Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

The Math Won't Add Up For Winner In Amazon HQ2 Contest
Forbes ^ | 10/05/2017 | Jeffrey Dorfman

Posted on 10/05/2017 1:00:25 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-52 next last
To: SeekAndFind
There's a big difference between Boeing and Amazon when it comes to their economic value to a region. When you're manufacturing something, you have enormous secondary economic benefits from equipment manufacturers, suppliers and support services like repairs, deliveries, etc. The tax incentives shouldn't be measured in terms of the dollars per job at Boeing, but the dollars vs. the overall economic activity.

When you have administrative and technology functions like Amazon is looking to bring to a new location, the economic impact is mostly in the salaries of the staff and the secondary economic activities of the people earning them. Personally, I wouldn't offer up a very large incentive package for an Amazon headquarters at all.

21 posted on 10/05/2017 1:25:00 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Tell them to stand!" -- President Trump, 9/23/2017)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BushCountry
First the states are not giving up a dime, they are offering tax incentives on revenue and income they are not currently collecting.

For income taxes -- yes. For property taxes, it's often a whole different story.

22 posted on 10/05/2017 1:26:20 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Tell them to stand!" -- President Trump, 9/23/2017)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

They have a warehouse up in SE KS...not a lot of mid-sized businesses...springing up around that.


23 posted on 10/05/2017 1:26:29 PM PDT by Osage Orange (Watch your six.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Tax-chick

“Nobody imagined Amazon until it happened.”

Not even close to accurate.

Many tech companies were touting this potential years before Amazon actually executed it.

Hysterical?

You have some personal knowledge basis for that assertion?


24 posted on 10/05/2017 1:27:32 PM PDT by Mariner (Pink Pussy Hats for the NFL)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

With Amazon present in the state ALL residents ordering through Amazon will be charged state sales taxes - bigger population = lots more revenue for the state ...


25 posted on 10/05/2017 1:28:12 PM PDT by Tunehead54
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

For some cities that would actually be an enormous pain in the @ss. If Amazon put their second headquarters into my region it would be great for the office real estate market but would be disastrous in a lot of other ways.


26 posted on 10/05/2017 1:28:22 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Tell them to stand!" -- President Trump, 9/23/2017)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: Osage Orange

They have a warehouse here in Charlotte, too. My friend’s nephew has a night-shift job at a good wage there, although he may die of old age before he gets a daytime job.

Something to consider is that if you bring in tens of thousands of Amazon techies, you’re bringing in tens of thousands of the hard-left. What does that do to your area, long-term?


27 posted on 10/05/2017 1:28:47 PM PDT by Tax-chick ("The tears of a clown outweigh the sobriety of facts." ~Michelle Malkin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: Dr. Sivana

Thats the way pretty much all tax BREAKS work. However, like most Economists (Jeffrey Dorfman is a professor of economics at The University of Georgia), he does not actually understand tax policy (and I would argue Economics either, but that is a different subject). He works off the assumption that the money already belongs to the government, therefore a tax break is a reduction of revenue to the government, which has to be “paid for”, rather than an incentive to generate more revenue for the government. This is the same liberal logic that says tax cuts need to be “paid for”, not taking into account that the tax revenue to the government would be zero if the business (or taxpayer) never sets foot in the state.


28 posted on 10/05/2017 1:29:44 PM PDT by RainMan (rainman)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

The technology and business cycle has been accelerating for at least a century. What makes you think we’re going to freeze, suddenly, at Amazon?


29 posted on 10/05/2017 1:30:04 PM PDT by Tax-chick ("The tears of a clown outweigh the sobriety of facts." ~Michelle Malkin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: Osage Orange

One would not expect a warehouse to generate secondary business.

A few robot repairmen, plenty of power, the initial construction followed by maintenance.


