this state. But Ma McCaskill is disliked intensely down here in Lapland.
Hope for the best. Guard against the worst.
True. There’s no way the Dems hold every single one of these vulnerable seats. So talk that the Dems can take the Senate seems like a pipe dream based on the individual races noted above.
Every Democratic senator in a Trump won state is in trouble.
By my count it looks like there are 10.
MN has 2 races guess little chance voters split vote
Donnelly is vulnerable but don’t count him out yet. He’s worked very hard to appear “moderate” for a democrat. They let him break ranks on votes that don’t matter but carry great symbolic weight, such as the recent government shutdown. He is also not afraid to go into Republican strongholds and be seen meeting with the local Republican officials. The Republican primary to oppose him will be highly contested, bloody, and there is already a lot of dirt being slung. For example, there have been a spate of stories about the wife of the current front-runner, Luke Messer, holding what is alleged to be a highly lucrative “no work” contract with a central Indiana community.
That kind of circular firing squad, along with a carefully cultivated appearance of “moderation” will make Donnelly tough to beat.
You can’t beat somebody with nobody. The Republicans are having problems finding decent candidates to run against Tester and Heitkamp. West Virginia has a cast of thousands in the primary so who knows what kind of candidate will come out on top. Indiana is heading for a very divisive primary. And Missouri GOP is capable of screwing up anyting.
Not crazy about her up in Lafayette County either. But this is the party who nominated Todd Aiken and lost a senate race to a dead man.
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