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The Hidden Group that Won the Election for Trump: Exit Poll Analysis from Edison Research
Edison Research ^ | November 15, 2016 | By Larry Rosin

Posted on 11/28/2016 10:36:32 PM PST by Brad from Tennessee

"I don’t think there’s ever been two more unlikeable candidates,’ said Michael Che during the Weekend Update sketch on Saturday Night Live this week. “Not one time in this election have I heard anyone say: ‘You know what? I like them both.'”

The data from the Exit Polls conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool show Mr. Che to be correct – an extremely small portion of the voting public (only 2%) told our exit pollsters they had a favorable view of both. While most voters did have a favorable view of one of the two major candidates – an astonishing 18% of the electorate told us they had an unfavorable opinion of both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. And this is the group that won the election for Trump.

The fact that nearly one-in-five voters who didn’t like either major candidate still came out to vote is pretty remarkable. This number is double what we saw four years ago (9% were unfavorable to both in 2012) and nearly four times what we saw in the Bush-Kerry match-up of 2004 (favorability ratings were not asked in the 2008 exit polls).

As you might expect, if you had a favorable impression of one candidate and not the other, in virtually every case you voted for that one candidate. So had those with a negative view of both candidates split evenly, Clinton would have won rather easily. However, as the graph below shows, this “Neithers” group broke strongly to Trump 49% to 29%. . .

(Excerpt) Read more at edisonresearch.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: clinton; donaldtrump; edisonresearch; exitpoll; exitpolls; favorable; hillary; hillaryclinton; polling; polls; trump; unfavorable
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Graphs and tables at link. Edison Research was cited by recount advocate J. Alex Halderman. But Halderman didn't bother to state Edison's conclusions.
1 posted on 11/28/2016 10:36:32 PM PST by Brad from Tennessee
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To: Brad from Tennessee

Not liking Clinton is worse because she’s been on the scene so much longer. There’s much less hope you’ll ever get used to her.


2 posted on 11/28/2016 10:42:34 PM PST by JediJones (We must deport all liberals until we can figure out what the hell is going on.)
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To: Brad from Tennessee

This election is the gift that keeps on giving. Lol

I can see myself, 25 years from now (if I’m lucky), leaning back in my easy chair at a family gathering with certain Liberal family members around, saying:

“Wasn’t that 2016 election as fun as all get out?!”


3 posted on 11/28/2016 10:48:49 PM PST by Az Joe (11-8-2016-----We're still here President Reagan!!)
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To: Brad from Tennessee

Their conclusion seems to be this: nearly one out of five voters didn’t like eather candidate, and within that group, those who voted broke strongly for Trump.

Not exactly profound, but worth something if their results can be duplicated by other researchers.


4 posted on 11/28/2016 10:52:46 PM PST by Steely Tom ([VOTE FRAUD] == [CIVIL WAR])
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To: Brad from Tennessee

This data reveals that the 2016 Presidential election was about hold your nose and vote for change, not for a candidate.


5 posted on 11/28/2016 10:59:33 PM PST by Praxeologue
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To: Steely Tom
nearly one out of five voters didn’t like eather candidate, and within that group, those who voted broke strongly for Trump.

This is no mystery to me. I think it's been said: It wasn't about Trump. It so happens that he is the one who stepped up and said what needed to be said. Maybe that makes him a genius, but we voted for him because of his stand, not because we liked him.

6 posted on 11/28/2016 11:04:19 PM PST by dr_lew (I)
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To: Brad from Tennessee

Pointless article


7 posted on 11/28/2016 11:06:52 PM PST by stanne
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To: Steely Tom

Exactly what everyone has basically been saying.

Not many people really liked the idea of either candidate for various reasons for each. However those people in majority voted for the person that they had less of an unfavorable view of: Trump. “The lesser of two evils” won this election for Trump. Which is surprising because the MSM was in the bag for Clinton the whole time, while dragging Trump through the mud on nearly every sound byte, and anything they could throw at him.

Besides this being evidence of people voting “the lesser of two evils” in their minds, it’s evidence of massive distrust of the MSM. People just don’t believe the talking heads anymore, in fact they believe the opposite of whatever they say.

In conclusion the MSM won Trump the election by trying to cost him the election, period. If they had been fair on Trump throughout the primary and general then Hillary would have won. This election wasn’t just about rebuking the establishment, it was about rebuking the MSM, and snowflakes in general.


8 posted on 11/28/2016 11:08:43 PM PST by FreedomStar3028 (Somebody has to step forward and do what is right because it is right, otherwise no one will follow.)
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To: Brad from Tennessee

I can just see it: “Hillary or Trump...I just can’t decide. They are both so awesome compared to what we would get to choose from in Sierra Leone or Yemen”


9 posted on 11/28/2016 11:09:23 PM PST by ari-freedom (The Social Justice War is over and we won!)
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To: Praxeologue
This data reveals that the 2016 Presidential election was about hold your nose and vote for change, not for a candidate.

This is unfair to Trump, IMHO. If you feel that way, he saw the same thing that you saw, and saw fit to commit everything he had and himself to making a change. I know I haven't ever seen anything like it, and I wonder if there ever was anything like it in Presidential politics. Anyway, it was electrifying. That's the word for me.

