Posted on 05/10/2017 6:40:06 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
(THE CONVERSATION) Most Americans don’t like Trump.
Trump will most likely be reelected in 2020.
How can both of these statements be true? Here’s how:
Even when people are unhappy with a state of affairs, they are usually disinclined to change it. In my area of research, the cognitive and behavioral sciences, this is known as the “default effect.”
Software and entertainment companies exploit this tendency to empower programs to collect as much data as possible from consumers, or to keep us glued to our seats for “one more episode” of a streaming show. Overall, only 5 percent of users ever change these settings, despite widespread concerns about how companies might be using collected information or manipulating people’s choices.
The default effect also powerfully shapes U.S. politics.
Franklin D. Roosevelt was elected to four consecutive terms as president of the United States, serving from the Great Depression to World War II. To prevent future leaders from possibly holding and consolidating power indefinitely, the 22nd Amendment was passed, limiting subsequent officeholders to a maximum of two terms.
Eleven presidents have been elected since then.
Eight of these administrations won a renewed mandate: Harry Truman, Dwight Eisenhower, John F. Kennedy/Lyndon Johnson, Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama.
Even the three single-term aberrations largely underscore the incumbency norm....
(Excerpt) Read more at houstonchronicle.com ...
IMO < We’ve got at least 12 years in front of us unless something big and negative happens.
Think of all the federal judges...
Wow! This is the earliest excuses for why their candidate didnt win that I have ever seen.
Then what about those who had voted for Obama but in 2016 voted for Trump?
JFK didn't even finish his first term and LBJ, though he could have done, did NOT run for his own second term, because he knew that he would lose. And the ONLY reason reason that JFK was in Dallas, on that fateful November day, was because hes was going to lose his bid for re-election...even WITH LBJ using every single crooked/illegal way to rig an election, so JFK was there to try to stop the hemorrhaging.
And George H.W. Bush only served ONE term!
Trump will win re-election IF he keeps all of his major promises.
This is the feel-good article of the day, packed with tasty schadenfreude, worth reading in its entirety. Thanks for posting.
He should quit half way into his 2nd term on the condition the GOP keeps both House and Senate. Give the vp a heads up on 2024. That will fry them!
>>Then what about those who had voted for Obama but in 2016 voted for Trump?<<
Change was coming, no matter what. Thus this effect was not in play, except as a negative test condition.
I think LBJ lured JFK into the Kill Zone with stories about him getting landslided.
“Most Americans” - my arse.
If president Trump builds THE WALL he gets re-elected.
If he doesn’t build THE WALL he becomes a one term president.
Please remove your far too tight tinfoil hat.
I was not only alive, but just as interested in politics and news, back then, as I am still, so I KNOW what I'm talking about. JFK had screwed up VERY badly....so badly that the N.Y. Times wrote editorials and ran front page stories AGAINST JFK! And no, the Slimes has ALWAYS been left leaning and they were NOT ever pushing any pols but DEMS, so please don't try to tell me that back then they weren't as bad as they are now.
No, Trump is likely to win as long as all the candidates from the other party are senile old fools. There’s a reason why they are called “Dementiacrats.”
I'd like to see that just to see her lose AGAIN.
So James Earl Carter doesn’t count?
My thoughts as well.
And 2018 could be bad if the wall hasn’t been started.
It's damn near impossible for either party to hold the White House for three consecutive terms. It's only been done once in the last 65 years.
Pence can succeed Trump as president only if Trump's two terms are a rip roaring success, and his approval rating is very high.
Bush I, Carter, and Hoover had one thing in common, a bad economy.
I don’t recall a bad economy in 1992.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.