30 posted on 10/05/2017 1:30:25 PM PDT by Mariner (Pink Pussy Hats for the NFL)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Most of those jobs will be filled by locals who are already contributing to the tax base

The only increases would be for the remainder who actually do come into the jurisdiction and any payroll increases for those already there


31 posted on 10/05/2017 1:30:41 PM PDT by A_Former_Democrat ("I am SpartaLee" Hey, NFL, why didn't you any of you bold guys hire Kaepernick? #GoodbyeGoodell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Alberta's Child

” but would be disastrous in a lot of other ways”

Cultural, or real?


32 posted on 10/05/2017 1:31:32 PM PDT by Mariner (Pink Pussy Hats for the NFL)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: Tax-chick

“you’re bringing in tens of thousands of the hard-left”

Those clowns consider themselves moderate realists.

But, after they cash their check they are full-on commies.


33 posted on 10/05/2017 1:33:15 PM PDT by Mariner (Pink Pussy Hats for the NFL)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
The author neglects the basis for most tax incentive schemes - the land Amazon builds on probably generates a pittance in property tax right now..so the 'tax break' isn't a zero sum game. The math will definitely work out in the favor of the city that lands Amazon.

However, I believe that all of these tax break schemes violate the spirit of equal protection and should not be allowed.

34 posted on 10/05/2017 1:33:35 PM PDT by lacrew
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

There’s no reason an eco-system will be built. We don’t even know if this office will do anything tech, could be purely administrative. Meanwhile with a massive tax give away the area will come out behind, at least for the first 5 to 10 years. These bidding wars companies get cities to participate are a lot like hosting the Olympics, the real winners are the ones that don’t play.


35 posted on 10/05/2017 1:34:24 PM PDT by discostu (Things are in their place, The heavens are secure, The whole thing explodes in my face)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Alberta's Child

Actually, as another posted, there is an entire secondary economic benefit created for all the support businesses designed to hire contractors (mostly American citizens) to support the direct employees (mostly H1B) that the tech company will bring to the region. At Microsoft, that ratio is about 1:1. They have roughly 90K Direct employees, and roughly 90K v-dash (Vendor staff). THEN you get the spinoffs of businesses that want to do business with the Tech Giant, or companies that ex employees found to fill niches that the tech giant is ignoring, and they would probably employ double that again, along with consumption of more office space than the Tech Giant alone will consume. This is why tech areas get catchy names like Silicon Valley and Technology Triangle ... it is not just one big company, it is at least one big company and a host of smaller ones that change the economics of a region.


36 posted on 10/05/2017 1:36:46 PM PDT by RainMan (rainman)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Mariner

The core Amazon business (the part we think of when people say “Amazon”) is just a very big mail order company. They’re Sears. All it takes to up end Amazon is the same thing they used to upends Sears: faster, cheaper, better UI.


37 posted on 10/05/2017 1:37:14 PM PDT by discostu (Things are in their place, The heavens are secure, The whole thing explodes in my face)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Tax-chick

“What makes you think we’re going to freeze, suddenly, at Amazon”

It won’t.

Remember, Amazon used to just sell books and music. Barnes and Noble was their competition.

For an ENORMOUS company they are as nimble as any to ever exist.

They are doing brick and mortar groceries now because folks won’t buy groceries on the web (duh!). But they back that business with the most sophisticated logistics back-end in the world.

I read this morning that now they will go after Fedex and UPS. No sense paying another company to play in your own ecosystem of commerce.

I fully expect them to win.

They use superior technology to morph into whatever they need to be to get filthy stinkin’ rich.

Only government can stop them. And that’s far more than a minor risk.


38 posted on 10/05/2017 1:38:58 PM PDT by Mariner (Pink Pussy Hats for the NFL)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: Tax-chick

Should be pointed out that Amazon, at its base, isn’t actually doing something totally radical. What they managed to do is make the 1800s idea of mail order from catalogs work in the Internet era with modern technology. (Which then makes you wonder how the old catalog houses somehow didn’t.)


39 posted on 10/05/2017 1:47:04 PM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: Mariner
Here's the part of your post...I responded to.

Wherever they build, scores of mid-sized businesses will emerge around them and form a tech ecosystem.

Plain and simple................

40 posted on 10/05/2017 1:48:04 PM PDT by Osage Orange (Watch your six.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-52 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson