CNN only tells part of the story, from my perspective there were four factors at play in this race:
1) Backlash against Mr. Trump. Not decisive in the sense CNN implies, but it motivates the Democrat base and drove the millions in outside donations. It was a factor.
2) Fragemented Republican field. The democrats coalesed around one candidate, the Rs had several candidates in a circular firing squad. That helps Ossoff at the margins.
3) Marginal Trump district. Trump underperformed Romney here, so the Republican electorate is less motivated to begin with, and more susceptible to a Dem candidate who runs to the right.
4) Appealing front man. Ossoff is young, photogenic, and talked a conservative message. He likely peeled off a fragment of marginal Republican voters. He addressed conservativeish issues and avoided the normal Democrat talking points like the plague.
And they still fell short. Thoughts?
How about: 5)The GOP obstructionist House, under the leadership of the never Trumper Paul Ryan, has unmasked itself as Democrats lite and blocked repeal of Obamacare and delayed or blocked tax reform so the GOP votes have turned away in disgust. They didn’t vote for this and the enthusiasm is gone so the Rats are rising again.
5) On TV, palm cards, yardsigns Ossoff did NOT run against Trump. He never mentioned Trump. He ran on cleaning up waste and duplication in government.
6) I moved to red GA 4 years ago from blue IL. I’ve been looking for a Republican, Conservative or Tea Party organization in GA, especially my Fulton County. There are small cliques of GA and Fulton County Republican party officials who meet to pat each other’s back.
But they have no desire to build an organization. Bringing in new people might threaten their safe place in the comfortable little club.
The GA Republican Assembly is trying to build a more active organization that would build a more active party organization. But most Republicans, most conservatives in GA seem to be content in their safe space and don’t want nobody building anything.
Meanwhile, thousands of Democrats from the Rust Belt are moving to GA because this is where the jobs are. Nobody is trying to reach out to the new comers to ask them to think why there are jobs in GA, but not in Chicago.
The result is that the thousands of new voters in Georgia might turn the state purple. Each election brings the Republicans closer and closer to the tipping point.
Appealing front man. Ossoff is young, photogenic, and talked a conservative message. He likely peeled off a fragment of marginal Republican voters. He addressed conservativeish issues and avoided the normal Democrat talking points like the plague.
Nowhere near this District, but Osoff looked awkward, wimpy, cocky and evasive. He also looked too young and not in a good way. When the news broke that he hadn’t even bothered to reside in the District for the sake of appearances, I knew he’d miss 50%+1.
The donks did get close, but not because of massive Trump defections. They played every cheat they could. I wonder if the missing check-in machines dissuaded a significant percentage?
We should not become overconfident and every election is important. But the fact that this is the best they had and they also tried to cheat says our side still has hearts and minds. And votes.
Now the ads and attacks will be directed at him. This one is over before it starts