Posted on 12/13/2016 5:47:05 AM PST by SkyPilot
People who will commit most crime can be predicted by looking at deprivation and brain health in children
A fifth of the population is responsible for four fifths of crime, two fifths of obesity, three quarters of fatherless families and for claiming two thirds of benefits. What’s more, scientists say, you can identify this troublesome group at the age of three.
A 45-minute test rating children on IQ and self-control, combined with information about deprivation and maltreatment, allowed researchers to predict “with considerable accuracy” which would go on to be the greatest burden on the state. The 38-year study may be useful in designing ways to help such children before it is too late.
(Excerpt) Read more at thetimes.co.uk ...
However, here is the link to the original study they reference:
http://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-016-0005
Excerpt:
Policymakers are interested in early-years interventions to ameliorate childhood risks. They hope for improved adult outcomes in the long run that bring a return on investment. The size of the return that can be expected partly depends on how strongly childhood risks forecast adult outcomes, but there is disagreement about whether childhood determines adulthood. We integrated multiple nationwide administrative databases and electronic medical records with the four-decade-long Dunedin birth cohort study to test child-to-adult prediction in a different way, using a population-segmentation approach. A segment comprising 22% of the cohort accounted for 36% of the cohort’s injury insurance claims; 40% of excess obese kilograms; 54% of cigarettes smoked; 57% of hospital nights; 66% of welfare benefits; 77% of fatherless child-rearing; 78% of prescription fills; and 81% of criminal convictions. Childhood risks, including poor brain health at three years of age, predicted this segment with large effect sizes. Early-years interventions that are effective for this population segment could yield very large returns on investment.
The 45-minute test might work in some cases, but not all. Some kids are just born as bad seeds.
Boy, they got their share of grant money!
So once you’ve identified the future trouble makers, then what? Do you sterilize them? Imprison them?
Its just the 80 - 20 rule rehashed.
I wonder what difference skin color and welfare status has made on childhood deprivation and its resulting propensity for crime?
Just wondering.
That might show up under ‘self control.’
But you are right.
Shrimp on a treadmill study. Doesn’t take 38 years to identify the 1/5 who will commit 3/4 of future crime. It’s the same 1/5 who are committing 3/4 of the crime today.
No, you fast-track them to jobs in management, government, the DMV, customer service, or get them to be a senator in Illinois...
sterilize them while they are in prison.
Any kindergarten teacher can predict who will end up in gaol.
Bullshit. Crime is committed when an adult makes the conscious choice to do something illegal. That thing called “free will” which modern-day idiots reject.
Anyone else see or read Minority Report? First thing that came to mind when I saw this piece!
Any kindergarten teacher can predict who will end up in gaol.
What about Muslims of any age? Their religion defines their criminal ideology which is incompatible with our free institutions and constitutional government.
When I get home from an appointment today, I’ll have to Google this kid. Looks like a precious angel but I assume she is NOT...?
You’re kidding right?
That’s the craziest thing i’ve ever heard. And dangerous.
#### this test.
Go straight to black families and you’ll find the 20 percent, for the most part.
The RESULTS at 3 years are the RESULT of their upbringing and nurturing, or lack thereof.
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