Seeking a second term as attorney general, incumbent Democrat Mark Herring leads John Adams, 49 percent to 44 percent.
I know there was another poll posted here on FR that showed Gillespie with the lead. I figure that it's Virginia, so a Democrat will probably win.
polls are all over the place in this race.
A 15 point spread between the two polls.
Unless NOVA stay home, the Democrats win.
Ed Gillespie will do well in southern and western VA. But NOVA will put Ralph Northam over the top.
Demographics have put an end to once Red State VA.
“Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Public Policy”
Internationally respected polling outfit with decades of experience and a long history of accurate polling predictions, right?
Gillespie won’t lose by 7.. NOVA turnout will be too depressed for that, but I just have a hard time thinking a GOPe/McConell guy is going to fire up the MAGA base to show up in big enough numbers to push Gillespie over the type.
Time will tell, I hope I am wrong but my gut tells me the D wins but by no more than 3 points
I’ll be happy to eat crow, but I just don’t see R taking Va without the MAGA voters motivated and engaged and don’t see Gillespie doing that.
How much of the 50% is the illegal alien vote?
The Democrat always wins with 90% of the vote for the Republican. That last 10% puts the Democrat over.
Fairfax County is to Virginia as California is to the USA.
Because, well, those illegal aliens are all likely democrat voters.
so a Democrat will probably win.
**************
Madam Hillary won by over 212,000 votes.
May as well stay home then...
/s
Really???? A fifteen point swing in less than a week???
Trump lost Virginia pretty badly—by nearly 5 points. I’m not sure a rally for a establishment candidate like Gillespie would work (i.e. bring out enough MAGA voters to win).
If Gillespie wins it will be because he turns out enough country club and RINO voters in NOVA who refused to vote for Trump. And there were lots of those in Virginia in 2016. NOVA is one of the most affluent areas in USA.
A look at suburban northeastern and mid-Atlantic counties in 2016 shows Romney did better in most of them in 2004 than Trump did in 2016. Trump rode to victory on the backs of rural and white working class voters, not the upper crust suburban vote.
I hope Gillespie wins just so Dem morale continues to bump along the bottom.
And to poke the leftist media in the eye.
I sometimes wonder if the ‘RATS fund the Losertarian candidates in close elections!
A seven point lead for democrats means the race is even. That’s the way it works in Virginia.
From Link:
A survey from the Princeton Election Consortium has found that Hillary Clinton has a 99 per cent chance of winning the election over Donald Trump.
Three days before the election, Ms Clinton has a projected 312 electoral votes, compared to 226 for Mr Trump. A total of 270 electoral votes are needed to win.
Perhaps we should consult President Hillary Clinton on the validity of this poll. :) In reality we do not know what is happening because most polls are bogus and simply political bull sh-t designed to influence the real poll on election day.
Go out and vote, Virginia! Forget the polls.
JoMa