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Murder Isn't a Nationwide Problem
Real Clear Policy ^ | May 3, 2017 | John R Lott Jr

Posted on 05/03/2017 8:31:33 AM PDT by richardb72

The vast majority of murders in the United States occur in just a tiny percentage of counties. In fact, the country can be divided up into three types of places: those where there are no murders; those where there are a few murders; and those where murders are very common.

In 2014, the most recent year that a county level breakdown is available, 54 percent of counties (with 11 percent of the population) had no murders. 69 percent of counties had no more than one murder, and about 20 percent of the population and only 4 percent of all murders in the country.

The worst 1 percent of counties have 19 percent of the population and 37 percent of the murders in 2014. The worst 2 percent of counties contain 47 percent of the population and accounted for 51 percent of the murders. 68 percent of the murders occurred in only 5 percent of counties.

Perhaps surprisingly, murders used to be even more concentrated. From 1977 to 2000, on average 73 percent of counties in any given year had zero murders. This change may be a result of the opioid epidemic’s spread to more rural areas. But no one has yet shown clearly what has caused this change . . .

According to a 2013 PEW Research Center, the household gun ownership rate in rural areas was 111 percent greater than in urban areas. Suburban households are 28.6 percent more likely to own guns than urban households. Despite lower gun ownership, urban areas experience much higher murder rates. One should not put much weight on this purely “cross-sectional” evidence at one point in time. But it is hard to overlook the fact that so much of the country has both very high gun ownership rates and no murders. . .

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolicy.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: again; banglist; guncontrol; mediabias; murder

1 posted on 05/03/2017 8:31:33 AM PDT by richardb72
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To: richardb72

Half the violent crime is committed by blacks.


2 posted on 05/03/2017 8:35:26 AM PDT by I want the USA back (Cleverly destroying leftist idols with great gusto.)
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To: richardb72

Quality of life is inversely proportional to population density.


3 posted on 05/03/2017 8:35:29 AM PDT by Chuckster ("Them Rag Heads just ain't rational" Curly Bartley 1973)
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To: richardb72

“it is hard to overlook the fact that so much of the country has both very high gun ownership rates and no murders.”

This.

He’s talking half the counties here.


4 posted on 05/03/2017 8:35:40 AM PDT by ctdonath2 (It's not "white privilege", it's "Puritan work ethic". Behavior begets consequences.)
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To: richardb72

sort of true. Murder rates per population is a bit different than just the raw data.


5 posted on 05/03/2017 8:38:56 AM PDT by wyowolf (Be ware when the preachers take over the Republican party...)
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To: richardb72
Statistics are racis'.

/s

6 posted on 05/03/2017 8:39:00 AM PDT by BipolarBob (Don't be a pessimist, be an optometrist.)
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To: richardb72

I find it interesting that according to the latest Telegraph, a majority of the states with the most murders are in the south of the US except for Texas. And we all know what happens to murderers in Texas. So maybe the aspect of a noose is a better deterrent than the US liberal media is willing to admit.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/10320691/US-crime-murders-and-manslaughters-by-state.html

rwood


7 posted on 05/03/2017 8:41:27 AM PDT by Redwood71
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To: All



Click The Pic To Donate

8 posted on 05/03/2017 8:41:53 AM PDT by ButThreeLeftsDo (MAGA!!!)
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To: richardb72

“68 percent of the murders occurred in only 5 percent of counties.”

And .... do these 5% have anything in common?


9 posted on 05/03/2017 8:45:30 AM PDT by DesertRhino (Dog is man's best friend, and moslems hate dogs. Add that up.)
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To: richardb72

Any correlation between the murder rate and whether a county is politically red or blue?


10 posted on 05/03/2017 8:49:14 AM PDT by lurk (TEat)
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To: DesertRhino
do these 5% have anything in common?

muslims are trying to catch up.

11 posted on 05/03/2017 8:49:27 AM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
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To: DesertRhino

“And .... do these 5% have anything in common?”

Democrats?


12 posted on 05/03/2017 8:50:20 AM PDT by dsrtsage (One half of all people have below average IQ. In the US the number is 54%)
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To: I want the USA back

Mostly against other black persons by habitual criminals terrorizing the rest.

It’s no wonder that prosecutors can find black jurors willing to convict.


13 posted on 05/03/2017 8:52:02 AM PDT by Rurudyne (Standup Philosopher)
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To: richardb72
" The worst 2 percent of counties contain 47 percent of the population and accounted for 51 percent of the murders."

So even in the worst 2%, the murder rate is barely above average. A county with 10,000,000 people has more murders that a county with 10,000? Thank you Captain Obvious. The statistics in this article mean nothing until they are adjusted for population, e.g. x murders per 100,000. Even in violent cities, the murders tend to be concentrated into the worst neighborhoods. Most of LA, NY and Chicago are safe. Stay out of the ghettos and red-light districts and the murder rate is similar to flyover country.

14 posted on 05/03/2017 11:07:02 AM PDT by ETCM
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To: lurk

“Any correlation between the murder rate and whether a county is politically red or blue?”

Congressional districts would show a more accurate correlation, and they are all about the same population...


15 posted on 05/03/2017 11:22:19 AM PDT by ETCM
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