10 posted on 11/28/2016 11:10:48 PM PST by dr_lew (I)
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To: Brad from Tennessee
Hillary vs Trump

11 posted on 11/28/2016 11:11:10 PM PST by ari-freedom (The Social Justice War is over and we won!)
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To: Brad from Tennessee

Trump talked filthy about a woman... Hillary IS a filthy woman.


12 posted on 11/28/2016 11:20:48 PM PST by Bullish (The fly on Hillary's forehead knows)
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To: Brad from Tennessee

Not surprised. I’ve been predicting Trump would win for months because people in the liberal bubble underestimated how much average Americans dislike and distrust Hillary Clinton. She has a handful of willfully blind supporters, but she never got over about 47% in any poll. I used to point out that she’s always touted as the inevitable winner until voters have any other choice. She was the inevitable President in 2008 until voters had a choice of a far-left, totally inexperienced, African-American community organizer from Chicago named Hussein. And they said, “Eh, he has to be better than Hillary.”

Then in 2016, she was the inevitable President until voters had a choice of a 73-year-old socialist with zero executive experience who sounded like Larry David, and they said, “Eh, he has to be better than Hillary.” She beat him only by stacking the deck, then realized her only shot was to make her opponent look even worse than her. So she and her campaign operatives and the media (but I repeat myself) worked 24/7 to depict a socially-liberal, former Democrat real estate magnate from Manhattan as the love child of Hitler and David Duke. But it proved impossible to make him look worse than her. They scared a lot of people into hating and fearing him, but in the end, voters still said, “Eh, even if he is the next Hitler, he still has to be better than Hillary.”

I always thought that if the only alternative to Hillary were a rabid junkyard dog, voters would ask, “How advanced is the case of rabies?”


13 posted on 11/28/2016 11:24:10 PM PST by HHFi
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To: Brad from Tennessee

“The fact that nearly one-in-five voters who didn’t like either major candidate still came out to vote is pretty remarkable.”

These were the Hold your nose conservatives for Trump because of Pence and Supreme Court


14 posted on 11/28/2016 11:33:02 PM PST by ari-freedom (The Social Justice War is over and we won!)
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To: Az Joe

Wistfully waiting for future Schadenfreude?

I won’t make it that long, so I’m enjoying it in this moment!

Guess that makes me a deplorable. LOL


15 posted on 11/28/2016 11:47:22 PM PST by txnativegop (Hey! Libturds! You got Trumped!)
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To: HHFi

Naw. They’d ask who’s the VP pick?


16 posted on 11/28/2016 11:51:41 PM PST by FreedomStar3028 (Somebody has to step forward and do what is right because it is right, otherwise no one will follow.)
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To: Brad from Tennessee

I think it’s what people couldn’t prove about Hillary that made them vote against her. There was just way too much potential downside voting for Hillary. Trump’s faults were front and center and they were finite.

Hillary’s faults were hidden but allegedly incredibly numerous. They voted with their gut and it told them that there was something terribly wrong with Hillary.


17 posted on 11/28/2016 11:57:19 PM PST by Crucial
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To: Brad from Tennessee

According to this research, the “neithers” who voted for Trump, also liked Obama and several had voted for him.

LOL.

I’d have to say, that those voters, HATED Hillary!


18 posted on 11/29/2016 12:03:22 AM PST by onyx (CELEBRATE PRESIDENT-ELECT TRUMP'S VICTORY DONATE MONTHLY or JOIN CLUB 300!)
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To: HHFi

The MSM is the number one reason Trump won. Period.

Americans have been blatantly lied to, had degenerate agendas forced down our throats, and generally been treated like serfs by the MSM and establishment for at least the past 20 years.

If the MSM had been as fair to Trump as they were to Hillary, Hillary would have won. People saw them drag Trump through the mud for over a year straight (while inadvertently giving him millions of dollars in free publicity and campaigning) while propping up Clinton. Very few trust the MSM anymore. So the people picked the one the MSM obviously unfairly targeted for OVER A YEAR. Because we know whatever is good for them is bad for us and vice versa. I find it highly amusing and ironic. Not only has the MSM lost a ton of influence this past year (maybe not recoverable without a huge 180 in their bias and propaganda) but they cost their dearest progressive dream leader and all her communist minions one of the most pivotal elections in DECADES, and not just the White House. We have majority in the House and Senate, we have 2/3rds of all the states, and I think only 4 out of 50 have a majority democrat congress. During the next 4 years Trump is also GUARANTEED at LEAST one supreme court pick (high chance of two) and maybe even 3 if he is re-elected in 2020, which I think is likely as he’s already showing great leadership skills and no backing off of campaign promises. The progressives should be sad/scared/depressed/angry/whatever, because their agenda has been vaporized. It will take decades for the left to recover from 2016.

Trump won because of the bias. PERIOD.


19 posted on 11/29/2016 12:03:33 AM PST by FreedomStar3028 (Somebody has to step forward and do what is right because it is right, otherwise no one will follow.)
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To: Steely Tom
People didn't like Hillary because of what they knew about her.

People didn't like Trump because of the lies they believed about him.

Many of those who disliked Trump did so because of the repeated, incessant lies of the Clinton/DNC/GOP/Media Cabal, and the non-existent monster they created via mass deceit.

20 posted on 11/29/2016 12:03:51 AM PST by Gargantua ("President Trump... nice ring to it..." ;^)
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